6 According to ARK’s research, convergence among disruptive technologies will define this decade. Five major technology platforms—Artificial Intelligence, Public Blockchains, Multiomic Sequencing, Energy Storage, and Robotics—are coalescing and should transform global economic activity. Technological convergence could create tectonic macroeconomic shifts more impactful than the first and second industrial revolutions. Globally, real economic growth could accelerate from 3% CE on average during the past 125 years to more than 7% during the next 7 years as robots reinvigorate N E manufacturing, robotaxis transform transportation, and artificial intelligence amplifies knowledge G R E V worker productivity. N CO Catalyzed by breakthroughs in artificial intelligence, the global equity market value associated with disruptive innovation could increase from 16% of the total* to more than 60% by 2030. As a result, the annualized equity return associated with disruptive innovation could exceed 40% during the next seven years, increasing its market capitalization from ~$19 trillion today to roughly $220 trillion by 2030. *Throughout this section, we include public blockchain value as part of all calculations and forecasts of “equity market value.” Sources: ARK Investment Management LLC, 2024. This ARK analysis is based on a range of underlying data from external sources, which may be provided upon request. Forecasts are inherently limited and cannot be relied upon. For informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any particular security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Annual Research Report | Big Ideas 2024 Page 5 Page 7