OUTLOOK FOR INTERNATIONAL NORMS Norms least likely Norms likely Norms at highest Norms in early to be contested to experience the risk of weakening development most regional globally in the variation next decade Description: Description: Description: Description: Broadly accepted Disparate acceptance Contravened by at Not formally by states; across different least one codified or widely violations widely regions major power; stalled or agreed; future condemned curtailed agreement unclear implementation • National • Freedom of • Arms control and • Biotechnology sovereignty navigation nonproliferation • Artificial • Territorial integrity • Intellectual • Civil and political Intelligence • International property rights human rights • Cyber security criminal • Digital privacy • Refugee non- and conflict accountability • Responsibility to refoulment and • Arctic access and for mass atrocities Protect resettlement resource extraction • Prohibition of • LGBTQ protections • Women’s rights and military coups reproductive rights • Prohibition of • Space traffic • Open commerce genocide management and satellite deorbiting • Rule of law • Prohibition of • Environmental • Democratic torture protections institutions • Right of • Conduct in armed self-defense conflict • Child soldiers • Child marriage A MORE CONTESTED WORLD 101 Photo / Bigstock