State of European Tech | 2023

Europe’s de昀椀nitive tech report Proudly supported by

The de昀椀nitive take on European tech 00 A word from... 05 01 Executive summary 19 02 Companies 65 03 Talent 159 04 Fundraising 189 05 Outcomes 219 06 SOET community 245
00 A word from Atomico 07 A word from Orrick 10 A word from HSBC Innovation Banking 13 A word from A昀케nity 15 A word from Slush 17 A word from...

A word from Atomico A word from the report co-authors After 2022 proved to be one of the most challenging years our ecosystem has ever faced, 2023 was never going to be plain sailing. There’s no getting away from di昀케cult macroeconomic conditions that Europe has faced this year, with Europe set to reach little over half of 2022’s levels at $45 billion by the end of the year - a trend being felt across the globe. What’s more, we’ve seen a slowdown in rounds of over $100M, with only 36 of these so-called ‘megarounds’, down from 163 in 2022 and almost 200 in 2021. This has also meant only 7 new $1B+ companies have been minted in 2023. And while dry powder is at a record high, the fundraising environ- ment for VCs has resulted in a compression of fund cycles. The venture asset class is certainly being put to the test. 7 | A word from...
And yet, this year European tech has proven its resilience and shown signs of stabilisation. De- spite this tough macro environment, the ecosystem has bounced back to a value of $3 trillion, recovering the $400 billion that was wiped out last year; the layoffs that plagued 2022 have peaked and levelled off, with the worst of them seemingly behind us; Europe’s overall funding levels, while experiencing the same pullback being felt across the globe, is still the third high- est on record at $45B, indicating that the ecosystem remains resilient, and is correcting itself following the highs of 2021 and early 2022. Looking at the exit environment, the public markets have started to wake from their slumber after an incredibly quiet 昀椀rst half of the year with signs of activity in H2. Arm’s $50 billion IPO made the headlines earlier this year, paving the way for others to 昀氀oat and prising open the IPO window, ready for next year. M&A activity also picked up this year, adding $36 billion of value, but this is far from the levels recorded in 2020 and 2021. In terms of startup formation, Europe is now creating more new startups than the US, and while startup formation has slowed this year, this is largely due to the weeding out of 昀椀rst-time founders, with the share of repeat founders remaining stable. That means a class of dedicated founders who are ready to face a higher bar to raise money, attract talent and win customers. This is now critical, given the easier access to capital in the US, despite both regions having the same likelihood to scale to a $1B+ outcome. We’ve also found that talent in Europe’s ecosystem is proving to be one of Europe’s key strengths. Despite challenges in the capital markets and a subsequent risk of layoffs, Europe- an tech is not losing its strong appeal to talent; there has not been any type of mass exodus of talent out of the industry, but rather, we have seen net growth. In the last 昀椀ve years, European tech has expanded its workforce from slightly over one million employees to more than 2.3 million today. Even more encouraging is the fact that Europe is gaining from talent 昀氀owing into the ecosystem from the US, rather than losing out to them. We’re also seeing the proliferation of early-stage startups driving job creation; early-stage companies typically account for almost double the number of new joiners to the tech industry in each period, compared to growth- stage companies. This talent advantage is also bearing out in AI. Naturally, advancements in AI have dominated the media landscape, with fears that Europe is in danger of falling behind the US. The data, however, tells a different story. Not only does Europe have more AI talent than the United States, with 108,000 AI operators in Europe vs. 87,00 in the US, but also we’ve seen AI become the number one theme at Seed stage, including Mistral AI securing the largest seed round in Eu- ropean history. AI-focused companies made up 22% of all European megarounds this year, even surpassing the levels in 2022, indicating that investors’ appetite to fund the sector remains strong despite the macro turbulence. This achievement is especially impressive when com- pared with the trend in the US, where the availability of growth-stage capital has a substantial impact on the number of $100M+ rounds raised. | 8
Of course, AI is not the only sector where Europe has continued to perform, as the region continues to show dedication to solving humanity’s toughest challenges. The Carbon & Energy sector, which encompasses ‘climate tech’, accounts for 30% of all capital invested in European tech in 2023, tripling its share of total investment since 2021. This made it the single largest sector by capital raised, overtaking both 昀椀ntech and software. It’s encouraging to see capital 昀氀owing to companies solving the world’s most crucial challeng- es, despite di昀케cult market conditions. So, we’ve got the technical bedrock. We’re drawing new talent into our ecosystem. We’re starting more companies than any other region. We’re building our strongest ever teams. And we’re seeing the brightest talent being directed to the hardest and most pressing problems. We have all the ingredients to become the next tech superpower. We are at a crucial moment in the innovation cycle, standing before the greatest funding imperative we’ve seen in generations. European investors, both private and institutional, now need to plug this gap in funding if Europe is to reach its full potential. Tom Wehmeier Head of Intelligence & Partner, Atomico About Atomico Atomico invests in ambitious tech founders at Series A and beyond with a particular focus on Europe, lever- aging deep operational experience to supercharge their growth. Founded in 2006, Atomico has partnered with over 100 ambitious teams - including those at Klarna, Supercell, Graphcore, Compass, MessageBird, Masterclass, Attentive Mobile, Pipedrive and Hinge Health. Atomico’s team of founders, investors and opera- tional leaders have been responsible for global expansion, hiring and marketing at companies from Skype and Google to Twitter and Uber. 9 | A word from...
A word from Orrick While 2023 tech investment in Europe is far off from the extraordinary highs of 2021 and around 38% down from last year, it was still a very solid performance with many signs of strength and green shoots in the eco- system. We see clear indications that tech and innovation remain the engines for economic growth in Europe and across the globe. | 10
We see clear indications that tech and innovation remain the engines for economic growth in Europe and across the globe. The pool of investors, including investors exclusively focused on Europe, There is a lot of dry powder. has never been deeper. The number of unique investors in European tech has risen consistently over the past decade. VCs have raised more than $50B in new funds locally since 2021. Carbon and Energy solutions account for approximately 30% of all capital The market has heeded invested in European tech in 2023, tripling the proportion of investment the call to action on since 2021. Energy storage, clean energy and energy e昀케ciency top that trend. climate, the fastest growing segment. AI investment has soared globally, including in Europe. AI & Machine Learn- AI and automation ing companies accounted for 11% of the total investment in 2023. What’s attracted the most more, Europe already has a growing and maturing ecosystem of late-stage companies with AI at their core. Eleven mega-rounds of $100M+ were raised capital and has a robust by AI companies in Europe in 2023 alone. growth stage pipeline. Since 2014, Europe has minted more than 350 new unicorns. The conti- As one measure of the nent’s tech ecosystem is well-stocked with more than 3,900 growth-stage ecosystem’s maturity, tech companies that have the potential to become the next generation of household names and success stories. Europe also has 41,000 early-stage there is an abundance startups – and in the next 昀椀ve years alone, at least 25,000 more tech start- of companies across ups are expected to be formed. the lifecycle. Funded European companies are as likely as their American counterparts Mind the gap in funding to scale to a billion-dollar valuation after 昀椀ve years in operation. Yet U.S. and you’ll 昀椀nd incredible startups are 40% more likely to have secured venture capital funding in the same timeframe. That said, Europe’s share of global VC reached 17% in 2023 opportunity in Europe. – showing the market is awakening to this opportunity and closing the gap. 11 | A word from...

The European tech community continues to disrupt, innovate and scale. Chris Grew Partner, Technology Companies Group, Orrick Serial entrepreneurs and next generation founders are collab- orating and leveraging technology to solve some of the most pressing issues we face. Thank you as always to Atomico for affording us the opportunity to be part of the most important conversation on the State of European Tech. About Orrick Orrick ranks No. 1 in Europe for venture capital (Pitchbook) and has been the leader for each of the past seven years. We counsel venture-backed companies, as well as the most active funds, corporate venture investors and public tech companies worldwide. Our advice is informed by working with more than 4,000 high-growth tech companies globally (including hun- dreds of companies in emerging sectors, such as AI, Life Sciences & Healthtech, Energy Tech and Fintech), 13 of the 25 largest public tech companies, and more than 400 investors. Our annual Deal Flow Report analyses the hundreds of transactions we help companies and investors close in Europe and shares insights gleaned from term sheets, industry trends, deal volume and more. Our 2022 report leveraged data from the 500+ transactions we closed for clients in Europe with an aggregate value of more than $12 billion and our 2023 report will launch in Q1. We recently launched Orrick Tech Studio, a self-service resource to help companies grow and thrive at all stages. With 50+ customizable forms & document generators, 300+ articles, videos and podcasts and robust FAQ and glossary databases, it’s our version of open source for the ecosystem. Learn more at OrrickTechStu- dio.com. | 12
A word from HSBC Innovation Banking The European innovation economy has had a reset which we believe will be a positive for the long- term. The macro environment has driven uncertainty and investor caution, and led to a shift in how we do business across the innovation and venture landscape. We are now in a period of thoughtful company-building with investors and management teams identifying sustainable growth opportunities with the capacity to generate pro昀椀t and have meaningful global impact. Despite the slowdown, we should be optimistic about the European tech ecosystem in 2024. There are nearly 3,900 growth-stage tech companies with the potential to become the next generation of global category leaders, and that number is set to double in the next 昀椀ve years. As the report will show, the key to delivering on this potential and ensuring Europe becomes the next tech superpower is improving access to capital, broadening our expertise in key sub-sectors and continuing to foster innovation hubs Going into 2024 we have some tailwinds in that the bench of active European investors is diversifying and expanding, and they remain committed to investing through market cycles. Driving 79% of the total capital invested in European startups at the early stage, our domestic investors have proven to be the bedrock of the startup ecosystem: early-stage investment has shown signi昀椀cant stability in the past 昀椀ve quarters, which should encourage entrepreneurs starting out now. 13 | A word from...
Founders in Europe have led in building purpose-driven tech, which has attracted an increase in funding at the growth stage that are setting out to solve some of our hardest problems. There is strong momentum in areas such as sustainability and climate, with ground-breaking developments in foundational technologies such as Generative AI with potential applications across almost every industry sub vertical. The Carbon & Energy sector which encompasses ‘climate tech’, accounts for 27% of all capital invested in European tech in 2023, tripling its share of investment since 2021. However, startups in sectors such as AI, climate, healthcare, education and infrastructure typically take a lot of money to scale. As a result, investors will need to revise their playbook to back these capital-intensive long-term businesses. Investing in capital-intensive industries requires a comprehensive approach and patience that goes beyond 昀椀nancial analysis; you need deep sector expertise and a nuanced understanding of these speci昀椀c industries. While this may sound challenging, to create disruptive companies with the potential to change the world, we need institutions that can 昀椀nd creative, empathetic and long term solutions to 昀椀nance them. The economic challenges the venture landscape has weathered means entrepreneurs face a higher bar fundraising, se- curing talent and customers. Startups in Europe are 40% less likely than their US counterparts to secure VC funding after 昀椀ve years, even if year-on-year the volume of new startups in Europe outpaces the US. Europe- an founders are resilient, but they need help unlocking access to varied and scalable long-term capital, and this is where utilising a breadth of 昀椀nancing sources to build out the capital stack matters. Through our years of supporting and 昀椀nancing innovation business across every subsector, our expertise in helping companies scale and appetite to deploy capital means we are right there alongside the investors when looking to help founders and companies across all life stages reach their next milestone, extend runway, or gear up for an exit. Seizing these opportunities in 2024 is unpinned by investor capacity, upskilling and attracting world class talent, and maintaining a long-term view around risk and value creation. Simon Bumfrey Head of Relationship Banking, HSBC Innovation Banking UK If we want Europe to become the next tech superpower, investment is key and at HSBC Innovation Banking we look forward to playing our part in fuelling this critical sector. About HSBC Innovation Banking HSBC Innovation Banking provides commercial banking services, expertise and insights to the technology, life science and healthcare, private equity and venture capital industries. HSBC Innovation Banking UK is a subsidiary of HSBC Group, bene昀椀ting from its stability, strong credit rating and international reach to help fuel its growth. | 14
A word from A昀케nity After a tough year for many in private capital, sentiment is trending back up. But as the State of European Tech 2023 shows, the path forward is not without obstacles. A time of cautious optimism Investors almost unanimously predict that deal volume will rise in 2024 compared to 2023. According to our research, 89% of global VCs foresee doing the same or more deals in 2024. The optimism is equally strong in Europe, at 87%—a stark change from last year when only two-thirds of European investors forecasted a better dealmaking environment in 2023 compared to 2022. Still, market conditions remain uncertain. Exits are down, one-year VC returns are in negative territory in both the US and Europe, and US investors are withdrawing in record numbers from the European market. 15 | A word from...
But private capital investors are resilient. A VC deal now averages 10 more hours of research compared to last year. Investors are continuing to reset their portfolios with stronger investments that meet a vastly stricter set of investing criteria—transitioning away from hype and growth-at-all-costs to proven business fundamen- tals, durable long-term growth, and pro昀椀tability. Returning to offense Total VC fund count globally is up 33% over the past decade. Venture capital has never been more competitive than it is now, ampli昀椀ed by all of those investors chasing a much more select group of startups. While international VC 昀椀rms may be withdrawing from the region, Europe bene昀椀ts from a strong and signif- icant base of local investors. They’re taking advantage of this situation by 昀椀nding and closing the highest quality deals with a pivot from a defensive to an offensive approach. Venture capital is intrinsically relationship-driven: the best deals are often sourced and closed through an investor’s network. Top European VCs ranked by volume of unicorn investments are growing their networks faster than their peers by 11%—they know this is a move that drives increased and high-quality deal 昀氀ow. A year of innovation Internally within 昀椀rms, VC is on the cusp of reinventing itself thanks to an explosion of investment in data and AI. More than 60% of European investors plan to increase their productivity by automating internally manual and repetitive tasks. Almost 45% plan to leverage AI to accelerate their market research and due diligence. Investors are looking forward to reallocating that time they save to the activities AI will never do—building strategic relationships, and playing a more active role in portfolio company support and success. Externally, AI is ushering in a wealth of innovative products and services. Speaking recently, Kelly Graziadei, Founder & General Partner of F7 Ventures summarized the opportunity: “There are a couple of moments we can look back on where we saw the advent of big platforms and the billion dollar companies that spun out from them. We’re going to see the same thing happening with AI.” Whether it is operational innovation to drive e昀케ciency, or product-led innovation creating exciting new in- vestment opportunities, there’s plenty to look forward to in 2024. Whether it is operational innovation to drive e昀케ciency, or product-led innovation creating exciting new investment opportunities, there’s plenty to look forward to in 2024. Ray Zhou Co-Founder & Co-CEO, A昀케nity | 16
A word from Slush In the startup community, we 昀椀nd ourselves facing a challenging chapter. Amidst layoffs and down rounds, it is safe to say that there have been sunnier days for founders and VC inves- tors alike. The European and global startup ecosystem has entered into a new reality, marking an end to easy access to capital, customers and talent — a reality where new rules apply. This new reality is evident in multiple ways, as this report shows. Valuation multiples for software companies have dropped by a third, and the European tech sector witnessed over 10,000 layoffs just in the 昀椀rst quarter of 2023. Additionally, the total capital invested in European startups has declined by half in comparison to the record-breaking year of 2021. Nevertheless, despite the evident challenges, we believe that this also marks the beginning of a promising new era for the European tech ecosystem. While this chapter certainly presents its di昀케culties, it also comes with many positive aspects for entrepreneurship in Europe, serving as a reminder to focus on what matters. 17 | A word from...
