Implications for OEMs New business models could expand revenues by 30% Global vehicle sales will continue to grow The automotive revenue pool will grow by c.$1.5 trillion by 2030 Vehicle sales, millions Revenues, USD billions 140 8000 Recurring revenues - Shared mobility penetrates dense and suburban 6700 cities with new car sharing and e-hailing business 120 115 7000 models 10 New shared vehicles - >USD 100 billion from data connectivity services, 6000 1500 incl. apps, navigation, entertainment, remote 100 23 105 services, and software upgrades 87 5000 80 41 1200 Aftermarket 4000 3500 - Growth with increased vehicle sales 60 30 - Higher annual maintenance spend for shared Private vehicles 3000 720 vehicles - 20-30% lower maintenance spend on electric 40 2000 4000 powertrains 2750 - Up to 90% lower average crash repair per 1000 autonomous vehicle 20 0 One-time vehicle sales 0 2015 2030 - ~2% annual global increase in vehicle unit sales 2015 Urbanisation Fewer 2030 driven by macroeconomic growth in emerging and macro- private economies economic vehicles - Price premiums paid for electric powertrains and growth autonomous driving technology features Source: McKinsey Global Institute, “Automotive revolution - perspective towards 2030”, Jan 2016 Cornel Chiriac & Company 13
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