First and foremost, there are multiple reasons for remaining optimistic about the current opportunities for founders. As outlined in this report, the funding landscape in Europe remains on an upward trajectory from a long-term perspective, and the European startup ecosystem continues to attract investors from all parts of the world. Hence, it appears that the downturn is a temporary market correction rather than a lasting threat to the European startup ecosystem. Secondly, the adjusted market reality has raised the bar for aspiring founders: Only companies genuinely dedicated to solving the world’s most pressing problems will thrive. The emphasis has shifted from explosive growth and quick returns to building enduring companies. Founders must prepare themselves for the long haul, driven by a sense of purpose and mission, which in the long run, could bring positive outcomes for the European ecosystem. Lastly and perhaps most importantly, the European ecosystem has taken the lead in building purpose-driven companies, with sectors like carbon and energy accounting for a third of all invested capital. Furthermore, Europe has put itself at the forefront of AI ethics and regulation amid the breakthrough of large language models (LLMs). In a world where technological innovation is driven by competition, it is essential to establish regulatory frameworks that promote ethics and safety. Europe has already taken the lead in tackling societal challenges in the 昀椀eld of AI and technology, potentially setting the standard for decades to come. As Slush has consistently emphasized throughout the past couple of years, we have every reason to believe that we are experiencing a pivotal moment in the history of technology and innovation. Linda Björkenheim Slush In 昀椀elds spanning energy, biotech, space, computing, and AI, we are suddenly able to build things we could only dream of for most of human history. This unprecedented potential for world-changing entrepreneurship is re昀氀ected in our theme for Slush 2023: A story of entrepreneurial grit and building to last. We are witnessing a rising ecosystem with Slush 2023 attract- ing a record-breaking number of founders, which speaks for an exciting future in the European startup ecosystem and beyond. | 18
01 Executive Summary
Embrace risk to shape the future Our executive summary brings together the most important data points of the year. Here, we dive into key indicators of the ecosystem’s health, high- light bright spots, and put forward our thesis for the year - that to shape the future, the entire ecosystem needs to start embracing risk. The market reset is not a solely European concern. The projected Investment levels have volume of total investment in 2023 is expected to equal less than dropped globally half of the investment seen in the peak year of 2021 across every global region. Despite two years of challenging conditions, the SoET community Europe is staying still feels positive about the future of European tech. 45% of positive our survey respondents feel more optimistic about the future of European tech than they did 12 months ago. After $400B in value was wiped from the ecosystem during last Ecosystem value bounces back to year’s downturn, public markets have rallied to bring Europe’s value back up to its historic high. $3 trillion

Stability after the storm Nine years on, the State of European Tech report continues to measure and analyse the state of the industry. Our aim has remained the same: to bring you an accurate picture of what’s happening in European tech - go- ing beyond the headlines, digging into the data, and re昀氀ecting the true state of European tech. In June, we launched our 昀椀rst-ever mid-year update, which highlighted the new market reality after downturn hit in the summer of 2022. Amidst rising in昀氀ation and interest rates, and growing uncertainty, the environ- ment has been even more challenging this year. But the foundations of the ecosystem remain strong. Now, we’re diving into the fundamentals that will turn this reset into an opportunity for European tech, and provide a data-driven exploration of the path forward. Venture model passes the test The European ecosystem is in a much stronger position compared to prior 1 downturns and has proven its resilience. Recovery under way, but Europe’s potential remains untapped More and more indicators point to the green shoots of recovery and validate 2 our long-term optimism. But this remains a critical moment for Europe to come back stronger. The ecosystem must embrace innovation Europe has entrepreneurship aplenty. But the whole ecosystem must em- brace risk to make sure that innovators can succeed. 3 21 | Executive summary
Exit landscape stirs after extended quiet period Counter-intuitively, let’s start this year’s report by looking at IPO & M&A activity, even though these liquidity events are typically associated with the latter stages of the startup and investment lifecycle. Liquidity events - or exits - are critical to the effective functioning of the European tech 昀氀ywheel - the virtu- ous cycle that powers the ecosystem. These serve not only as a means to unlock the realisation and redistri- bution of capital gains, but also as catalysts for the systematic recycling of talent and expertise into a new generation of companies. Following the peak of the market in Q4 2021, six consecutive quarters of subdued exit activity followed. The IPO landscape, in particular, was notably quiet - though not entirely dormant. Before ARM’s gigantic $55B IPO this year to test a ‘re-opening’ of the IPO window, Europe had already wit- nessed two other billion-dollar tech public offerings this year, including the $2.6B listing of German cloud infrastructure provider IONOS Group and the ill-fated $1B IPO of UK 昀椀ntech CAB Payments, all of these listings taking place in the third quarter of 2023. In contrast, the M&A market has displayed higher levels of activity, although the volume and value of deals are still far from the peaks of 2020 and 2021. As we’ll explore throughout the report, the big shifts in the exit landscape, both in the pathway to liquidity and in the form of a reset of the valuation environment, have led to knock-on consequences for founders, talent, VCs, LPs and beyond. European tech M&A exit value and tech IPO market cap at close of first trading day ($B) by announcement quarter, 2019 to 2023 IPO M&A Notes: S&P Capital IQ Platform, as of date 30 September 2023, for illustrative purposes only. 2023 figures extrapolated linearly based on year to date figures. Includes announced and completed M&A transac- Sources: tions only (excluding since terminated/withdrawn). | 22

It’s a global phenomenon Of course, the market reset isn’t solely a European concern: it’s a worldwide phenomenon. There has been a notably consistent reduction in global private tech investment not only in Europe, but also in the US, China, and beyond. However zooming out a few years, Europe has continued on an upward trajectory and is on track to raise 18% more compared to 2020. We are the only region globally where long term growth has not 昀氀attened out. Mean- while US, China and Rest of World are on track to land 昀氀at or below 2020 昀椀gures. Unsurprisingly, this global retraction in total investment volumes is also having a knock-on effect on the 昀氀ow of capital between regions. Capital invested and chnage in capital invested (%) by region, 2020 versus 2023 Europe United States China RoW $45B $120B $48B $45B 2023E 2023E 2023E 2023E +18% -1% -7% -8% 2023E vs 2023E vs 2023E vs 2023E vs 2020 2020 2020 2020 Notes: Data is as of 30th September 2023. Full year extrapolated based on year to date data. Excludes the following: biotech, secondary transac- Sources: Powered by tions, dept, lending capital and grants. 23 | Executive summary
Short-term returns are weighing down long-term track record Not surprisingly, the highly visible impact of the market reset is mirrored in the short-term performance of venture capital. One-year VC returns are now well into negative territory in both Europe and the US, as a con- sequence of increased down rounds, write-offs, and markdowns re昀氀ecting in the data. This undoubtedly makes for painful, if not unexpected reading for investors. In VC, however, what matters is the long-term perspective, given that returns take 10 years or more to be realised. In this regard, European VCs have consistently delivered outperformance over two decades, at least matching or, in most cases, beat- ing benchmarks from US VCs, European buyout, and public equities. Horizon pooled return (net) by fund index, June 2023 2023 MSCI Europe Index 2023 Europe Developed Private Equity Index 2023 US Venture Capital Index 2023 Europe Developed Venture Capital Index Notes: Data is as of 30 June 2023. MSCI Europe Index is Sources: derived from the CA Modified Public Market Equivalent (mPME), which replicates private investment performance under public market conditions. | 24

Crossover investor activity grinds to a halt As highlighted in the ‘First Look’ midyear update to the State of European Tech, a consequence of a very different exit landscape has been a huge decrease in, and in some cases a complete withdrawal from, activity by so-called ‘crossover investors.’ The retreat of these funds that actively invest across both the public and private markets has been a major factor in the slowdown of late-stage and large-round investment activity. In 2022, the volume of new investment activity had already started to slow dramatically, especially during the second half of the year. This year, investment activity has effectively ground to a halt with just four new in- vestments announced publicly during the year to date. Interestingly, this slowdown is visible across both large rounds of more than $100M, as well as smaller rounds. Number of new investments by selected crossover investors by quarter, 2019 to 2023 $100M+

US investor participation down In Europe, shifting global capital 昀氀ows have led to less investment from US investors in both early and late- stage funding rounds. Despite the drop in investment stages, US investor participation in European funding rounds is still higher than historical norms. Many long-term US investors continue to be actively involved in the region. Share of rounds with participation from US-based investor (%) by stage, 2019 to 2023 Early stage Growth Stage 60 Overall 50 40 s l a e d l l30 a f o % 20 10 0 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Notes: Sources: Data is as of 30 September 2023. Powered by Excludes the following: biotech, secondary transactions, debt, lending capital, and grants. | 26
Local capital increased in importance As a consequence of reduced US investor activity, the role of European investors has taken on even greater prominence in the past year, underscoring the signi昀椀cance of building a consistent and dedicated source of European capital across all stages, and especially at later stages. At the Growth stages, for example, the share of total capital invested by US investors has fallen from a peak of 39% in 2021 to just 25% in 2023. The declin- ing share is also evident among Asian investors, whose share of total capital invested has declined from 11% in 2021 to 7% in 2023. This shifting mix of geographic sources are less of an issue at the earlier stage, since European startups primarily attract initial rounds from domestic or pan-regional investors within the European ecosystem. In fact, investors in Europe, including both domestic and cross-border players, contribute to approximately 80% of the total capital invested in European tech companies during early stage funding rounds, a share that has stayed broadly consistent over the past 昀椀ve years. Capital invested in Europe by geographic source region (%), 2019 to 2023 Early stage Rest of World Asia 100 North America Europe 80 d e t s 60 e v n i l a t i p a c f 40 o % 20 0 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023YTD Notes: Data is as of 30 September Sources: 2023. Excludes the following: biotech, second- ary transactions, debt, lending capital, and grants. 27 | Executive summary
Growth stage Rest of World Asia 100 North America Europe 80 d e t s 60 e v n i l a t i p a c f 40 o % 20 0 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023YTD Notes: Data is as of 30 September Sources: 2023. Excludes the following: biotech, second- ary transactions, debt, lending capital, and grants. Bench of active European investors is deepening The number of unique investors actively deploying into European tech companies has risen consistently over the past decade, unsurprisingly spiking during the peak period of 2021 and the 昀椀rst half of 2022. This period in particular was characterised by a signi昀椀cant ramp in the number of investors from outside the region deploy- ing into Europe, growing especially quickly from North America. While the full-year numbers for 2023 will end up higher than the year-to-date numbers shown in the chart, the reset in the market has seen the number of active investors retreat, driven by a signi昀椀cantly reduced level of participation from non-European investors. But despite the slowdown in 2023, and even without taking into account full-year numbers, the base of active investors is still more than double the level of just a decade ago. This commitment to embrace the perceived risk of investing through market cycles is a critical foundation to ensure the European tech ecosystem continues to bene昀椀t from a signi昀椀cant and stable base of local inves- tors. | 28
Number of unique investors investing in European tech by investor HQ region, 2014 to 2023 Other Asia 10k North America Europe 8k s r o t s 6k e v n i e u q i n u 4k f o # 2k 0 4 5 6 17 8 9 0 1 2 D 1 1 1 0 1 1 2 2 2 T 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 Y 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 0 Notes: 2 Data is as of 30 September 2023. Excludes the follow- ing: biotech, secondary transactions, debt, lending Sources: Powered by capital, and grants. Other includes investors with HQ countries in rest of the world. 29 | Executive summary
I am con昀椀dent that investors, in the light of the multi-layered crises we are facing, will realise that VC as an asset class is the single best hedge for their exposure to portfolios of companies with unsustainable business models. Uli Grabenwarter Deputy Director, Equity Investments & Guarantees, EIF What will make investors deploy capital? Human intelligence, I would hope. What is the alternative to deploying the accumulated capital now? To wait? Wait for what? Better entry valuations than today? Unlikely. Or lower interest rates that make VC relatively more “attrac- tive”? Institutional investors, pension funds, insurance companies, won’t meet their future payment obligations with single digit 昀椀xed income rates, without the returns that only venture will be able to generate. Or maybe wait for a more stable geopolitical environment? Dream on. Besides, as the investors community, we will have to real- ise that without us engaging at scale in the funding of innovation and technology, many of the business models that our today’s returns rely on will disappear. Europe’s unwavering sentiment Despite the backdrop of almost two years of challenging macro conditions, as well as the persistent noise from negative events such as down rounds, write-offs, and reduced investment volumes, sentiment on the future prospects of the European tech ecosystem have stabilised. In fact, only 23% of respondents are less optimistic than they were a year ago. By comparison, almost two times the number of respondents (45%) stated that they are more optimistic today compared to 12 months ago. Looking across respondent types, the state of industry sentiment is broadly aligned across all stakeholder groups. On the investor side, responses from angels, VCs and LPs all showed remarkably similar perspectives. While on the tech company side, founders and C-level executives showed slightly less positive sentiment overall in comparison to their department heads and employees. | 30
Compared to 12 months ago, are you more or less optimistic today about the future of European technology? Less Same 100 More 80 s t 60 n e d n o p s e r f o 40 % 20 0 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Sources: Notes: Numbers may not add up to 100 due to rounding. A pulse check for European tech Europe’s ability to build and scale a tech ecosystem capable of realising its full potential requires a concerted focus from all stakeholders to address challenges that serve as barriers to progress. To explore industry sentiment on this point, survey respondents shared their perspectives on what they per- ceive to be the greatest challenge facing the European tech ecosystem over the next 12 months. The poor economic environment since the end of 2021 has caused a lot of pain, and so it is no surprise that the number one concern among respondents was access to capital , with the macroeconomic environment coming in at third. The ongoing war in Ukraine, as well as the devastating events we have seen unfold in the Middle East, placed geopolitical risk as the second most cited challenge. Respondents also felt the greatest problems ahead included the perceived challenge of Europe’s general competitiveness when it comes to technology on the global scale, talent shortages and regulation. 31 | Executive summary
What, if anything, do you see as the greatest challenge facing the European tech ecosystem in the next 12 months? Notes: Based on sentiment analysis of survey respondents free Sources: text answers Publicly-listed tech showing signs of recovery In the public markets, a story of 2023 has been one of stabilising and recovering multiples. The heady highs of 2021 remain distant peaks, but after sinking below the long-term, 10-year average for large parts of 2022 and the 昀椀rst half of 2023, the median enterprise value to next-12-months (NTM) revenue multiple rebounded back above this level earlier this year, only to have fallen just below again in October 2023. The multiple for compa- nies trading in the top quartile, meanwhile, is still hovering below the long-term, 10-year average. It is this recovery in multiples, coupled with reduced volatility, that helped to lay some of the necessary groundwork for an initial reopening of the IPO window in late-2023 and, more signi昀椀cantly, will be continue to be crucial, along with con昀椀dence in strong post-listing performance, to set the scene for a potential stronger increase in IPO activity in 2024. | 32
NASDAQ-100 Technology Sector Index - Total enterprise value / NTM revenue multiple in time Median multiple Average for top revenue e ciency quartile 30 Last 10 year average median Last 10 year average top quartile multiple e l 25 p i t l u m e u n e 20 v e r M T N / 15 e u l a v e s i r 10 p r e t n e l a t o 5 T 0 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 1 1 2 3 3 4 4 2 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 1 3 1 1 3 3 3 Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Notes: Sources: Where revenue e昀케ciency is the total of unlevered free cash flow margin and revenue growth. S&P Capital IQ Platform, as of date 31 October 2023, for illustrative purposes only. Valuations back at 5- and 10-year averages Re昀氀ecting the multiple compression of the public markets, valuations in the private sphere are also returning to normalised pricing levels, once again highlighting 2021 within the broader context as an exceptional year. Valuations across stages in Europe are now hovering around 5- and 10-year long-term averages. The notable stage exception is Seed, where despite a levelling off of median Seed pre-money valuations in 2023, pricing has not yet displayed a correction to long-term averages in the same way that has been evident at every stage from Series A and later. This shift back toward longer-term averages in Europe mirrors what is happening in the US. Notably, however, median valuations in Europe continue to be 30-60% lower than in the US across all stages. 33 | Executive summary
Europe has had a strong decade of growth, and it’s well on its way to competing with the US. Vishal Marria Founder & CEO, Quantexa But, the attractiveness of Europe for tech startups and tech innova- tion has come under the microscope in recent months. And this is because we’ve reached a supposed turning point in which growth can only be achieved if we a) secure the right level of investment and b) involve and engage with the right talent and c) ensure that digital reg- ulation is designed in such a way that it continues to allow companies to innovate and reach incredibly technological breakthroughs. The long-term success of Europe in becoming the next tech superpower lies in our governments’ willingness to ensure that the businesses at the cutting edge of this technology innovation, are involved in ongoing conversations around how to regulate against technology. We need to see incentive schemes put in place to encourage VCs to invest in European businesses. And, we need to ensure we’re doing so safely, whilst not sti昀氀ing growth. | 34
Median pre-money valuation ($M) by stage, 2014 to 2023 Seed Europe median Europe 5-year median 14 Europe 10-year median US median 12 10 ) M $ 8 ( n o i t a u l 6 a V 4 2 0 4 15 6 17 8 9 0 1 2 D 1 0 1 0 1 1 2 2 2 T 0 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 Y 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 0 2 Series A Europe median Europe 5-year median 50 Europe 10-year median US median 40 )30 M $ ( n o i t a u l a V20 10 0 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Notes: Data is as of 30 September 2023. Excluded biotech & Sources: pharma firms. 35 | Executive summary
Series B Private and public markets ecosystem value ($T), 2014 to 2023 Europe median Europe 5-year median 150 Europe 10-year median Public US median Private 125 4 100 ) M $ ( 3 n o i 75 t ) a T u l $ a ( V e u l a v 50 2 m e t s y s o c 25 E 1 0 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 4 5 6 17 8 9 0 1 2 D 1 1 1 0 1 1 2 2 2 T Series C 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 Y 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 Notes: 0 Europe median 2 Private market data from Europe 5-year median Dealroom.co excludes the following: 350 biotech, secondary transactions, Europe 10-year median debt, lending capital, and grants. US median Based on data up to 30 September 300 Sources: 2023. Public markets data as per S&P Capital IQ Platform, as of date 31 October 2023, for illustrative purposes only. 250 ) M200 $ ( n o i t a u l 150 a V 100 50 0 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Notes: Data is as of 30 September 2023. Excluded biotech & Sources: pharma firms. | 36
Ecosystem value bounces back to $3 trillion One of the ‘north star’ metrics for the European tech ecosystem is its total value, as measured by the com- bined equity value of all tech companies headquartered in the region across both public and private markets. For context, after a peak of $3T in 2021, 2022 saw a reduction of total ecosystem value equivalent to around $400B. The rallying of the public markets this year, however, has helped this number bounce back to the $3T mark. This rebound in ecosystem value has also been supported by the continual in昀氀ux of new companies starting and raising private capital for the 昀椀rst time, as well as the fact that, despite a large increase in the number of down rounds, the overwhelming majority of follow-on capital deployed into the ecosystem has been through 昀氀at rounds tor uprounds. Private and public markets ecosystem value ($T), 2014 to 2023 Public Private 4 3 ) T $ ( e u l a v 2 m e t s y s o c E 1 0 4 5 6 17 8 9 0 1 2 D 1 1 1 0 1 1 2 2 2 T 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 Y 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 Notes: 0 Private market data from 2 Dealroom.co excludes the following: biotech, secondary transactions, debt, lending capital, and grants. Based on data up to 30 September Sources: 2023. Public markets data as per S&P Capital IQ Platform, as of date 31 October 2023, for illustrative purposes only. 37 | Executive summary
On track to raise $45B of capital in 2023 Total capital invested into the European tech ecosystem in 2023 is on track to reach around $45B, more stark- ly highlighting the impact on capital 昀氀ows from the shift in the broader macro landscape compared to 2022. This will be down more than half (55%) from the record year of 2021, when investment volumes surpassed the threshold of $100B for the 昀椀rst time. This also represents a steep drop-off of 38% from 2022’s total of $82B. The decline is not surprising given the dual effect of many later-stage companies delaying fundraising, as well as materially slower deployment pac- ing by investors, which have both served to drive the large decline in the prevalence of outsized, late-stage investment rounds that is the biggest factor in lower amounts of capital invested. While the decline from the peak in 2021 is large, it’s worth highlighting that 2023 is on track to be the third-largest year on record by total capital invested, and is on track to come in at four times the volume seen 10 years ago in 2014. In fact, the resetting of investment levels appears to re昀氀ect a correction to the long-term upwards trajectory, following two outlier years of overheated activity. Total capital invested ($B) in Europe, 2014 to 2023E 125 100 ) B $ ( 75 d e t s e v n i l a t i 50 p a C 25 0 4 5 6 17 8 9 0 1 2 E 1 1 1 0 1 1 2 2 2 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 2 Notes: Data is as of 30 September 2023. Full year extrapolated based on year to date data. Sources: Powered by Excludes the following: biotech, secondary transac- tions, debt, lending capital, and grants. | 38
Beyond the slowdown, a funding equilibrium The decrease in investment since 2021 is mainly due to a slowdown in growth stages. However, after a sharp drop right after the peak, there has been a stable total investment volume for the past 昀椀ve quarters. Two important things to note are: Firstly, early stage investment has stayed stable despite the ups and downs in investment volume in 2021. Secondly, if we exclude the overheated 18-month period from Q1 2021 to Q2 2022, we get a clearer view of the consistent long-term growth in investment in the European tech ecosys- tem. Total capital invested ($B) in Europe by stage and by quarter, 2014 to 2023 Growth stage Early stage 35 30 ) 25 B $ ( d e t s 20 e v n i l a t i p 15 a c l a t o T 10 5 0 4 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 0 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 3 Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q1 Q3 Q Q Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Notes: Sources: Data is as of 30 September 2023. Powered by Excludes the following: biotech, secondary transactions, debt, lending capital, and grants. 39 | Executive summary
Mega-round momentum drops The combination of the withdrawal of crossover investors and the general slowdown in late-stage investment activity is unsurprisingly re昀氀ected in a huge decline in the number of so-called mega-rounds, meaning round sizes of $100M or more. In the peak of 2021, there were almost 200 rounds of this magnitude, including more than 50 rounds greater than $250M. While this number declined slightly in 2022 to 163 rounds of $100M or more (of which 38 were greater than $250M), the 昀椀rst nine months of 2023 saw a far more signi昀椀cant decrease. In the 昀椀rst nine months of 2023 to date, there have been 36 rounds of $100M or more, of which only seven have been sized in excess of $250M. Number of $100M+ rounds, 2014 to 2023YTD $250M+ $100-250M 250 200 s 150 d n u o r f o # 100 50 0 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 D 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 T 0 0 0 20 0 0 0 0 0 Y 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 0 2 Notes: Sources: Powered by Data is as of 30 September 2023. Excludes the following: biotech, secondary transactions, debt, lending capital, and grants. | 40
Tough times for Europe’s billion-dollar startup club Predictably, a reduction in late-stage funding round volume and a major reset in the valuation environment has led to a huge drop in the number of companies surpassing the billion-dollar valuation milestone for the 昀椀rst time in 2023. 2023 is on track to see the lowest number of new $B+ companies emerge from Europe in the last decade, with just seven as of the publication deadline at the end of October 2023. This is, of course, in stark contrast to 2021’s record-breaking total when 107 new companies hit a billion-dollar valuation. In our last year’s report we 昀椀rst introduced the concept of de-horned unicorns, $B+ companies who’s valua- tion has dropped below this milestone since 昀椀rst hitting it. In 2022, 58 dehorned unicorns were mapped with the equivalent 昀椀gure improving to 50 this year. Hence, in an effort for more clarity, then when referring to $B+ companies, we have in mind tech companies that command that that valuation still today. Number of new $1B+ European tech companies by year, 2014 to 2023YTD 125 s e 100 i n a p m o c h c 75 e t n a e p o r u E 50 + B 1 $ w e n f o 25 # 0 4 5 6 17 8 9 0 1 2 D 1 1 1 0 1 1 2 2 2 T 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 Y 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 0 2 Notes: Sources: Data is as of 30 September 2023. Excludes the following: biotech, secondary transactions, debt, lending capital, and grants. 41 | Executive summary
Moving forward requires the courage to take risks and to continue investing in and researching technology that has the potential to impact business and society. Jarek Kutylowski Founder & CEO, DeepL Overall, it is an incredibly exciting time to be working and researching in the technology 昀椀eld, and even more so in the AI landscape. If you want to create truly groundbreaking technology, taking risks is the only way to do it. In that, you should consider competition as both an encouragement and an existential threat. In Europe we are in a unique position where we can harness new, up-and-coming talent while incorporating the lessons learned by our predecessors in the US tech scene. European companies can also leverage strength through embodying European values—such as data security—to be successful on a global scale. Product wise, I would advise that found- ers keep quality top of mind when developing digital products. This will keep customers engaged and will solidify their trust for years to come. There are so many talented tech innovators who have a solid business foundation—ensuring quality transforms a sound business idea into a truly great product. Round sizes realign with historical averages, talent costs soar Unsurprisingly, capital investment volumes are also being shaped by changes in round sizes and not just the absolute count of rounds taking place. At the later stage, following a reduction in the latter half of 2022, there are now observable signs of stabilisation in round size over the course of the past four quarters. As a conse- quence, these changes have brought round sizes back in alignment with the longer-term, 5-10 year averages for the later stages. The trend at the earlier stages, however, is somewhat different. At Seed and Series A, median round sizes have also seen a period of stabilisation following rapid increases during 2020 and 2021, but remain elevated at levels signi昀椀cantly above 5-10 year averages. For late-stage founders in particular, this inevitably translates to having to achieve more with less capital for an extended period of time, despite the ongoing in昀氀ationary pressures on wages that are keeping talent costs elevated. US Seed stage companies raise signi昀椀cantly larger rounds, roughly twice as large as their European counter- parts. This delta start narrowing as companies mature, disappearing by Series C. | 42
Round size ($M) per quarter by stage, 2019 to 2023 Seed Median 3 Last 5 years average Last 10 years average US Median 2 ) M $ ( e z i s d n u o R 1 0 9 9 9 9 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 3 4 1 3 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 Q Q Q Q Q 2 Q 4 Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Series A Median 16 Last 5 years average Last 10 years average 14 US Median 12 ) 10 M $ ( e z i s 8 d n u o R 6 4 2 0 9 9 0 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Q 3 1 3 Q1 3 1 3 1 3 Notes: Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Data is as of 30 September 2023. Excludes the follow- ing: biotech, secondary transactions, debt, lending Sources: Powered by capital, and grants. 43 | Executive summary
Series B Median Last 5 years average 40 Last 10 years average US Median 30 ) M $ ( e z i s 20 d n u o R 10 0 9 9 0 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 3 1 3 Q Q Q1 3 Q Q Q1 3 Q1 3 Q Q Q Series C Median 100 Last 5 years average Last 10 years average US Median 80 ) M 60 $ ( e z i s d n u o 40 R 20 0 9 9 0 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Q1 3 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 3 Notes: Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Data is as of 30 September 2023. Excludes the follow- ing: biotech, secondary transactions, debt, lending Sources: Powered by capital, and grants. | 44
Tech employment resilient in face of layoff storm Even in the face of challenges in the capital markets and concerning indicators such as layoffs that may impact the perceived attractiveness of joining the industry, European tech is not losing its strong appeal to talent and has not seen any exodus of talent out of the industry. In fact, new positions are constantly being created, and talent from outside of tech continues to look past any perceived risk to place signi昀椀cant bets on the European tech sector. Although there has been a levelling off in the rate of increase of net new joiners into the tech industry over the past three quarters and a very small overall decline in total headcount in Q3 2023, it’s remarkable that in just 昀椀ve short years, European tech has expanded its workforce from slightly over one million employees to more than 2.3 million today. Total European tech industry employees by quarter, 2019 to 2023YTD New joiners to tech industry Tech industry headcount 3 ) 2 M ( t n u o c d a e h l a t o T 1 0 8 8 9 9 0 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 1 3 1 1 3 3 Q Q Q Q Q 3 Q Q Q Q Q Q Notes: Q To adjust for lags in reporting, we compare snapshots of data at different points in time, which allows us to estimate future growth of current figures by Sources: Powered by extrapolating differences between time points. Data is as of 20 September 2023, thus Q3 is incomplete. 45 | Executive summary
The movement of talent across borders Europe is a net bene昀椀ciary of talent 昀氀ows, attracting new starters from across the globe. That means we’re gaining more international talent than we’re losing. Notably, more talent is moving from the US to work in European tech than European talent is moving to join the US tech scene. It really illustrates the pull our companies now have. In fact, Europe is a net gainer from essentially every single region, apart from Australia. Global tech employee arrivals to Europe, 2023 Arrivals to Europe UUUnnniiittteeeddd SSStttaaattteeesss IInnddiiaa India CCaannaaddaa Canada BBrraazziill Brazil EEuurrooppee AAuussttrraalliiaa Europe Australia SSoouutthh AAffrriiccaa South Africa Morocco MMoorrooccccoo RoW RRooWW Departures from Europe UUUnnniiittteeeddd SSStttaaattteeesss Notes: Data for 2023 only, where an arrival has taken place on or after 1 January 2023. Arrivals measured as CCCaaannnaaadddaaa employees joining tech companies only, but could have previously worked at EEEuuurrrooopppeee AAAuuussstttrrraaallliiiaaa either non-tech or tech companies. Data is as of 20 Asia (excl. India) September 2023. AAssiiaa ((eexxccll.. IInnddiiaa)) India Sources: IInnddiiaa UUUnnniiittteeeddd AAArrraaabbb EEEmmmiiirrraaattteeesss Powered by BBBrrraaazzziiilll RRooWW RoW | 46
Europe outpaces US in new tech founders despite global slowdown The impact of the market reset is also visible in the effects on entrepreneurship and the rate of new company formation by founders. Globally, the rate at which founders are starting new tech companies has receded by approximately 30% from its peak in 2020, with this decline re昀氀ected in the data for new tech founders in both Europe and the US. While a decrease in new companies being founded might appear concerning at 昀椀rst glance, there is a case to be made that this re昀氀ects a return to ‘healthier’ conditions. Those who are taking the leap into entrepreneurship today face a higher bar to raise money, attract talent, and win customers. This changes the perceived risk of starting a company and, as a consequence, has the effect that only the most committed and resilient founders are prepared to embark upon the entrepreneurial journey. Subsequently, it is not surprising to see the share of repeat founders remaining stable, while almost all the decline is accounted for by fewer 昀椀rst-time founders. What will, however, be surprising to most is the fact that the annual volume of founders starting new tech startups in Europe exceeds the US, and has done so consistently for every one of the past 昀椀ve years. Number of first-time and repeat founders starting new companies per year, 2019 to 2023 Repeat founders 25 First-time founders 20 s r e d n 15 u o f e u q i n u 10 f o # 5 0 e S e S e S e S e S p U p U p U p U p U Notes: o o o o o ur ur ur ur ur To adjust for lags in reporting, we E E E E E compare snapshots of data at different points in time, which 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023E allows us to estimate future growth of current figures by extrapolating differences between time points. 2023F is based on data adjusted for lag effect and Sources: Powered by extrapolated based on data as of 20 September 2023. 47 | Executive summary
Europe is a hotbed for the kind of diversity needed to build the future of AI – and as an industry, we have a responsibility to continue to grow and nurture that talent. Lila Ibrahim COO, DeepMind At Google DeepMind, we believe in the importance of building AI-昀椀rst skills, which is why we co-created and launched a program with the Raspberry Pi Foundation to make AI education accessible to students aged 11-14. Experience AI offers cutting-edge resources on the re- sponsible development of arti昀椀cial intelligence and machine learning to teachers and their students, including lesson plans, slide decks, worksheets, and videos. Programs like this, alongside the fellow- ships, scholarships and other education initiatives we support are all designed to help more learners, from more diverse backgrounds build an AI ecosystem that works for everyone. Sustainability and health: Tech’s hottest talent magnets It’s one thing to have great talent, but are they working on the hardest problems? Here, we look at the 昀氀ow of talent into and within the tech industry, broken down by theme. This helps us to quantify talent 昀氀ows and identify the sectors drawing in top talent, whether they are completely new to the tech industry or moving jobs within it. Sustainability and health take the #1 and #2 spots, clearly re昀氀ecting the powerful magnetic effect of pur- pose-led companies in attracting talent. | 48
Top 10 themes by number of new joiners, by type New joiners from within tech Net new tech joiners Sustainability / Climate Health Digital care Supply Chain & Logistics Hardware HR Tech Electric Vehicles Insurance Transportation Sales & Marketing Notes: To adjust for lags in reporting, we 0 50k 100k 150k 200k 250k compare snapshots of data at # of new joiners different points in time, which allows us to estimate future growth of current figures by extrapolating differences between time points. 2022 data shown as of 20 September 2023. Companies Sources: Powered by may be assigned to multiple themes, causing talent to also being assigned to more than one theme. Climate tech outstrips 昀椀ntech in European markets It is not just talent that is being drawn to the hardest problems. Capital is 昀氀owing in the same direction too in- vestment volumes are broken down by sector. Remarkably, the Carbon & Energy sector, which encompasses climate tech, accounts for 27% of all capital invested in European tech in 2023, more than doubling its share of investment since 2021. This has seen the sector overtake Finance & Insurance, as well as horizontal Software as the single largest sector by capital raised. This not only represents a dramatic increase in the scale of capital invested behind the green transition, but also a clear slowdown in 昀椀ntech investment volumes since the peak of the market. 49 | Executive summary
Distribution of total capital invested by sector (%), 2014 to 2023 Transportation 100 Food and Drinks (incl. Agriculture) Education Wholesale & Retail Warehousing & Manufacturing 75 Social, Arts, Entertainment & Recreation l Digital infrastructure a t i p Finance & Insurance a c l a 50 Enabling technologies t o t f o Health Software % Carbon & Energy 25 0 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 D 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 T 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Y 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 0 2 Notes: Sources: Powered by Data is as of 30 September 2023. Excludes the following: biotech, secondary transactions, debt, lending capital, and grants. In the wake of 2022’s challenges, we’ve witnessed a remarkable shift in the dynamics between investors and founders. Shawn Atkinson Partner and global co-head of Tech Companies Group, Orrick Investors are increasingly drawn to visionary founders tackling big societal, environmental and health problems, forging a more collabo- rative and resilient tech ecosystem. | 50
AI innovation wave ignites Europe’s Seed scene Looking more closely at the most popular sectors at the earliest stages, we see other key trends starting to take off as well for Seed investments. Not surprisingly, the most notable one is the rise of AI, with a huge number of companies popping up to capitalise on the wave of innovation ignited by breakthroughs in large language models (LLMs). This has catapulted AI/ML to the top of the charts as the number one earliest-stage category, as ranked by the count of rounds of investment of $5M or less. Though things are certainly incredibly active at the earliest stages in AI, Europe already has a growing and maturing ecosystem of growth stage companies with AI at their core. Top themes ranked by capital invested for rounds of less than
Number of $100M+ rounds in AI / ML, 2014 to 2023 $1B+ $250M-$1B 150 $100M-$250M 125 100 s d n u o 75 r f o # 50 25 0 e S e S e S e S e S e S e S e S e S e S p U p U p U p U p U p U p U p U p U p U o o o o o o o o o o ur ur ur ur ur ur ur ur ur ur E E E E E E E E E E 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Notes: 2023 data is based on data to Sources: Powered by September 2023. Excludes the following: biotech, secondary transactions, debt, lending capital, and grants. Generative AI sector rises in Europe’s tech scene The most remarkable subset within the AI space this year has undoubtedly been Generative AI. Generative AI companies focus on developing and applying arti昀椀cial intelligence technologies, particularly machine learning techniques, to generate new content, data, or media. This category features companies like Mistral AI and Aleph Alpha in Europe, alongside OpenAI (the makers of ChatGPT) and In昀氀ection AI in the United States. While Generative AI companies may represent a relatively small fraction of overall tech fundraising activity on an absolute count basis, they have swiftly had an outsized impact on work昀氀ows, regulatory discourse, and society at large. | 52
What is also notable is that whilst generative AI companies have leapt into the public consciousness in 2023, they have been quietly being started and funded in greater numbers for many years, both in Europe and the US. Count of rounds in GenAI in respective regions, 2019 to 2023 Europe US 125 100 s 75 d n u o r f o # 50 25 0 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023YTD Notes: Data is as of 30 September 2023. Sources: Excludes the following: biotech, secondary transactions, debt, lending capital, and grants. A decade of growth in Europe’s AI talent pool The fact that AI is 昀氀ourishing under the radar in Europe should not be a surprise. Europe has a strong tech- nical talent pool, owing its strength to world-class scienti昀椀c and technical institutions and the depth of its engineering talent. This strength extends into the 昀椀eld of AI. Over the past decade, Europe has not only witnessed a greater than 10x increase in the number of people working in AI roles but also claims a larger resident population of high- ly-skilled AI professionals compared to the US. 53 | Executive summary
Of course, many of these AI professionals are working in roles at US-headquartered technology companies that have built a large AI research presence in Europe, such as Alphabet or Meta. But as the example of Mistral AI demonstrates - a company founded by European former leading AI researchers at Meta and DeepMind - these European-based pools of AI talent have become an incredibly rich breeding ground for the founders and talent behind the next generation of European AI companies. Number of professionals actively employed in AI/ML roles by region, 2014 to 2023 Europe United States 150 125 Notes: To adjust for lags in reporting, we compare snapshots of data at s different points in time, which e100 l allows us to estimate future o r L growth of current figures by M / extrapolating differences between I A 75 time points. 2023F is based on e v data adjusted for lag effect and i t c extrapolated based on data as of a f 20 September 2023. Data consists o of all companies, including # 50 non-tech. This is based on an analysis of the job titles of 216m professionals. The universe of 25 professional considered to be actively employed in AI/ML roles is based on a search utilizing both common job titles in the field (e.g. 0 AI Researcher, ML Engineer), as 1 well as key phrases used in job 5 7 4 6 8 9 0 2 3 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 0 2 0 0 titles (e.g. Deep Learning, 2 2 2 2 Reinforcement Learning). The query includes titles and keywords both common today and histori- cally. A consistent methodology is applied consistently across all profiles in all geographies. Sources: Powered by What we’re seeing is a digital renaissance that’s really pushing the bounds of creativity, curiosity, self expression and intelligence. Mira Murati CTO, OpenAI If you really push these bounds, natural language - how we talk to one another - is really becoming a new coding language. And with that, people have this superpower to build anything. What we use this for is up to us. | 54
We need to take an empirical, research-driven approach to safety. Matt Clifford Prime Minister’s Representative for the AI Safety Summit, Co- founder of Entrepreneur First Regulation often fails when policy makers try to predict the future. Much better to commit to building public sector capacity to properly understand the capabilities, opportunities and risks of fast develop- ing AI systems - as the UK has done with the AI Safety Institute. Meteoric rise of tech entrepreneurship As the AI wave initiates a new technology supercycle, it’s an important moment to re昀氀ect on what it will take for Europe to capture a meaningful share of this opportunity. Europe has experienced a remarkable surge in tech entrepreneurship over the last decade, resulting in the largest pool of tech startups ever seen in the region. More than 350 startups have grown to become breakout, billion-dollar companies. But this metric is inherently backwards-looking, and therefore not as useful. The forward-looking opportunity of the European tech ecosystem is best illustrated by the nearly 4,000 growth stage tech companies that have the potential to become the next generation of European breakout success stories. What’s more, this number itself is poised to double over the next 昀椀ve years, thanks to the breadth and depth of early stage startup activity across Europe and these companies’ expected progression through the startup lifecycle. Of course, the pool of startups at the early stages also keeps expanding. Today, Europe has 41,000 early stage startups, and in the next 昀椀ve years alone, this pool will be expanded by the emergence of at least 25,000 tech startups that are anticipated to start their journey. 55 | Executive summary
Snapshot of unique companies headquartered in Europe by stage Early stage companies Growth stage companies $1B companies Notes: Data as of 30Sep 2023. Based on historial analysis of conversion rates: 15% Sources: Powered by of Seed stage companies convert A on average and 33% of Series A convert to Series B(for the majority of those converting, it takes place within 2 years); these rates have been applied to the current cohort of Seed and Early stage companies for illustrative perposes. Europe’s blend of purpose, talent and investment potential is unrivalled, putting it on a clear trajectory to becoming the next tech superpower. Erin Platts CEO, HSBC Innovation Banking UK Startup creation in Europe outpaces any region and we expect the breadth and depth of this activity to grow, with 25,000 more in the next 昀椀ve years. What sets us apart is not only the pace of growth – it’s local investors stepping up to support mission-driven founders that bring together the best and brightest to solve critical challenges. Sustainability and climate in particular have been at the heart of the European ecosystem, with the Energy & Carbon sector attracting the most VC investment this year alone. The rise in funding for growth stage companies and the potential for more IPOs in 2024 also sets the scene for a maturing tech ecosystem in Europe, unlocking more pathways to growth for purpose-driven founders. | 56
Europe’s tech startup boom meets funding bottleneck Europe is seeing more new tech startups being formed than any other region, supported by the strongest ever teams working on the most challenging and urgent problems. Europe has all the essential raw ingredi- ents to become the next tech superpower. But for Europe to be able to shape the future of tech, the ecosys- tem needs to take further action to embrace the opportunity and to embrace the risk that comes with it. Europe’s ability to fund and build true innovation has evolved by leaps and bounds over the past decade. Nev- ertheless, a noticeable disparity with the US persists in terms of access to capital. More European tech startups are formed each year, but over time, a growing gap emerges when it comes to their likelihood to secure external investment. After 昀椀ve years, US tech startups are 40% more likely to have successfully secured venture capital funding. This is in spite of the fact that once companies secure an initial round of Seed investment, the probability of scaling to a billion-dollar valuation is the same in Europe as it is in the US. This underlines the imperative for the European tech ecosystem to ensure that funding 昀氀ows to European talent, to give them the 昀椀repower to compete globally and to ensure Europe can play a meaningful role in shaping the future. 57 | Executive summary
Early stage funnel for 2018 cohort of companies, Europe vs United States Europe United States 20 15 ) 0 0 0 ' ( s p u 10 t r a t s f o # 5 0 Notes: Startups +1 Year +3 Years +5 Years Data as of 20 September 2023. formed Based on historical analysis of # of startups funded (years post funding) conversion rates: 15% of Seed stage companies convert to Series A on average and 33% of Series A convert to Series B (for the majority of those converting, it takes place within 2 years); these Sources: Powered by rates have been applied to the current cohort of Seed and Early stage companies for illustrative purposes. Founders are looking for alignment on vision When asked the same simple question - what do founders really want from their VCs - there is a surprising divergence in responses depending on whether you ask this of the founders themselves, or whether you put it to VCs. While VC respondents are most likely to cite the importance of building a relationship with founders early (the top ranked answer selected by 29% of VC respondents), this features way down the list of priorities for found- ers (13% of founder respondents). For founders, however, what truly matters is 昀椀nding a VC that truly ‘gets them’, highlighted by the fact that a shared alignment of vision/purpose is by far the most cited response (36%) selected by founder respondents. This desire to 昀椀nd an investor with a strong connection to their company is also indicated by the high share of | 58
founder response highlighting the importance of industry or thematic expertise (22% of founders), as well the importance of having chemistry with the investor partner (28% of respondents). What is also interesting is just how low down the priority list certain oft-discussed considerations rank for both founders and VCs, such as the diversity of the investment team, prior founder experience, and brand a昀케nity. What are the most important considerations when selecting an investor to lead your next round? The past 12 months, and thinking generally about market, what in your opinion have been the most decisive factors to win a competitive deal situation? Notes: Founder and VC respondents only. Respondents who selected”other” are excluded from data. Numbers do not add to 100 as respondents could choose multiple options. Sources: 59 | Executive summary
Re昀氀ecting on Skype’s 20th anniversary A single success story can have an outsized impact on the tech ecosystem. This is exempli昀椀ed by Skype, co-founded 20 years ago by the CEO of Atomico, Niklas Zennström. Skype’s workforce absorbed a culture of innovation and subsequently went on to start Europe’s next gener- ation of leading tech companies. In total, the 昀椀rst- and second-generation entrepreneurs to have emerged from the Skype alumni network have gone on to start more than 900 companies across 50 countries all around the world. This alumni network has already produced additional billion-dollar companies and, today, Skype alumni com- panies employ more than 65,000 people worldwide. It’s astonishing to witness the ecosystem-level effect that a single game-changing company can have over time. Cumulative number of founding roles across the Skype ecosystem, 2004 to 2023YTD 1st Generation (Post-Skype) Next Generations 1000 800 s e l o r g n i 600 d n u o f f o # e v i 400 t a l u m u C 200 0 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 11 2 3 4 5 6 17 8 9 0 1 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 2 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Sources: Powered by Notes: Data is as of 20 September 2023. | 60
I feel incredibly proud of what we started at Skype. Niklas Zennström Founder & CEO, Atomico At the time, sceptics thought that the European tech scene was over and that we’d never recover from the dot-com crash. Skype, and all of the brilliant companies that followed, proved those sceptics wrong. Together, we’ve built an innovative and, crucially, resilient ecosystem that’s on the cusp of becoming a superpower. Each success story contributes to the health of the European tech 昀氀ywheel Skype acted as a launchpad for diverse entrepreneurial ventures. The visual below illustrates a fascinating network of innovation and entrepreneurship stemming from a single origin point, Skype. What this represents is the powerful impact that just one successful and in昀氀uential company can have on its ecosystem and the broader industry. The individuals who have branched out from Skype, the ‘next-generation founders’, are building on their prior experiences and leveraging their expertise to shape the future of their respective industries. The various companies emerging from Skype demonstrate the diversity in expertise and talent represented. This visualisation shows that innovation doesn’t stop with one successful company. It has a ripple effect and continues to boost the European tech 昀氀ywheel well after it was 昀椀rst established. 61 | Executive summary
Skype network visualised 950 companies 65k employess 50 countries Notes: Brand on public Linkedin profiles only and companies defined “tech” as per Atomico’s proprietary taxonmy model; Nodes size represent total capital raised by companies, VC Sources: Powered by funds are not sized according to their AuM. Data as of 20th of Septem- ber2023. The next wave The Skype effect speaks to the catalytic impact of just one success story. Back in 2003, during the darkest days for the European technology industry following the dotcom crash, would anyone have predicted that the value of the ecosystem today would have increased by a factor of more than 45x to hit $3T? Would many have predicted that billion-dollar exits would start to be counted by the hundred? Surely not. And yet, in just the past 昀椀ve years alone, there have been a remarkable 111 billion-dollar exits of European tech companies. This is a huge number, but it is also just the start. Europe’s never had a stronger pipeline of billion-dollar exit candidates. This also underlines why it’s so critical for the ecosystem to see a return to a healthy and functioning exit mar- ket, both in the form of entry to public markets, as well as through M&A. | 62
Count of $1B+ European tech IPOs and M&As, 2019 to 2023 M&A IPO 125 100 s A & M d n 75 a s O P I h c e t + 50 B 1 $ f o # 25 0 9 0 1 2 D s 1 2 2 2 T r 0 0 0 0 Y a 2 2 2 2 3 e 2 Y 20 t 5 Las Notes: S&P Capital IQ Platform, as of date 30 September 2023, for illustrative purposes only. Includes announced Sources: and completed M&A transactions only (excluding since terminated/with- drawn). Talent 昀氀ywheel accelerating with unicorn alumni The story of Skype is far from unique in Europe today. In fact, the European tech ecosystem has witnessed an industry-wide surge in the number of new companies launched by individuals that have spun out of Europe’s billion-dollar companies. In doing so, they bene昀椀t signi昀椀cantly from the established knowledge and networks they take with them. Remarkably, nearly 9,000 companies have been initiated by alumni of European exited unicorns that were founded during the 2000s. To put this into perspective, it is nearly a staggering 50% increase compared to the unicorns founded in the 1990s. It is not di昀케cult to imagine how this network effect will signi昀椀cantly in昀氀uence Europe’s path in the next ten years. 63 | Executive summary
Number of new 1st and 2nd generation founders spun out from exited European unicorns, by unicorn founding decade and years since founding 2010s 2000s 10k 1990s 8k t u o n 6k u p s s r e d n u o f 4k f o # 2k 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 Years since $B+ company founding Notes: Sources: Powered by Based on founders attrib- utes and the date they indicated starting their company | 64
02 Investment levels 67 Countries 103 Themes 127 Companies

2.1 Investment levels
Key 昀椀ndings Europe is on track to raise $45 billion of capital in 2023 While this is signi昀椀cantly less than the $82 billion raised in 2022, it’s still the third-highest year on record. Few new members admitted to the billion-dollar startup club This year is on track to see the lowest number of $B+ companies emerge from Europe in the last decade, with only 7 new unicorns. Europe’s startups are experiencing a funding bottleneck After 昀椀ve years, US tech startups are 40% more likely to have secured venture capital funding than their European counterparts. That’s despite the fact that af- ter securing an initial Seed round, a company’s chances of reaching a billion-dol- lar valuation are the same in Europe and the US.
On track for $45B of capital invested in 2023 Total capital invested into the European tech ecosystem in 2023 is on track to reach around $45B, starkly highlighting the impact on capital 昀氀ows as a result of the shift in the broader macro landscape. This will be down more than half (55%) from the record year of 2021, when investment volumes surpassed the threshold of $100B for the 昀椀rst time. This also represents a steep drop-off of 38% from 2022’s total of $82B. The decline is not surprising given the dual effect of many later-stage companies delaying fundraising, as well as materially slower deployment pac- ing by investors, which have both served to drive the large decline in the prevalence of outsized, growth stage investment rounds - the biggest factor in the lower amounts of capital invested. While the decline from the peak in 2021 is large, it’s worth highlighting that 2023 is on track to be the third-largest year on record by total capital invested, and is on track to come in at four times the volume seen 10 years ago in 2014. In fact, the resetting of investment levels appears to re昀氀ect a correction to the long-term upwards trajectory, following two outlier years of overheated activity. Total capital invested ($B) in Europe, 2014 to 2023E 120 100 $100B $82B ) 80 B $ ( d e t s e 60 v n i l a t i $45B p a C 40 $36B $38B $29B $24B 20 $17B $18B $12B 0 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023E Notes: Data is as of 30 September 2023. Full year extrapolated based on year to date data. Sources: Powered by Excludes the following: biotech, secondary transac- tions, debt, lending capital, and grants. 69 | Companies
To stay ahead in a rapidly evolving industry, founders and startups must be agile, willing to experiment, pivot and take risks. Glen Waters Head of Early Stage Banking, HSBC Innovation Banking UK They need to look ahead, keeping up to date on the latest trends and technologies, whilst being customer centric and ensuring expectations are exceeded, including creating new products and services. Following these principles will help founders develop and scale at pace and position a company for success. Beyond the slowdown, a funding equilibrium The decrease in investment since 2021 is mainly due to a slowdown at the growth stages. However, after a sharp drop right after the peak, there has been a stable total investment volume for the past 昀椀ve quarters. There are two important things to note. First, early stage investment has stayed stable despite the turbulence in investment volume since 2021, re昀氀ecting the vibrancy of Europe’s early stage startup scene. Second, if we exclude the overheated 18-month period from Q1 2021 to Q2 2022, we get a clearer view of the trajectory of consistent, long-term growth in investment in the European tech ecosystem. Total capital invested ($B) in Europe by stage and by quarter, 2014 to 2023 35 Growth stage Early stage 30 ) 25 B $ ( d e t s 20 e v n i l a t i p 15 a c l a t o T 10 5 0 Notes: 4 4 15 5 6 6 17 17 8 8 9 9 0 0 1 1 2 2 3 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Data is as of 30 September 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 3 Q1 3 Q1 3 Q1 3 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 3 2023. Excludes the following: Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q biotech, secondary transac- tions, debt, lending capital, and grants. Sources: Powered by | 70
The market reset is a global phenomenon Of course, the market reset isn’t solely a European concern: it’s a worldwide phenomenon with Europe facing the same downward trend in investment as every other region globally. There has been a notably consistent reduction in global private tech investment not only in Europe, but also in the US, China, and beyond. However, zooming out a few years, Europe has continued on an upward trajectory and is on track to raise 18% more compared to 2020. We are the only region globally where long term growth has not 昀氀attened out. Mean- while the US, China and Rest of World are on track to land on or below 2020 昀椀gures. Capital invested and chnage in capital invested (%) by region, 2020 versus 2023 Europe United States China RoW $45B $120B $48B $45B 2023E 2023E 2023E 2023E +18% -1% -7% -8% 2023E vs 2023E vs 2023E vs 2023E vs 2020 2020 2020 2020 Notes: Data is as of 30th September 2023. Full year extrapolated based on year to date data. Excludes the following: biotech, secondary transac- Sources: Powered by tions, dept, lending capital and grants. 71 | Companies
The toughest fundraising environment The impact of the market reset is visible in founder sentiment when asked about the change in fundraising conditions over the past 12 months. 80% of founder respondents to the survey say that it has become harder to raise venture capital over the past year. Just 7% of respondents stated that conditions had eased. It’s worth noting that this year’s responses suggest that fundraising conditions have deteriorated even further from what was already a challenging moment at the time of last year’s survey, when 82% of founder respond- ents said that it had become more challenging to raise venture capital. Looking at respondents from different demographics, underrepresented founders are having a relative- ly harder time. While the views of women and men founders are aligned, non-white founders report facing tougher barriers (87%) to fundraising compared to their white peers (79%). In your opinion, is it easier or harder to raise venture capital in Europe than it was 12 months ago? Easier Unchanged Harder 100 80 s t60 n e d n o p s e r f o 40 % 20 0 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Notes: Sources: Founder respondents only. Numbers may not add up to 100 due to rounding. | 72
Diversi昀椀cation within teams allows for greater capacity to adapt. However to sustain and build upon this trajectory, continued targeted efforts must be made to further dismantle systemic biases and promote inclusivity. Karl Lokko Chairman, Black Seed Increased accessibility to information has inspired many over the last decade to embark on ‘starting up’. Empowered by a culture of experience sharing, entrepreneurial awakenings are happening all over. This information evolution has contributed to a burgeoning diversity in seed-stage excellence. The trans- formative impact of COVID-19 has underscored a need for adapt- ability. Combined with a post George Floyd era, a paradigm shift has begun to take place. Under representation was collectively challenged, allowing for a greater endorsement of black talent in entrepreneurship, an increased focus on female representa- tion within founding teams and a wider acknowledgment that diverse teams out perform their non diverse counterparts. Di- versi昀椀cation within teams allows for greater capacity to adapt. However to sustain and build upon this trajectory, continued targeted efforts must be made to further dismantle systemic biases and promote inclusivity. The entrepreneurial ecosystem’s commitment to widening the funnel isn’t just an ethical impera- tive but a strategic advantage for the entire startup landscape. 73 | Companies
Crossover investor activity grinds to a halt As highlighted in the ‘First Look’ midyear update to the State of European Tech, a consequence of a very dif- ferent exit landscape has been a huge decrease in - and in some cases a complete withdrawal from - activity by so-called ‘crossover investors.’ The retreat of these funds that actively invest across both the public and private markets has been a major factor in the slowdown of late-stage and large-round investment activity. In 2022, the volume of new investment activity had already started to slow dramatically, especially during the second half of the year. This year, investment activity has effectively ground to a halt, with just four new in- vestments announced publicly so far. Interestingly, this slowdown is visible across both large rounds of more than $100M and smaller rounds. Number of new investments by selected crossover investors by quarter, 2019 to 2023 $100M+ 30
Bench of active European investors is deepening The number of unique investors actively deploying into European tech companies has risen consistently over the past decade, unsurprisingly spiking during the peak period of 2021 and the 昀椀rst half of 2022. This period was characterised by a signi昀椀cant ramp in the number of investors from outside the region deploying into Europe, growing especially quickly from North America. While the full-year numbers for 2023 will end up higher than the year-to-date numbers shown in the chart, the reset in the market has seen the number of active investors retreat, driven by a signi昀椀cantly reduced level of participation from non-European investors. But despite the slowdown in 2023, and even without taking into account full-year numbers, the base of active investors is still more than double the level of just a decade ago. This commitment to embrace the perceived risk of investing through market cycles is a critical foundation to ensure the European tech ecosystem continues to bene昀椀t from a signi昀椀cant and stable base of local inves- tors. Number of unique investors investing in European tech by investor HQ region, 2014 to 2023 Other Asia North America 10k Europe 8k s r o t s 6k e v n i e u q i n u 4k f o # 2k 0 4 5 6 17 8 9 0 1 2 D 1 1 1 0 1 1 2 2 2 T 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 Y 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 0 Notes: 2 Data is as of 30 September 2023. Excludes the follow- ing: biotech, secondary transactions, debt, lending Sources: Powered by capital, and grants. Other includes investors with HQ countries in rest of the world. 75 | Companies
Round volumes trending back to pre-2021 levels The slowdown in investment activity is re昀氀ected in a decreased count of disclosed investment rounds. Look- ing at the investment activity across the last ten years, 2021 and 2022 are standout years, while 2023 is on track to land in line with prior years. The category of rounds involving investment amounts of $5M or less continue to represent the overwhelming majority of all activity, equating to 73% of all rounds in 2023. It should be noted, however, that this category is most impacted by the so-called reporting lag, which results in early-stage investment rounds being systematically unpublicised for an extended period of time until re- porting catches up to subsequent data disclosures. This reporting lag notwithstanding, it’s notable that sub-$5M rounds account have been shrinking as a pro- portion of total investment rounds raised in Europe each year. Over the past three years, $5M+ rounds have accounted for around one-quarter (24-27%) of all activity each year. A decade ago in 2014, that share stood at just over one-tenth (11%). Number of rounds by size and by year, 2014 to 2023 $250M+ $100-250M 12k $50-100M $20-50M $10-20M 10k $5-10M
Mega-round momentum drops The combination of the withdrawal of crossover investors and the general slowdown in late-stage investment activity is unsurprisingly re昀氀ected in a huge decline in the number of so-called mega-rounds, meaning round sizes of $100M or more. In the peak of 2021, there were almost 200 rounds of this magnitude, including more than 50 rounds greater than $250M. While this number declined slightly in 2022 to 163 rounds of $100M or more (of which 38 were greater than $250M), the 昀椀rst nine months of 2023 saw a far more signi昀椀cant decrease. In the 昀椀rst nine months of 2023 to date, there have been 36 rounds of $100M or more, of which only seven have been sized in excess of $250M. Number of $100M+ rounds, 2014 to 2023YTD $250M+ $100-250M 250 200 s 150 d n u o r f o # 100 50 0 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 D 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 T 0 0 0 20 0 0 0 0 0 Y 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 20 Notes: Data is as of 30 September Sources: Powered by 2023. Excludes the follow- ing: biotech, secondary transactions, debt, lending capital, and grants. 77 | Companies
Tough times for Europe’s billion-dollar companies Predictably, a reduction in growth stage funding round volume and a major reset in the valuation environment has led to a huge drop in the number of companies surpassing the billion-dollar valuation milestone for the 昀椀rst time in 2023. 2023 is on track to see the lowest number of new $B+ companies emerge from Europe in the last decade, with just seven as of the publication deadline at the end of October 2023. This is, of course, in stark contrast to 2021’s record-breaking total when 108 new companies hit a billion-dollar valuation. In last year’s report we 昀椀rst introduced the concept of de-horned unicorns, $B+ companies whose valuation has dropped below this milestone since 昀椀rst hitting it. In 2022, we mapped 58 dehorned unicorns. This year, that number has reduced slightly, with 50, meaning some companies have seen their valuation lifted back up above the billion-dollar level in 2023. For clarity, when referring to $B+ companies, we have in mind tech com- panies that command that valuation today. Number of new $1B+ European tech companies by year, 2014 to 2023YTD 125 108 s e 100 i n a p m o c h c 75 e t n a e p o r u 48 E 50 + B 1 38 $ w 31 32 e n 27 f 23 23 o 25 21 # 7 0 4 5 6 17 8 9 0 1 2 D 1 1 1 0 1 1 2 2 2 T 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 Y 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 0 2 Notes: Data is as of 30 September Sources: 2023. Excludes the follow- ing: biotech, secondary transactions, debt, lending capital, and grants. | 78
Many $B+ companies yet to raise amidst new market reality Over the 昀椀ve-year period between 2018 and 2022, a total of 257 European tech companies 昀椀rst surpassed the milestone of reaching a billion-dollar valuation, including more than 150 in 2021 and 2022 alone during the most heated period of the market. This chart seeks to explore the extent to which these valuations have endured as this cohort of companies has gone on to raise subsequent rounds of investment since 昀椀rst achieving a billion-dollar valuation and, if they have, whether those rounds were raised at higher or lower valuations. Of course, this analysis is limited to publicly-disclosed data, but is still directionally helpful to understand the trend. As is clearly visible in the data, a large number of billion-dollar companies - particularly those that 昀椀rst sur- passed the milestone in 2021 or 2022 - have yet to disclose additional funding rounds. While many companies may keep their valuations intact, it seems likely that there is still a meaningful number of others, particularly from the classes of 2021 and 2022, that may face a correction when next seeking to raise capital. Distribution of $B+ companies by year first surpassed $B+ milestone and status of subsequent capital raises and valuation Disclosed an additional capital raise at a lower 100 valuation Disclosed an additional capital raise at a higher valuation 80 Disclosed an additional capital raise, but valuation not disclosed s e No additional capital i n 60 raise or valuation has a p been disclosed m o c + B $ f 40 o % 20 0 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Year company first surpassed $B+ valuation milestone Sources: Notes: Data is as of 31 October 2023. 79 | Companies
Founders having to adjust expectations In this year’s survey, we asked founders to share their speci昀椀c experiences in attempting to raise their most recent rounds of investment. The responses make for tough reading. The vast majority of founders highlighted the impact of challenging fundraising conditions on most aspects of their process. The most notable impacts cited were extended process timelines, the need to adjust valuation expectations down, and having to reduce round sizes or take more dilution than hoped. That being said, there’s always a small number of founders and companies that are able to successfully navigate challenging market conditions to negotiate with potential investors and command more favourable terms. In which areas (if any) did you have to make changes over the course of your most recent fundraising, were these favourable or unfavourable? Favourable change No change Unfavourable change Extending the timeline of th… Expectations on valuation Round size Postponing fundraise Founding team dilution Investor outreach Due diligence scope Investor round composition (… Introduce liquidation prefer… Top up ESOP pool 0 20 40 60 80 100 % of respondents Notes: Founder respondents only. Sources: Respondents who selected "No change / Not applica- ble" are excluded from the data. | 80
Building the company for the long-term and focusing on things within our control is key. Oskari Saarenmaa Co-Founder & CEO, Aiven Aiven, like many growth companies, secured funding during fa- vorable market conditions. Now everyone’s focus is on product, customers and execution. Once markets regain momentum, we’ll be in a great position. As economist and investor Benjamin Graham put it: “In the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run, it is a weighing machine.” Average time between rounds is not yet extending While there has been much discussion about a potential extension of the average time between investment rounds as founders seek to delay returning to the market to raise additional capital, this hypothesis is yet to be re昀氀ected in publicly-disclosed data. This is likely due to the fact that companies that have had to elongate the time between their funding rounds have yet to come back to the market to raise capital in su昀케cient volume to impact the overall numbers. The companies that have had di昀케culty closing new rounds of investment or are simply waiting things out are, of course, not captured in the data. As of Q3 2023, the median time between rounds for growth stage companies has remained largely unchanged throughout the 昀椀ve-year reporting period, clocking in at an average of 23 months between consecutive rounds. For early stage companies, meanwhile, only a slight uptick in the median interval between investment rounds is visible in the data. 81 | Companies
Time between rounds by quarter and stage, 2019 to 2023 Slowest decile Early stage Median 35 Fastest decile 30 25 s20 h t n o M 15 10 5 0 9 9 9 9 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 1 Q Q Q Q Q1 2 3 4 Q Q Q Q Q 2 3 4 Q Q2 Q3 Q Q Q Q Q Q Slowest decile Growth stage Median 70 Fastest decile 60 50 s40 h t n o M30 20 10 0 9 9 9 9 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 1 Q Q Q Q Q1 2 3 4 Q Q Q Q4 Q1 2 3 4 Q Q2 Q3 Q Q Q Q Q Q Notes: Data is as of 30 September 2023. Sources: | 82
Continuation of upward trend in bridge rounds in 2023 In last year’s State of European Tech report, a clear uptick in bridge rounds was already becoming evident by Q2 2022. Today, that uptick has developed into a clear trend, with 2023 seeing the highest share of bridge rounds across all stages globally since 2019. Bridge rounds are more common at the earliest stages of a startup’s fundraising journey, when they serve to buy more time to 昀椀nd product-market 昀椀t. This is also re昀氀ected in the data, with Seed stage (38%) and Series A (39%) seeing the highest share of extension rounds in 2023, as well as in previous years. The relatively high share of bridge rounds in the later stages underscores uncertainty in the market, as found- ers look to reinforce balance sheets and boost cash runways. Share of rounds that were bridge rounds by stage, 2019 to 2023YTD Seed Series A Series B 50 Series C Series D s 40 d n u o r e g d i r b 30 e r e w t a h t s d n 20 u o r l a t o t f o % 10 0 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023YTD Notes: Data is as of 31 October 2023. Based on global data. Sources: 83 | Companies
Debt 昀椀nancing volume mirrors equity While the levels of venture debt funding have come down in absolute terms from the highs of 2021 and 2022, the decline in volumes is broadly aligned with overall equity investment volume trends in Europe over the same period. In absolute terms, total debt 昀椀nancing raised by European tech companies is projected to reach around $1.5B in 2023, equating to around 3.4% of the total capital invested as equity over the same period. This marks a fall the peak of $4.4B in debt 昀椀nancing raised in 2021, but remains broadly in line with amounts raised in 2019 or 2020. Debt financing ($B) and share of total VC investments (%) by year, 2019 to 2023 Debt ($B) % of total VC investments 6 5 % 4 o f t o t ) a l B V $ C ( t 3 i b n e v e D s t m e n t 2 s 1 0 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023E All Dealroom.co data excludes Israel and the following: biotech, secondary transac- Sources: tions, debt, lending capital, and grants. Data as of 30 September 2023. | 84
Soft equity markets have prompted companies to reassess their operational strategies. With diminished access to capital, many founders have turned to raising debt facilities to support their balance sheets. Sonya Iovieno Head of Venture and Growth Banking, HSBC Innovation Banking UK Firms have honed their focus on operational e昀케ciencies and driving towards pro昀椀tability. The imperative to do more with less has spurred boards to slim their top-line spend, reduce headcount where it is less impactful to RoI and become more innovative around workforce optimsation. At the same time, growth is still important and investing in the levers that deliv- er e昀케cient growth, remains key to driving enterprise value. Put simply, each additional dollar of spend should account for incremental RoI. In essence, the challenging equity landscape has compelled innovation companies to streamline, innovate and strategically reposition themselves to thrive in an evolving 昀椀nancial environment. Smaller rounds extending runway A further impact of changing fundraising conditions is evident in the number of companies raising larger subsequent funding rounds. During the height of market in terms of capital availability in 2021, the share of rounds raised that were larger than prior rounds (up rounds) hit record highs. For example, in the 昀椀rst half of 2022, before conditions in Europe shifted, more than 80% of all rounds raised by companies were at least 10% higher than the round of investment immediately-prior. By Q1 2023, this had fallen to just 65% of rounds, while in that same quarterly period, 27% of all rounds raised were actually at least 10% smaller than the preceding round. This is not surprising given the change in capital availability and the cost of capital, which has meant that founders and companies have had to become increasingly open to raising smaller rounds - sometimes at low- er valuations - even if those rounds don’t provide the same cushion in terms of cash balance and runway that became commonplace during 2021 and 2022, when external capital was more readily available. By Q3 2023, the share of larger rounds was up at 77% again, but it is still too early to tell if this reversal is here to stay. 85 | Companies
Distribution of rounds per quarter based on size of round relative to prior funding round, 2019 to 2023 No (>10% smaller than prior round) 100 Stable (within +/- 10% of prior round) Yes (>10% larger than prior round) 80 s 60 d n u o r f o % 40 20 0 9 9 9 9 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Q 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Notes: Data is as of 30 September 2023. Stable is defined as a ± 10% change. Excludes the following: biotech, second- Sources: Powered by ary transactions, debt, lending capital, and grants. Minimum Series A rounds. Round sizes realign with historical averages Unsurprisingly, capital investment volumes are also being shaped by changes in round sizes, and not just the absolute count of rounds taking place. At the later stage, following a reduction in the latter half of 2022, there are now observable signs of stabilisation in round size over the course of the past four quarters. As a conse- quence, round sizes are back in line with the longer-term, 5-10 year averages for the growth stages. The trend at the earlier stages, however, is somewhat different. At Seed and Series A, median round sizes have also seen a period of stabilisation following rapid increases during 2020 and 2021, but remain elevated at levels signi昀椀cantly above 5-10 year averages. For growth stage founders in particular, this inevitably translates to having to achieve more with less capital for an extended period of time, despite the ongoing in昀氀ationary pressures on wages that are keeping talent costs elevated. | 86
The same trends are playing out across the ocean, where US Seed stage companies raise signi昀椀cantly larger rounds - roughly twice as large as their European counterparts. This delta starts narrowing as companies mature, disappearing by Series C. Round size ($M) per quarter by stage, 2019 to 2023 Median Seed Last 5 years average Last 10 years average 3 US Median 2 ) M $ ( e z i s d n u o R 1 0 9 9 9 9 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 3 4 1 3 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 Q Q Q Q Q Q2 Q Q4 Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Median Series A Last 5 years average 16 Last 10 years average US Median 14 12 ) 10 M $ ( e z i s 8 d n u o R 6 4 2 0 9 9 9 9 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 3 4 1 3 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 Q Q Q Q Q Q2 Q 4 Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Notes: Data is as of 30 September 2023. Sources: Powered by 87 | Companies
Median Series B Last 5 years average 40 Last 10 years average US Median 30 ) M $ ( e z i s 20 d n u o R 10 0 9 9 9 9 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 3 4 1 1 2 3 4 1 1 2 3 Q Q Q Q Q 2 3 4 Q Q Q Q Q Q2 Q3 4 Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Series C Median Last 5 years average 100 Last 10 years average US Median 80 ) M 60 $ ( e z i s d n u o 40 R 20 0 9 9 9 9 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Q 2 Q3 4 1 2 3 4 Q1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Notes: Data is as of 30 September 2023. Sources: Powered by | 88
What’s di昀케cult for a business leader to see is that your company’s valuation isn’t the be all and end all, this is always going to 昀氀uctuate and the pressures surrounding that will always exist. Vishal Marria Founder & CEO, Quantexa Raising cash is important. But to do so, you have to be prepared to walk away. What I mean by this is, as the entrepreneur, own the process, and don’t fall foul of investors trying to own that process. So, as you enter your Series A, B, C, D or E fundraise, think about what the optimum pack looks like. Remind yourself of your vision, the data you have, the product you have, how you stack up against the competition, and run with it. Ensure you have clear milestones and dates in mind. Or it’ll be easy to keep delaying things. And it’ll be easy to lose control. It’s also impor- tant to think about who is involved in these funding rounds – and how you work with them to strategically support your organisa- tion on its growth journey. You all need to be working towards the same vision and the same end goal. But, the biggest piece of advice that I can give to any entrepreneur is that great conver- sations, are just great conversations. Remember, the signed term sheet is what counts. That’s a sign of something real. And it’ll help you to set expectations with both parties. Down rounds increasing, but remain in minority While down rounds have captured a large share of industry attention, the market reality captured in the data is that the vast majority of new rounds of investment raised in 2023 (74%) were completed at valuations that were higher than that of the preceding round. In fact, despite a notable increase in the share of new rounds of investment raised at lower valuations to a company’s prior round in 2023, these still remain in the minority, comprising 21% of all rounds this year. Looking ahead to 2024, it is likely that this increased prevalence of down rounds will continue to be a charac- teristic of fundraising conditions, as more companies are forced to go back to market to raise capital and test valuations that haven’t recalibrated since the change in market conditions. 89 | Companies
Distribution of rounds per year based on change in pre-money valuation compared to prior round, 2019 to 2023 Down (>10% smaller than prior valuation) Flat (within +/- 10% 100 of prior round) Up (>10% larger than prior valuation) 80 s 60 d n u o r f o % 40 20 0 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023YTD Notes: Data is as of 30 September Sources: 2023. Flat is defined as a ± 10% change. Excludes the following: biotech, secondary transactions, debt, lending capital, and grants. Valuations back at 5- and 10-year averages Re昀氀ecting the multiple compression of the public markets, valuations in the private sphere are also returning to normalised pricing levels, once again framing 2021 as an exceptional year. Valuations across stages in Europe are now hovering around 5- and 10-year long-term averages. The notable stage exception is Seed, where despite a levelling off of median Seed pre-money valuations in 2023, there has not yet been a correction to long-term pricing averages in the same way that has been evident at every stage from Series A and later. This shift back toward longer-term averages in Europe mirrors what is happening in the US. Notably, however, median valuations in Europe continue to be 30-60% lower than in the US across all stages. | 90
Median pre-money valuation ($M) by stage, 2014 to 2023 Europe median Seed Europe 5-year median Europe 10-year median 14 US median 12 10 ) M $ 8 ( n o i t a u l 6 a V 4 2 0 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 D 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 T 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Y 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 0 2 Europe median Series A Europe 5-year median 50 Europe 10-year median US median 40 )30 M $ ( n o i t a u l a V20 10 0 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Notes: Data is as of 30 September 2023. Sources: Excluded biotech & pharma firms. 91 | Companies
Series B Europe median Europe 5-year median 150 Europe 10-year median US median 125 100 ) M $ ( n o i 75 t a u l a V 50 25 0 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Series C Europe median Europe 5-year median 350 Europe 10-year median US median 300 250 ) M200 $ ( n o i t a u l 150 a V 100 50 0 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Notes: Data is as of 30 September 2023. Excluded biotech & Sources: pharma firms. | 92
Investors back in the game In last year’s State of European Tech report, a clear uptick in bridge rounds was already becoming evident by Q2 2022. Today, that uptick has developed into a clear trend, with 2023 seeing the highest share of bridge rounds across all stages globally since 2019. Bridge rounds are more common at the earliest stages of a startup’s fundraising journey, when they serve to buy more time to 昀椀nd product-market 昀椀t. This is also re昀氀ected in the data, with Seed stage (38%) and Series A (39%) seeing the highest share of extension rounds in 2023, as well as in previous years. The relatively high share of bridge rounds in the later stages underscores uncertainty in the market, as found- ers look to reinforce balance sheets and boost cash runways. To what extent do you think investment opportunities at your stage of entry have become more or less competitive over the past 12 months? More No change Less 100 75 s t n e d n o p 50 s e r f o % 25 0 ge ge ge ge ge ge a a a a a a t t t t t t s s s s s s y h y h y h l t l t l t r r r a w a w a w E o E o E o r r r G G G 2021 2022 2023 Sources: Notes: VC respondents only. Numbers may not add up to 100 due to rounding. 93 | Companies
2023 was a challenging year for many in private capital. While the market remains uncertain, sentiment is shifting. The State of European Tech 2023 points to green shoots of recovery while acknowledging this is a critical moment. Ray Zhou Co-Founder & Co-CEO, A昀케nity Our research reveals a similar story: 87% of European dealmak- ers foresee doing the same or more deals in 2024, but each deal requires 10 more hours of research than a year ago. It’s a time of cautious optimism. Securing access to capital and customers As in previous years, we asked founders to share their biggest commercial, operational, and 昀椀nancial chal- lenges, both looking back over the past 12 months and looking forward to the year ahead. Looking back over the past 12 months, the top three most frequently cited challenges highlighted by founders were: securing access to capital (38% of founder respondents), securing new customers (37%), and managing longer sales conversion cycles (30%). Other frequently-cited challenges over the past year included 昀椀nding product-market 昀椀t, building repeatable sales processes and managing cash burn. Looking to the year ahead, most founders cited a similar set of expected challenges, led by securing new customers (44% of founder respondents), securing access to capital (41%), and building repeatable sales processes (27%). By stage, founders of Seed stage companies are relatively more concerned with securing access to capital in the next year (+10% compared to overall) while Series A founders have burn rates on their mind (+16%). As is to be expected, founders at Series B stage and beyond aren’t worried so much about 昀椀nding product-market 昀椀t, but are most focused on minimising existing customer churn instead. Turning the page over to founder demographic, women founders are relatively less worried about managing burn rates, mostly as a function of a high concentration of women founders in Angel and pre-Seed funded companies where companies are still in the early stages of product development. | 94
What do you anticipate to be your company’s biggest commercial, operational, and financial challenges? Past 12 months Next 12 months Securing access to capital Securing new customers Longer sales conversion times Finding product-market fit Repeatable sales processes Managing burn rate Converting customer intros Product-led growth Regulatory requirements Development of AI/ML Increased competition Increasing business costs Existing customer churn Transitioning to M&A Supply chain barriers Transition to public markets 0 10 20 30 40 50 % of respondents Sources: Notes: Founder respondents only. Share of funding going to mixed teams remains unchanged The share of capital investment and rounds raised by women continues to see very slow progress. In 2023, just 7% of rounds raised were captured by all-women founding teams, up just two percentage points over the past 昀椀ve years. Similarly, just 18% of rounds raised this year to date were captured by companies with at least one woman founder or co-founder. This share has increased by only a single percentage point over a 昀椀ve-year period. This means that 75% of all rounds raised this year went to all-men founding teams. In absolute terms, the numbers are even less positive. In 2023, all-women founding teams raised just 3% of all dollars invested in the year, with mixed gender founding teams taking 15%, leaving 82% of dollars to 昀氀ow to founding teams that are all men. This number has increased by a single percentage point since 2019. 95 | Companies
Share of capital raised (%) and share of rounds (%) by founding team gender composition, 2019 to 2023 Women Mixed 100 Men 80 78% 78% 77% 75% 75% s 60 d n u o r f o % 40 20 17% 17% 17% 19% 18% 5% 6% 6% 6% 7% 0 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023YTD Sources: Powered by Notes: Data is as of 20 September 2023. | 96
In recent years, there has been a growing emphasis on investing in underrepresented founders within the venture capital ecosystem, highlighting diversity as not just a moral imperative but also a strategic business advantage. Ladi Greenstreet CEO, Diversity VC However, despite achieving record levels of investment in underrepresented founders in 2020, it remains a fraction of what is invested in white, cisgender men. Recent trends and discussions point to a troubling trend: a reduction in funding to these diverse groups, re昀氀ecting a persistent perception that they are riskier investments. Despite efforts to change these perceptions, the industry often reverts to traditional investment models during economic downturns. The Atomico First Look data report illustrates this setback, showing a decrease in the percentage of overall investment allocated to female founders compared to the previous year. This regression underscores a reluctance to embrace the undeniable economic wisdom that diversity in leadership leads to better business performance. We had hoped for a more solid transition from rhetoric to action, considering the long-term nature of venture capital invest- ments. Unfortunately, the shift towards recognizing the tangible returns of diversity has been hampered by economic and politi- cal turbulence. This setback not only impedes progress but also fuels arguments from detractors who claim that diversity initi- atives fail to deliver a return on investment or, worse, result in negative consequences due to 昀氀awed execution. This situation is particularly disheartening when we observe the widespread recognition of diversity’s value in other sectors such as media, sports, entertainment, and 昀椀nancial services, where diversi昀椀ca- tion is a well-established strategy. It is puzzling why the venture capital industry would deviate from this proven approach. The recent reduction in funding for diverse founders represents a regressive step that contradicts the well-documented bene昀椀ts of diversity. It is crucial for the venture capital industry to resist the temptation to default to what may seem like ‘safe’ patterns and instead acknowledge the long-term value that diverse founders bring to the table. 97 | Companies
Some progress, but needle not moving perceptively on funding for women-led companies The funnel of women and mixed founding teams is healthiest at pre-Seed stage, with 8% of funding rounds going to women-led and 21% to mixed teams when looking at companies that raised funding between 2021 and 2023. The equivalent shares start shrinking quickly when looking at the next stages of fundraising. While there has been some minor progress compared to companies that raised the three years before, where woman-only teams captured only 1.7% of Series B-plus funding, it has been incredibly slow paced. The small share of funding going to women-only teams is a clear sign that male and female founders are not held to the same expectations. Were both subject to equal opportunities, the share of funding by team gender mix would be more evenly distributed across all levels of company maturity. Interestingly, mixed gender founding teams are punching signi昀椀cantly above their weight both in funding cap- tured as well as by round volume. 15% of all startups founded had mixed teams in the last three years, yet they captured 6 percentage points more (21%) of the total pre-seed stage count, with the delta levelling out only by Series B and beyond. Share of round count (%) and share of capital invested (%) by founding team gender composition, 2018 to 2023 100 Women (2021 - 2023) Mixed (2021 - 2023) Men (2021 - 2023) 75 Women (2018 - 2020) t n u Mixed (2018 - 2020) o c 50 f o Men (2018 - 2020) % 25 0 d d d A d d d d A d e ee ee s n e ee ee s n d ie o d ie o n S S r y n S S r y u - e e u - e e f e b f e b n r S d n r S d U P n U P n B a B a s s ie ie er er S S 2018 - 2020 2021 - 2023 Notes: Data is as of 20 September 2023. Sources: Powered by | 98
VC leadership is male-dominated Gender diversity issues prevail also at the funding, or venture capital 昀椀rm, level. When looking at the gender mix of General Partners (GPs), the most senior decision-makers in a venture 昀椀rm, women make up a small minority. Studies have shown that women VCs are more likely to allocate capital to women-led teams. Hence, an increase in women GPs might ultimately have a positive impact on the share of funding going to mixed and women-only founding teams. GPs themselves do not shine in gender diversity 16% Source of GPs are female Founders are looking for alignment on vision When asked the same simple question - what do founders really want from their VCs - the answers from founders and VCs are surprisingly divergent. While VC respondents are most likely to cite the strength of reputation of an investor (the top ranked answer selected by 31% of VC respondents), this features way down the list of priorities for founders (13% of founder respondents). For founders, what matters is 昀椀nding a VC that truly ‘gets them’ - shared alignment of vision/purpose is by far the most cited response (36%). Access to relevant networks, as well the importance of having chemistry with the investor partner, are next most-often cited (28% of founders). What is also interesting is just how low down the priority list certain oft-discussed considerations rank for both founders and VCs, such as the diversity of the investment team, prior founder experience, and brand a昀케nity. 99 | Companies
What are the most important considerations when selecting an investor to lead your next round? Over the past 12 months, and thinking gnerally about the market, what in your opinion have been the most decisive factors to win a competitive deal situation? Notes: Founder and VC respondents only. Respondents who selected “other” are excluded from Sources: data. Number do not add to 100 as respondents could choose multiple options. | 100
Apart from the necessary capital, founders of newer companies look at VCs who can commercially enable their growth. For example, VCs with a signi昀椀cant network in the founders’ target industries are invaluable in championing and promoting the solutions of their portfolio companies. Oana Jinga Co-Founder & CCO, Dexory This coupled with strategic guidance as well as concrete go-to- market and operational experience can really unlock exponen- tial growth. Last but foremost, founders tend to choose VCs who align to their companies’ vision but could be 昀氀exible enough to assist them in pivots should changing market conditions dic- tate. The key is choosing VCs who align with a company’s values and vision. A strong, collaborative relationship with VCs is vital for successfully managing the dynamic business landscape. What founders really want? In this year’s survey, we asked founders what they wish their investors had done differently since they entered into partnership. The asks are quite simple. Founders want a relationship that works, with close and more proactive engage- ment, and one built on clear communication, transparency and trust. They also value a shared mindset of embracing risk, being decisive and thinking in the long-term. Support in securing customers by proactively helping with business development also comes across as high on the wishlist. Beyond these things, access to a community for networking and mentorship, as well as secur- ing access to capital also featured frequently in founder feedback. 101 | Companies
What is the one thing you wish your investors did differently since the start of the partnership? Notes: Founder and C-level respndents only. Based on a sentiment of survey respondents free Sources: text answers. US startups bene昀椀t from greater access to capital Europe is seeing more new tech startups being formed than any other region, supported by the strongest ever teams working on the most challenging and urgent problems. Europe has all the essential raw ingredients to become the next tech superpower. But for Europe to be able to shape the future of tech, the ecosystem needs to take further action to embrace the opportunity - and the risk that comes with it. Europe’s ability to fund and spur innovation has evolved considerably over the past decade. Nevertheless, a noticeable disparity with the US persists in terms of access to capital. More European tech startups are formed each year, but over time, a growing gap emerges when it comes to their likelihood to secure external investment. After 昀椀ve years, US tech startups are 40% more likely to have successfully secured venture capital funding. This is in spite of the fact that once companies secure an initial round of Seed investment, the probability of scaling to a billion-dollar valuation is the same in Europe as it is in the US. | 102
This underlines the imperative for the European tech ecosystem to ensure that funding 昀氀ows to European tal- ent, giving them the 昀椀repower to compete globally and ensuring Europe can play a meaningful role in shaping the future. Number of new $1B+ European tech companies by year, 2014 to 2023YTD Europe 20 United States 15.8k 15.3k 15 s p u t r a t 10 s f o # 6.4k 5.3k 4.7k 5 3.6k 2.8k 1.8k Notes: Data as of 20 September 0 2023. Based on historical analysis of conversion rates: Startups formed +1 Year +3 Years +5 Years 15% of Seed stage compa- # of startups funded (years post funding) nies convert to Series A on average and 33% of Series A convert to Series B (for the majority of those convert- ing, it takes place within 2 years); these rates have Sources: been applied to the current Powered by cohort of Seed and Early stage companies for illustrative purposes. Companies that collectively raised $55B in their last rounds have yet to come back to market To better understand what might lie ahead in 2024, and to get more of a sense of the expected volume of companies that will need to raise capital next year, we have looked historically at the companies that raised rounds in each year, and mapped out whether they went on to raise an additional round of investment. Typically, 80% of companies that raised a funding round in any given year subsequently go on to raise another round of funding, whether those rounds are larger, 昀氀at, smaller, or of an undisclosed size. Looking back at the rounds that were raised in the peak years of 2021 and 2022, there is clearly still a large overhang in terms of companies that have not yet raised subsequent rounds, at least as far as what’s been 103 | Companies
publicly disclosed. In absolute terms, based on public information, this equates to approximately $55B of capital raised by companies in rounds that closed in 2021 and 2022 that should be expected to come back to market in 2024. Also of note is the fact that a materially smaller proportion of subsequent rounds raised by the 2021 and 2022 cohorts of companies will result in larger rounds. For example, 64% of companies that raised a round in 2021 have so far raised a subsequent round. Of those subsequent rounds, just 30% have been larger than the prior one. For those companies that raised in 2022, just 18% of those subsequent rounds have been larger than a prior round raised in 2022. The materiality of that shift is notable in that every other prior year, the equivalent number has typically been around 40% or higher. Capital invested by subsequent round status, 2014 to 2013 Next round - Undefined size Next round - No 100 subsequent round Next round - Smaller (>10% smaller than prior round) 75 Next round - Flat (within d +/- 10% of prior round) e s i Next round - Larger (>10% a r larger than prior round) g n i d 50 n u f l l a f o % 25 0 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 D 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 T 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Y 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 0 2 Notes: Data is as of 30 September Sources: Powered by 2023. Excludes the follow- ing: biotech, secondary transactions, debt, lending capital, and grants. | 104
2.2 Countries
Key 昀椀ndings The UK is losing its lead By share of total capital invested in Europe per country, the UK has lost out the most over the last three years, while countries like France, the Netherlands, and Norway have gained. Estonia remains a startup haven The small but mighty Baltic state sees the highest number of funded startups per capita, and the most billion-dollar companies per capita. Local capital is more important than ever As international investors retreat, local investors must step up to the plate, un- derscoring the signi昀椀cance of building a consistent source of European capital across all stages, and especially later ones.
Slowdown visible across Europe The slowdown of capital invested in private European tech companies is evident across the region, with sig- ni昀椀cant year-on-year declines recorded in every major European country between 2022 and 2023. The region-wide impact of slowing investments means that the ranking of Europe’s largest countries are largely unchanged compared to last year. The UK retains its top spot with a projected $12.7B of capital invest- ed, followed by France ($8.0B) and Germany ($7.8B). This year, the Netherlands ($2.1B projected) has risen back into the top 昀椀ve countries, displacing Switzerland ($1.7B) to join Sweden ($1.7B) to round out the top 昀椀ve countries by capital invested in 2023. Only a small number of countries bucked this trend - Lithuania, Romania, and Luxembourg are the only coun- tries to have recorded a year-on-year increase in total capital invested in 2023. Let’s start believing in ourselves. Europe possesses talent, innovation, and a legacy of groundbreaking innovations such as the World Wide Web and Linux. We must foster a culture that believes in the power of ideas and capabilities, promoting risk-taking and entrepreneurship. Oskari Saarenmaa CEO, Aiven This con昀椀dence is not just about individual success—it’s about cultivating a collective belief that Europe has the talent, crea- tivity, and resilience to lead in the global tech arena. By instilling this con昀椀dence in ourselves, we will make investments, foster innovation, and create an environment where tech pioneers 昀氀ourish. It’s not just about competing; it’s about embracing our unique strengths with con昀椀dence, paving the way for Europe to emerge as the next tech superpower. 107 | Companies
Capital invested ($M) by top 30 countries in 2023 United Kingdom France Germany Netherlands Sweden Switzerland Spain Norway Denmark Italy Belgium Ireland Austria Finland Lithuania Romania Estonia Luxembourg Portugal Poland Iceland Greece Czech Republic Bulgaria Cyprus Slovenia Slovakia Hungary Ukraine Bosnia and Herzegovina Notes: 0 2.5k 5k 7.5k 10k 12.5k 15k Data is as of 30 Amount ($M) of capital invested September 2023. Excludes the following: biotech, secondary transactions, debt, lending capital, and Sources: Powered by grants. 2023 figures extrapolated linearly based on year to date figures | 108
An optimistic Europe This year’s survey reveals a largely positive shape to industry sentiment, with around half of respondents reg- istering a more optimistic outlook for the future of European technology compared to 12 months ago. This is approximately double the share of respondents who reported a waning sense of optimism over the past year. Looking at how sentiment compares across countries, the picture is broadly aligned. In every country, the share of respondents with a positive outlook far outweighs the share that reported a negative change over the past 12 months. Nevertheless, around a quarter of respondents in all countries do say they are now less optimistic compared to this time last year. There are certain countries that stand out as particularly positive amongst survey respondents. 57% of respondents based in Poland are more positive about the future, the highest share of any individual country and a huge leap from last year. Similarly, 50% or more of respondents from Portugal, Spain, and Norway also reported improved sentiment over the past 12 months. Compared to 12 months ago, are you more or less optimistic today about the future of European technology? Less Same 100 More 75 s t n e d n o p 50 s e r f o % 25 0 d l n y y d k e ly a n d a s n a i a n n r m c i e n i d m a g a w a a a o n ta n d a tr n iu l tu p r rl d a I o e l s a g o r S o m m g r t in u rl l P o r ze n n F s w F A e e P N e it e i E S h B G D K w t S ed Ne nit U Sources: Notes: Numbers may not add up to 100 due to rounding. 109 | Companies
Norway’s optimism in the tech sector is signi昀椀cantly boosted by its robust welfare system and focus on work-life balance. Marit Rødevand Co-Founder & CEO, Strise Furthermore, the nation’s oil-generated wealth has heightened awareness about the urgent need for energy transition, mobiliz- ing both talent and resources toward sustainable tech solutions. UK’s lead eroding while the Netherlands leaps forward The emergence of 昀氀ourishing local tech ecosystems across the region has been a key theme in the growth of European tech in recent years, with capital 昀氀ows broadening and a shifting distribution in the share of total capital invested by country. So while the UK is - and continues to be - the largest hub in absolute terms, when it comes to capital invested, it has been gradually losing ‘market share’ on a European level. This chart highlights the biggest gains and falls by country, as measured by a change in their share of total capital invested in Europe. To avoid over-indexing on a single year, this compares a country’s share of total capital invested over the past three years (2021-2023) against the same country’s share in the three preceding years (2018-2020). On this basis, it’s clear that the UK, Sweden, and Finland have seen the largest erosion of their relative share of European funding, while the Netherlands, Norway and Estonia are amongst the countries that have cap- tured the biggest gains. For interest, we have also included a straightforward comparison of the change in the distribution of capital invested by country in 2023 versus 2019. The risers and fallers look very similar across the two charts, though this perspective catapults France to the top of the ‘gainers’. The UK remains the biggest net loser. | 110
Percentage point change of the share of European capital invested, 2018-2020 versus 2021-2023 Netherlands Norway Estonia Austria Germany Spain Czech Republic Greece Italy Lithuania Denmark Romania Luxembourg Portugal Slovenia Slovakia Bulgaria Cyprus France Switzerland Poland Ireland Belgium Finland Sweden United Kingdom Notes: -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 Data is as of 30 Percentage points September 2023. Excludes the following: biotech, secondary transactions, debt, lending capital, and Sources: Powered by grants. 2023 figures extrapolated linearly based on year to date figures. 111 | Companies
Closing the gap between European tech investment and GDP On a GDP-adjusted basis, Europe continues to lag behind in terms of its share of total capital invested globally in technology. Europe, as de昀椀ned by the 50 countries included in the State of European Tech report, accounts for 21% of global GDP. By comparison, the projected total of $45B of capital invested in the region will equate to around 18% of global investment volumes. By comparison, the US accounts for 25% of global GDP, but a massive 46% share of total capital invested. Looking at a sub-regional level, the UK & Ireland’s share of GDP and total global investment volumes are broadly aligned at around 4% each. Every other sub-region, however, records underperformance in terms of investment volumes if adjusted to their relative share of global GDP. The gap is particularly pronounced for Southern Europe and Central and Eastern Europe. Slicing the data on a per-country basis helps to identify the biggest opportunities to close the gap. In both Germany and Italy, for example, there is still a gap of more than two percentage points to catch up between their respective shares of global GDP and global private tech investment. Share (%) of global capital invested, population, and GDP (%) by region, 2023 Capital invested Population GDP 50 40 30 20 10 0 S e d x H s e E U p an lu C ic p E o l e A d o C r e n D r r u Ir e o u E B N E l & n ta K & r o U e e T c h Notes: n ut a o r S Data is as of 30 September F 2023. Full year extrapolated based on year to date data. Excludes the following: biotech, secondary transac- Sources: Powered by tions, debt, lending capital, and grants. Population and GDP data from International Monetary Fund. | 112
A reinforcing cycle One proxy for the relative scale of startup ecosystems across Europe is the absolute count of startups and scaleups that have received different levels of external capital investment. This does not, of course, tell the full story as there are many exceptional startups that choose never to raise any external funding, but it is still a useful measure of the relative depth and maturity of tech ecosystems across the region. Unsurprisingly, the countries that account for the largest absolute investment volumes are also the same ones with the highest count of funded companies. The UK is the leader with almost 13,000 funded tech com- panies in total and the largest count in every category, when the total number is broken down by the total cap- ital raised by individual companies. The number of funded startups in the UK, France, and Germany (around 23,000) is greater than the total for the rest of Europe combined (around 21,600). The data is also helpful to better understand the relative distribution of funded companies, according to how much capital they have raised. The vast majority of funded companies (76%) have raised less than $5M in total. This also reveals interesting comparisons between countries in terms of the relative number of com- panies across the different levels of funding raised. Italy, for example, has similar numbers of early-stage startups compared to the Netherlands that have raised less then $5M in funding, but far fewer larger-scale companies that have raised $50M or more. Count of funded companies and their total capital raised, 2023 $250M+ 15k $100-250M $50-100M 12.5k $20-50M $10-20M $5-10M 10k
Spain’s entrepreneurialism is reaching new heights, energized by the success stories and talented operators that are creating global impact. Julio Martinez Co-Founder & CEO, Abacum These role models are more than just businesses; they are proof points of a thriving ecosystem that’s attracting a surge of early-stage capital, both from within our borders and be- yond. The fundamentals driving this momentum are robust—a cost-effective living standard combined with a deep talent pool from world-class universities, a vibrant expat community and strong public policy initiatives. This is fostering a landscape where Spanish startups not only start but stay to scale up. The increase in investment is a clear indicator of con昀椀dence in the Spanish market, and as these investments grow, they fuel the continuous cycle of innovation and success, propelling the Spanish tech sector forward. Tech entrepreneurship has exploded across Europe The universe of funded companies is one useful measure of the scale of Europe’s tech ecosystem, but a more comprehensive picture must also include the full universe of active tech startups, irrespective of whether they have raised venture capital. This expands the tech startup universe by a factor of more than 10x from 45,000 to around 600,000 tech com- panies across the region. This also serves to highlight just how few tech startups (just 7.5% of all tech start- ups) actually embark upon the venture capital funding journey, whether voluntarily by choice or involuntarily as they do not succeed in raising external capital. | 114
Count of funded and unfunded companies per country. Funded Unfunded 150k s 125k e i n a p m o 100k c d e d n u f 75k n u d n a d e 50k d n u f f o # 25k 0 y e y n s d n k d l d d c y a a e a e m n c l i d n e m r n a n n li a i t c i p o a n ta a n a d iu a a g a a b w tr al e n o d a I p a rl e g m l tu l l u r s e a r g rm r S rl l o r e in p o u M r m u in e F e ze w e n P o Ir F e A G o E K G h it S B e P R N R f t w D o d e S ch t e N s it e e Un Cz R Notes: Data is as of 30 September Sources: Powered by 2023. Excludes the following: biotech, second- ary transactions, debt, lending capital, and grants. Pockets of high startup concentration Inevitably, any measure of startup activity in absolute terms will be dominated by the largest countries by population and GDP. Adjusting for the size of the country, therefore, is a helpful tool to draw comparisons that benchmark the relative level of startup activity. Here, the density of funded startups is adjusted for popula- tion to identify countries with the highest density of funded startups per capita. On this basis, smaller countries with active startup ecosystems rise to the top. Estonia, as in prior years of producing this analysis, takes the top spot. This also serves to highlight the fact that many large countries, such as Germany, Italy, and Spain have signi昀椀cant room for growth, if they want to compare more favourably with countries that have succeeded in creating a greater relative density of funded startups, on a popula- tion-adjusted basis. 115 | Companies
Number of funded startups per capita per country, 2023 Estonia Iceland Luxembourg Ireland Finland Sweden United Kingdom Switzerland Malta Norway Cyprus Denmark Netherlands Latvia Lithuania France Belgium Spain Austria Hungary Germany Bulgaria Portugal Czech Republic Croatia Italy Poland Slovakia Romania Greece Ukraine 0 100 200 300 400 500 # of startups Notes: Data is as of 30 Sources: Powered by September 2023. Data shown for countries with >300,000 inhabitants. | 116
The most counterintuitive element of Estonian success has been its small size. Sten Tamkivi Partner, Plural Platform Any tech project in Estonia always begins with the scrappy lens of “how can we get ALL THIS done with 3 people?” You can never build a massive company on a local market of a million people, which means every founder is forced to think global from day one. When all founders look outside of Estonia, their backs are together: we have the most supportive community of peers anywhere. US investors retracting The global retraction in investment volumes has a knock-on effect on the 昀氀ow of capital between regions. This becomes most evident when looking at the capital contribution of US-based investors into European tech companies. At the peak in 2021, each dollar invested by European investors was matched by 66 cents from the US. This measure has shrunk each year for the past two years, bottoming out at 34 cents in 2023, down 48% vs. 2021. Not surprisingly, this retraction has been felt most acutely by later-stage founders raising larger rounds. This material decline is driven not only by a declining share of rounds that have any US investor participation at all, but also by a reduction in the average count of US investors participating in any given round. In other words, 2023 has seen a signi昀椀cant reduction in the count of large rounds that involved the participation of multiple US investors in the same round. 117 | Companies
Cents invested by US VC-funds for every $1 invested by European VCs into European startups, 2019 to 2023 70 60 s d50 n u f - C V S U40 y b d e t s e30 v n i ) $ ( s t n20 e C 10 0 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023YTD Notes: Data is as of 30 September Sources: 2023. Excludes the follow- ing: biotech, secondary transactions, debt, lending capital, and grants With some ecosystems being more reliant than others The impact of this relative decline of US capital invested into European tech companies differs by coun- try. Looking at the four largest European markets by overall investment volumes, there is a clear pattern of increases in the relative volume of US capital invested leading up to the peak in 2021, followed by two subse- quent years of decline. What is notable, however, is that the relative weight of US investment to European investment differs quite signi昀椀cantly between these countries. At the peak in 2021, every dollar invested into either a UK or German tech company by a European investor was matched by US investors to the tune of 86 cents in the UK and as much as 93 cents in Germany. By comparison, the equivalent number for French tech companies was around half at 43 cents. | 118
Cents invested into European startups by US VC-funds for every $1 invested by European VCs, 2019 to 2023 UK Germany Sweden 100 France 80 s d n u f - C V 60 S U y b d e t s e v 40 n i s t n e C 20 0 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023YTD Notes: Data is as of 30 September Sources: 2023. Excludes the follow- ing: biotech, secondary transactions, debt, lending capital, and grants. Local capital increased in importance As a consequence of reduced US investor activity, the role of European investors has taken on even greater prominence in the past year, underscoring the signi昀椀cance of building a consistent and dedicated source of European capital across all stages, and especially at later stages. At the Growth stages, for example, the share of total capital invested by US investors has fallen from a peak of 39% in 2021 to just 25% in 2023. The declin- ing share is also evident among Asian investors, whose share of total capital invested has declined from 11% in 2021 to 7% in 2023. This shifting mix of geographic sources are less of an issue at the earlier stage, since European startups primarily attract initial rounds from domestic or pan-regional investors within the European ecosystem. In fact, investors in Europe, including both domestic and cross-border players, contribute to approximately 80% of the total capital invested in European tech companies during early-stage funding rounds, a share that has stayed broadly consistent over the past 昀椀ve years. 119 | Companies
Capital invested in Europe by geographic source region (%), 2019 to 2023 Growth Rest of World 100 Asia North America Europe 80 d e t s 60 e v n i l a t i p a c f 40 o % 20 0 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023YTD Early Rest of World 100 Asia North America Europe 80 d e t s 60 e v n i l a t i p a c f 40 o % 20 0 Notes: 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023YTD Data is as of 30 September 2023. Excludes the follow- ing: biotech, secondary transactions, debt, lending Sources: capital, and grants. | 120
Unicorns distributed across Europe The number of countries that have produced a breakout, billion-dollar company is one of the clearest indica- tors of tech entrepreneurship and the diversity of Europe’s startup ecosystems. Today, a total of 308 compa- nies are currently valued in excess of $1B, and they have been started and scaled from 29 different countries. This includes not only countries that to date have only produced a single billion-dollar company (including Bulgaria, Latvia, and Slovenia), but also eight countries that have more than 10 current billion-dollar compa- nies, led by the UK (104), Germany (54), and France (38). Not surprisingly, the market reset has also resulted in a growing number of unicorns being ‘dehorned’, mean- ing they have seen their valuation fall to under a billion dollars. At least 52 companies have been “dehorned” to date, either via down rounds, share price compression, or by going out of business entirely. This creates challenging times for companies, their founders, employees, and investors, but is also a natural feature of the startup and scaleup lifecycle. We have just as much enthusiasm now — if not more — as nearly a decade ago when we 昀椀rst opened the doors to our London o昀케ce. Luna Schmid Partner, Google Ventures Many of the 昀椀rst-generation successful startups in Europe from the last decade have spawned new hubs of early-staged found- ers and builders. Moreover, the rise of remote work has distrib- uted talent and opportunity to new geographies, spurring new hotbeds of innovation across the EU. The con昀氀uence of these forces has created an environment of sustained and rational optimism, and we’re excited to continue supporting Europe’s thriving tech ecosystem at the earliest stages of company formation. 121 | Companies
Number of $B+ companies per country, 2023 Number of dehorned United Kingdom $B+ companies Number of $B+ Germany companies France Sweden Netherlands Switzerland Spain Norway Ireland Denmark Poland Finland Belgium Italy Estonia Austria Czech Republic Romania Ukraine Lithuania Portugal Croatia Luxembourg Liechtenstein Cyprus Slovenia Bulgaria Latvia Malta 0 25 50 75 100 125 150 # of $B+ companies Notes: Data is as of 30 September 2023. '$B+' Sources: or 'unicorn' is defined as a tech company that has reached $1B+ valuation in its lifetime. | 122
$B+ club per capita unchanged The emergence of billion-dollar companies is a simple but useful measure of startup success. It is also an in- dicator of a country’s ability to foster innovation and create a supportive environment for the development of high-growth startups and is therefore a way to benchmark progress, especially if normalised on a per capita basis to adjust for the different scale of country populations. On this measure, as it has done for years, Estonia continues to stand out as the leader in billion-dollar compa- ny density, with 4.5 companies valued at over $1B per every one million inhabitants. Bene昀椀tting from the early success of Skype, many former employees have since used that experience to spin out their own companies. Some of the most prominent examples include Wise and Bolt, both now billion-dollar companies in their own right. Of course, a small population can help boost per capita measures. Similarly to Estonia, other smaller coun- tries such as Sweden (2.4 unicorns per 1M inhabitants), Malta (2.0), and Norway (2.1) are all punching above their weight. Nevertheless, the UK’s strong startup scene is re昀氀ected in the amount of $B+ companies per capita too, ranking way above the European average of 0.9 with 1.4 unicorns per 1M residents. 123 | Companies
Count of current $B+ companies per 1M inhabitants Estonia 4.5 Sweden 2.4 Switzerland 2.2 Norway 2.1 Malta 2.0 Ireland 1.8 Luxembourg 1.6 United Kingdom 1.6 Denmark 1.4 Netherlands 1.3 Cyprus 1.1 Finland 0.9 Lithuania 0.7 Germany 0.6 France 0.6 Austria 0.6 Latvia 0.5 Croatia 0.5 Slovenia 0.5 Belgium 0.4 Czech Republic 0.4 Spain 0.3 Portugal 0.2 Bulgaria 0.1 Poland 0.1 Romania 0.1 Italy 0.1 Ukraine 0.1 Notes: 0 1 2 3 4 5 Data is as of 30 # of current $B+ companies per 1M inhabitants September 2023. '$B+' or 'unicorn' is defined as a tech company that has reached $1B+ Sources: valuation in its lifetime. Population data from International Monetary Fund. | 124
Where are European tech companies coming from? As highlighted in the Executive Summary, the meteoric rise of tech entrepreneurship in Europe has result- ed in the number of new tech startups founded each year in Europe exceeding the US for each of the past 昀椀ve years. On average, around 15,200 new tech startups have been founded per year in Europe, compared to 13,700 in the US. But which countries are the biggest contributors to tech startup formation across Europe? And which coun- tries, if any, are seeing their share of tech startups being founded faster, in relative terms, than those across the rest of the region? The UK leads the way in terms of the number of tech startups founded each year, accounting for approximate- ly a quarter of all new companies each year in Europe. The fastest-rising country in terms of share of new tech startups created each year is France, which has seen its share increase from 18% in 2019 to 22% in 2023. While the top 10 countries account for a signi昀椀cant percentage of total tech startup creation each year (83% in 2023), a meaningful share of new tech startups (17%) are being started away from these more established clusters of startup activity. Share (%) of new tech startups founded per country, 2019 to 2023 Rest of Europe 100 Finland Sweden Belgium 80 Switzerland Spain s p u Italy t r 60 a t Netherlands s h c Germany e t w France e n 40 f o United Kingdom % 20 Notes: 0 Data is as of 20 September 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2023. To adjust for lags in reporting, we compare snapshots of data at different points in time, which allows us to estimate future growth of current Sources: figures by extrapolating differences between time points. 125 | Companies
When it comes to starting a business, talent is always top of my mind. Tania Boler Founder & CEO, Elvie For this reason, the UK is a great place to start a business. 84% of research at our universities is either “world-leading” or “inter- nationally excellent” and we also have one of the most mature start-up ecosystems globally which allows us to build on histori- cal successes and failures. Yet, signi昀椀cant differences between ecosystems prevail The distribution of ecosystem values varies by regions, but in the past 昀椀ve years, has stayed quite stable. France & Benelux take home the biggest share at 35%. This is largely thanks to their signi昀椀cant public market value and the Netherlands being home to ASML, the largest European listed tech company. SAP in Germany is the next biggest public tech giant in Europe, boosting DACH into tied second place overall with 23%. On the 昀氀ip side, the UK & Ireland is home to the largest share of private tech, bringing its overall share up to 23%. Together, these three regions capture 81% of the combined ecosystem value in 2023, again underscoring the prevailing disparities across different parts of Europe. That said, the rest of Europe has done some catching up, increasing their share of the pie from 15% in 2019 to 19% in 2023. | 126
Ecosystem value by region, 2019 versus 2023 CEE Southern Europe 100 Nordics DACH France & Benelux 80 UK & Ireland e u l a v 60 m e t s y s o c e l a t o 40 t f o % 20 Notes: Private market data from Dealroom.co excludes the 0 following: biotech, second- 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 ary transactions, debt, lending capital, and grants. Based on data up to 30 September 2023. Public markets data as per S&P Capital IQ Platform, as of Sources: date 30 September 2023, for illustrative purposes only. Please also note that the data excludes Israel. $B+ exits concentrated in largest and most mature ecosystems Not surprisingly. given the relative maturity of tech ecosystems in these countries and deeper pools of local talent, capital, and more established public markets, countries like the UK, Germany, the Netherlands, and Sweden have secured the highest count of $B+ exits to date. These exits, of course, are critical for the contin- ued growth and development of their local ecosystems thanks to the 昀氀ywheel effect that is unleashed through the subsequent recycling of capital and talent. Critically, given the importance of companies succeeding in going through the full lifecycle from inception to a billion-dollar liquidity event, it’s of note that billion-dollar exits have now been realised from 22 different countries across the region, including 18 countries that have seen this milestone being surpassed on more than one occasion. Great companies truly come from anywhere in Europe. 127 | Companies
Number of $B+ exits per country, 2023 IPOs M&A United Kingdom Germany Netherlands Sweden France Switzerland Norway Spain Poland Finland Czech Republic Italy Denmark Austria Ireland Estonia Belgium Romania Ukraine Luxembourg Cyprus Notes: Slovenia Data is as of 30 September 2023. '$B+' 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 or 'unicorn' is defined as a tech company that # of $B+ exits has reached $1B+ valuation in its lifetime. Sources: | 128
2.3 Themes
Key 昀椀ndings Carbon & Energy is now Europe’s most popular sector Climate / sustainability was not only one of the top themes among new startups, but also the sector that attracted the most investment, overtaking the usual sus- pects of Finance & Insurance and Software. AI innovation wave ignites Europe’s Seed scene AI was the most popular sector for rounds of less than $5M, as more and more companies have popped up to capitalise on the wave of innovation spurred on by breakthroughs in large language models (LLMs). Europe’s talent wants to solve the world’s toughest challenges The top themes that new joiners are attracted to are climate / sustainability and health, showing Europe’s dedication to solving societal problems.
Methodology note Creating a taxonomy is a hard task, and far from an exact science. However, we aim to 昀椀nd maximum align- ment between our taxonomy and the real problems companies are solving. The following chapter leverages a collection of models that map companies and startups to a taxonomy of 12 high-level sectors as well as 75+ building-block themes. More speci昀椀cally, sectors are where companies would 昀椀t in a description of a country’s economic industries, for example, Education or Health. A company can only have one sector but might have multiple themes. Themes are more speci昀椀c expressions of the company’s offer, that they might use in their self-description or a pitch. Examples we map include DevOps, Digital Care, Electric Vehicles or Sustainability. These help us speak a common language when analysing the thematic 昀氀ow of talent and capital within the European tech ecosystem. Climate tech dominates overall capital 昀氀ows The Carbon & Energy sector, which encompasses climate tech, accounts for 27% of all capital invested in European tech in 2023, more than doubling its share of investment since 2021. This has seen the sector overtake Finance & Insurance, as well as Software as the single largest sector by capital raised. This not only represents a dramatic increase in the scale of capital invested behind the green transition, but also a clear slowdown in 昀椀ntech investment volumes since the peak of the market. Distribution of total capital invested by sector (%), 2014 to 2023 Transportation 100 Food and Drinks (incl. Agriculture) Education Wholesale & Retail 75 Warehousing & Manufacturing l a t Social, Arts, i p Entertainment & Recreation a c l a 50 Digital Infrastructure t o t Finance & Insurance f o Enabling Technologies % Health 25 Software Carbon & Energy 0 4 5 6 17 8 9 0 1 2 D 1 1 1 0 1 1 2 2 2 T 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 Y 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 Notes: 2 0 Data is as of 30 September 2 2023. Excludes the following: biotech, secondary transac- tions, debt, lending capital, and grants. Sources: Powered by 131 | Companies
Well-diversi昀椀ed Europe At a country level, investment trends also show a high degree of sector diversity. The dominance of capital 昀氀ows into the Carbon & Energy sector, notably, is present across almost every major European country. This sector captured a particularly high share of capital invested in the Nordics, representing 48% of all capital invested in Norway and 44% in Sweden. In Denmark and Switzerland, however, Health is the single largest investment sector of 2023, representing 39% and 38% of total capital invested, respectively. Distribution (%) of total capital invested by sector and by top 10 countries by total investment, 2023 Transportation 100 Food and Drinks (incl. Agriculture) Education Wholesale & Retail 75 Warehousing & l a Manufacturing t i p a Social, Arts, c l Entertainment & a 50 t o t Recreation f o Digital Infrastructure % Finance & Insurance 25 Enabling Technologies Health Software Carbon & Energy 0 m e y s n d in y rk ly o c n d e n a a a a n a n d a w t d a a e rl p r m I g r m rl S o n F r e w ze n i e h S t N e d K G t wi D e e S Notes: nit N Data is as of 30 September U 2023. Excludes the following: biotech, secondary transac- tions, debt, lending capital, Sources: Powered by and grants. | 132
Finance and Insurance giving way to newcomers The large overall decline in total investment volumes means that to measure the relative growth of different sectors over time, the change in share of overall investment per sector is the most useful metric. Comparing the sector-level distribution of capital in 2023 vs. 2022 in this way highlights the large increase in the overall share of capital invested in the Carbon & Energy sector, representing a share gain of over 19 per- centage points. This year has also seen a large share gain of capital investment into Enabling Technologies, which includes core technology such as AI Infrastructure, Quantum Computing, and Semiconductors. The Health sector is the only other sector that captured a meaningful relative gain in share of investment, up over three percentage points in 2023 vs. the prior year. The Finance & Insurance sector accounted for the largest overall year-on-year declines in share of invest- ment, representing a loss of almost 10 percentage points of share of capital invested. This was followed by the Software sector, which saw a drop of eight percentage points in its 2023 share of investment vs. 2022 levels. Change in share (percentage points) of total capital invested by sector Carbon & Energy Enabling Technologies Health Digital Infrastructure Social, Arts, Entertainment … Education Food and Drinks Transportation Wholesale & Retail Warehousing & Manufacturing Software Finance & Insurance -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 Percentage point change Notes: Data is as of 30 September 2023. Excludes the following: Sources: Powered by biotech, secondary transactions, debt, lending capital, and grants. 133 | Companies
Europe remains at the forefront of the global effort to combat climate change, with initiatives like the European Green Deal, which aims to ensure no net emissions of greenhouse gases by 2050. Namrata Sandhu Founder & CEO, Vaayu With European companies investing heavily in groundbreak- ing climate tech, circular economy solutions and more, Vaayu is placed in a unique strategic position to help tackle climate change head-on and help other businesses lower their impact. Its strong commitment to sustainability, an increasingly sup- portive regulatory environment and historical experience in green technologies uniquely position European tech to play a crucial role in addressing climate-related challenges. Sectors that are up next An analysis of the 昀氀ow of earliest-stage investment by sector provides a useful forward-looking indicator of the sectors most likely to dominate future later-stage investment. Looking at the distribution of sub-$5M rounds - which provide a general proxy for Pre-Seed and Seed invest- ment trends - Software, Carbon & Energy, and Health are the top three most important sectors for early-stage investment in 2023, followed by Enabling Technologies and Digital Infrastructure. This chart also highlights the outsized share of investment into the Carbon & Energy sector in later rounds, which captured 28% of all capital invested in rounds of $5M or more. | 134
Share (%) of capital invested by sector and round size, 2023 $5M rounds Carbon & Energy Health Enabling Technologies Digital Infrastructure Finance & Insurance Social, Arts, Entertainment … Wholesale & Retail Education Food and Drinks Warehousing & Manufacturing Transportation 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Share (%) of capital invested Notes: Data is as of 30 September Sources: Powered by 2023. Excludes the follow- ing: biotech, secondary transactions, debt, lending capital, and grants. The top themes driving investment currents Peeling one layer below sectors, let’s have a closer look at the themes driving funding this year. Unsurprisingly, the big one is the rise of AI, with more and more companies popping up to capitalise on the wave of innovation we’re seeing from large language models (LLMs). Out of all funding, companies that fall under the AI theme captured just under 11%. Winding the clocks back to 2019, some might not be surprised to see AI also topping the charts. The theme has bene昀椀tted from consistent 昀氀ows of funding over many years and is now bearing fruit, with many growth-stage companies raising sizeable rounds in Europe this year. 135 | Companies
Share (%) of capital invested by sector and deal size 15 d e t s e v n i l 10 a t i p a c l a t o t f o ) 5 % ( e r a h S 0 … L s y h n e y t s e s g ty R e h ts g k e g t o r c n e r c n i c c n n / M cl r al ti a n e n a ti ti r V r e n li ri y / i e C e u / e e e a m o w s e T o D it I h n H t l rr e r d i k c R m m o il A e E r ta u r D r g r e A R y T & b V o i c u a o a S m H a a c p ig o s & H L M r o P ta d in ri s D t a s & e c a oo a t n p e ic & b - D F t c a y M t in s y E s e r r o a e C u l T C on b h al S E & b o C S n r R y i a l a C p h p c Su k Notes: oc l Data is as of 30 B September 2023. Excludes the following: biotech, secondary transac- tions, debt, lending capital, and grants. Sources: Powered by We’re in the midst of a generational shift in healthcare, where technology and AI are set to dramatically speed up and change the way we practise medicine. Hjalmar Nilsonne Co-Founder & CEO, Neko Health For Europe to compete on the global stage and build business- es as valuable as the US and China, we must excel not only in software but in pioneering hardware too. If we in Europe want to shape the future of healthcare, we must have companies in our region who are creating that future. Our ambition must match our capability to innovate and integrate, to truly in昀氀uence the healthcare of tomorrow. | 136
AI takes over at Seed Looking more closely at the most popular sectors at the earliest stages, we see other key trends starting to take off for Seed investments. Unsurprisingly, the most notable one is the rise of AI, with a huge number of companies popping up to capitalise on the wave of innovation ignited by breakthroughs in large language models (LLMs). This has catapulted AI/ML to the top of the charts as the number one earliest-stage category, as ranked by the count of rounds of investment of $5M or less. Though things are certainly incredibly active at the earliest stages in AI, Europe already has a growing and maturing ecosystem of growth stage companies with AI at their core. Top themes ranked by capital invested for rounds of less than
Continued innovation in deep tech The share of investment allocated to European deep tech companies - an umbrella category for companies that apply breakthroughs in science and engineering to come up with novel products and services - reached a record-breaking 44% of total capital invested in 2023, up from just 15% of total investment volume a decade ago. Deep tech investment has, in fact, bucked the overall slowdown in absolute investment volumes in Europe. It looks set to surpass last year’s total, and is coming close to parity with the record sum invested in 2021. The biggest drivers of robust deep tech investment have been the tailwinds behind investment in break- through technology addressing the Carbon & Energy sector, and the strong trend of investment into European AI companies in 2023. The overall strength of deep tech investment re昀氀ects Europe’s solid bedrock of aca- demic and research institutions and its robust pool of technical talent. Amount of deep tech funding ($B) and share (%) of total European funding, 2014 to 2023 Total Deep Tech funding ($B) Share (%) of total 25 50 funding 20 40 ) S B h $ ( a r g e n i ( d 15 30 % n ) u f o f h t c o e t T a l p f e u e 10 20 n D d i Notes: l n a g t Data is as of 30 September o 2023. Excludes the T following: biotech, second- 5 10 ary transactions, debt, lending capital, and grants. All Dealroom.co data excludes Israel and the following: biotech, second- 0 0 ary transactions, debt, 7 1 4 5 6 1 8 9 0 2 E 1 1 1 0 1 1 2 2 2 3 lending capital, and grants. 0 20 20 2 20 20 0 20 0 2 Deep Tech companies have 2 2 2 20 an extended R&D phase and higher share of technical staff compared to conventional ventures. Sources: Deep Tech also often involves the development of hardware and/or IP. | 138
Deep Tech has always been a core part of venture investing. Steven Jacobs Partner & CPO, Lakestar Deep Tech, or Frontier Tech, is fundamentally new science and engineering making its way into companies and products for the 昀椀rst time. Historically, we can think of Edison commer- cializing the light bulb with GE, Carl Benz building the 昀椀rst car at Mercedes-Benz, or Steve Jobs at Apple launching Lisa, the 昀椀rst computer that used a graphical user interface. These Deep Tech founders created some of the largest companies in history, many of which have become core platforms and critical infra- structure for societies today. In 2023, as highlighted in the Eu- rope DeepTech report, the frontier has shifted, and DeepTech- start-ups are tackling new challenges. Novel Energy such as fusion and new battery chemistries, access to space and the deployment of new astral infrastructure, new breakthroughs in AI and computational biology, and computing technologies in- cluding photonics, decentralized networks, and quantum. These companies stand to become the next giants, but to get there, they will need to overcome large gaps in growth stage funding, the urgent need for dispersed European talent to aggregate in dense hubs, and intense competition from the US and China. Europe has more AI talent than US The fact that AI is 昀氀ourishing under the radar in Europe should not be a surprise. Europe has a strong technical talent pool, owing its strength to world-class scienti昀椀c and technical institutions and the depth of its engi- neering talent. This strength extends into the 昀椀eld of AI. Over the past decade, Europe has not only witnessed a greater than 10x increase in the number of people working in AI roles, but also claims a larger resident population of high- ly-skilled AI professionals compared to the US. Of course, many of these AI professionals are working in roles at US-headquartered technology companies that have built a large AI research presence in Europe, such as Alphabet or Meta. But as Mistral AI - a company founded by European former leading AI researchers at Meta and DeepMind - demonstrates, these Europe- an-based pools of AI talent have become an incredibly rich breeding ground for the founders and talent behind the next generation of European AI companies. 139 | Companies
Number of active AI roles by region, 2014 to 2023 Europe United States Notes: 150 To adjust for lags in reporting, we compare snapshots of data at different points in time, 125 which allows us to estimate future growth of current figures by extrapolating 100 differences between time s points. 2023F is based on e l data adjusted for lag effect o r I A and extrapolated based on e 75 data as of 20 September v i t 2023. Data consists of all c a companies, including f o non-tech. This is based on # 50 an analysis of the job titles of 216M professionals. The universe of professional considered to be actively 25 employed in AI/ML roles is based on a search utilizing both common job titles in the field (e.g. AI Researcher, 0 ML Engineer), as well as key phrases used in job titles 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 (e.g. Deep Learning, Reinforcement Learning). The query includes titles and keywords both common today and historically. A Sources: Powered by consistent methodology is applied consistently across all profiles in all geogra- phies. Europe’s rich in AI talent Europe’s AI talent base has grown rapidly over the past decade, growing more than 10x to a pool of over 120,000 highly-skilled professionals actively employed in AI roles, a number that just exceeds the US. Europe’s AI talent base eclipses the US Source Powered by 120k+ Active AI roles in Europe | 140
Incredible universities and a long history of AI research mean founders here are well positioned to build breakthrough AI companies. Julien Bek Partner, Sequoia Europe’s concentration of dedicated AI practitioners relative to its overall talent pool is 30% higher than in the US. This work- force is also highly educated, with 70% holding a Masters or PhD. Founders here can access the specialist skills they need to build and this talent’s not just in established hubs like London, Paris or Berlin - our research identi昀椀ed spikes of outlier talent in AI in Dublin, Zurich, Athens and Edinburgh to name just a few. AI investment de昀椀es the downturn AI has been at the heart of manifold discussions in the industry - and beyond - in 2023. Its elevation in public discourse, however, belies the fact that AI has been at the core of so many companies and so much invest- ment since well before the last decade. Generative AI, which has captured so much attention in 2023, is of course just a speci昀椀c branch of the much broader, overarching 昀椀eld of AI. Investment into AI in Europe is defying the broader downturn, with 2023 total investment on track to come close to, or perhaps even surpass, last year’s record-breaking amount of $8.7B. While investment into AI in Europe has grown massively over a 10-year period, total investment volumes are a long way off the levels seen in the US. Over the past 昀椀ve years, almost $35B has been invested into European AI companies, compared to more than $130B in US AI companies. While Europe is now consistently seeing rounds of investment of $100M or more, and even up to $0.5B, this pales in comparison with Microsoft’s $10B investment into OpenAI. 141 | Companies
Total capital invested ($B) in AI / ML in Europe and US, 2014 to 2023 Europe US 50 40 ) B $ ( d e t s 30 e v n i l a t i p a c f 20 o n u o m A 10 0 4 15 6 17 8 9 0 1 2 D 1 0 1 0 1 1 2 2 2 T 0 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 Y 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 0 2 Notes: Data is as of 30 September Sources: Powered by 2023. Excludes the follow- ing: biotech, secondary transactions, debt, lending capital, and grants. AI capturing greater share of total investment As a consequence of AI investment defying the broader downturn in total capital invested in European tech, AI’s share of total investment spiked to an all-time high in 2023, climbing to 17%. Again, the data makes it clear that AI has been an important feature of European investment themes for many years, consistently account- ing for more than 10% of total investment over the last 昀椀ve years. What is also notable is that the gigantic sums invested in US AI leaders, such as OpenAI and Anthropic, in the last two years has resulted in a widened gap between Europe and the US’s relative share of investment in AI in 2023. In the US, AI investment accounted for 30% of total tech investment, almost double the level seen in previous years. | 142
Share (%) of AI / ML capital invested to total capital invested in respective regions, 2014 to 2023 Europe US 35 30 d e t25 s e v n i l a t i p20 a c L M / I A 15 f o ) % ( e r 10 a h S 5 0 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Notes: Data is as of 30 September Sources: Powered by 2023. Excludes the follow- ing: biotech, secondary transactions, debt, lending capital, and grants. Early-stage AI activity 昀氀ourishing The difference in scale in absolute investment volume into AI companies in the US and Europe is largely a function of greater scale and frequency of Growth-stage activity. At the Growth-stage, Europe has an 16% share of total AI / ML capital invested in 2023. This is a small, but notable increase in share from 10% in 2014. By comparison, at the early-stage, Europe has an 33% share of total AI / ML capital invested in 2023. Again, this share has climbed consistently over time as Europe’s tech and AI ecosystem has matured. In 2014, for example, Europe’s early-stage share was just 16%. This underlines the fact that early-stage activity in AI has expanded signi昀椀cantly in Europe, growing faster in relative terms than the US. But, there is unquestionably more work to do in order to scale up these companies successfully and to build a Growth-stage environment that enables access to deeper pools of capital. 143 | Companies
Share (%) of AI / ML capital invested in Europe and US, 2014 to 2023 Europe Early stage US 100 75 50 25 0 4 5 6 17 8 9 0 1 2 D 1 1 1 0 1 1 2 2 2 T 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 Y 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 0 2 Europe Growth stage US 100 75 50 25 0 4 15 6 17 8 9 0 1 2 D 1 0 1 0 1 1 2 2 2 T 0 2 20 2 0 0 0 0 0 Y 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 Notes: 2 0 Data is as of 30 2 September 2023. Excludes the following: biotech, secondary transactions, debt, Sources: Powered by lending capital, and grants. | 144
Europe needs 21st century institutions to match 21st century technology. This applies to everything from regulators and national governments through to universities. The most valuable role European governments can play in AI development is by ensuring the right infrastructure is in place. Nathan Benaich Founder & General Partner, Air Street Capital This means building out public cloud capacity for startups, pushing universities to end their feudal spinout policies, and making it easier for people to establish venture funds. The big danger for Europe lies in giving in to its interventionist im- pulse. Regulating AI isn’t like regulating Airbus. Governments attempting to ‘guide innovation’ through large-scale legislation will slow down progress while empowering a small clique of US tech companies. Europe should avoid treating AI as distinct from any other tool or technology and instead take a cool-head- ed, context-dependent approach to assessing risk. Investors betting big on AI There has been no shortage of perspectives on Europe’s position in the AI race. Amidst the noise, it is easy to overlook the fact that the AI theme has actually hit a stride in Europe in recent years, with European AI com- panies consistently securing mega-rounds of $100M or more. In fact, this year will come close to matching the record set in 2021, despite the huge headwind of a steep drop in overall investment levels in Europe in 2023. As of the end of Q3 2023, European AI companies had raised 11 rounds of $100M or more, compared to 37 rounds by US AI companies over the same period. So far, however, European AI companies have not yet raised the type of billion-dollar or multi-billion-dollar rounds that have become crucial sources of 昀椀repower for the most important and fastest-growing US AI companies, like OpenAI or Anthropic. The multi-$100M+ rounds, however, are certainly beginning to appear in Europe. 145 | Companies
Number of $100M+ rounds in AI / ML, 2014 to 2023 $1B+ $250M-$1B 150 $100M-$250M 125 100 s d n u o 75 r f o # 50 25 0 e S e S e S e S e S e S e S e S e S e S p U p U p U p U p U p U p U p U p U p U o o o o o o o o o o ur ur ur ur ur ur ur ur ur ur E E E E E E E E E E 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Notes: 2023 data is based on data to Sources: Powered by September 2023. Excludes the following: biotech, secondary transactions, debt, lending capital, and grants. | 146
In this new era, the challenge for us was about choosing the right partnerships, because it’s about more than just money. Jonas Andrulis Founder & CEO, Aleph Alpha Of course, someone has to pay for the compute and all the tal- ent. But the thing that will help us survive in the upper echelons of generative AI is also the partnerships and our partners are phenomenal. They understand that this is a unique, once in a generation opportunity to build something meaningful. Funding needs to keep pace with innovation The difference in scale of the funding going to US AI leaders is emphasised by a simple comparison of the total amount raised across the top 10 largest AI rounds raised in 2023 in Europe vs. the US. While Europe’s largest AI rounds totalled an impressive $2.5B, this is dwarfed by the more than $14.2B raised across the top 10 largest rounds in the US this year. Total funding raised by top 10 rounds in Europe Source Powered by $2.5b Total funding raised by top 10 rounds in US Source Powered by $14.2b 147 | Companies
A selection of Europe’s largest AI rounds of 2023 The rank of the largest rounds raised by European AI companies in 2023 highlights the strength of investor interest in supporting the up-and-coming generation of potential European AI champions. Notably, this list includes three rounds in excess of half a billion dollars each, including German foundational model company, Aleph Alpha’s most recent $500M Series C round. The list is also notable for the presence of both ‘pure’ AI companies, such as Mistral and Aleph Alpha, as well as ‘applied AI’ companies that are bringing AI innovation to industries as diverse as defence (Helsing AI) and mobility (Conigital). The question to ask now is when will Europe start to see billion-dollar rounds that match the scale of capital being invested into US AI leaders? Conigital Aleph Alpha Builder.ai Helsing AI HQ: United Kingdom HQ: Germany HQ: United Kingdom HQ: Germany $528M Series A $500M Series C $250M Series D $222M Series B Powered by Quantexa Accenta Mistral AI Aleph Alpha HQ: United Kingdom HQ: France HQ: France HQ: Germany $129M Series E $116M Series A $113M Seed $108M Series B Powered by DeepL Synthesia HQ: Germany HQ: United Kingdom $100M Series B $89M Series C | 148
AI everywhere As well as large-scale investment into core AI infrastructure and models, capital invested into AI is supporting its application across a broad range of sectors and themes. Vertical-speci昀椀c applications of AI, for example, within the Carbon & Energy and Health sectors, account for just over one third (38%) of total capital invested in 2023. Share (%) of underlying categories for capital invested in AI, 2023 Notes: Data is as of 31st of July. Excludes Sources: Powered by the following: biotech, secondary transactions, dept, lending capital and grants.. 149 | Companies
Generative AI sector rises in Europe’s tech scene The most remarkable subset within the AI space this year has undoubtedly been Generative AI. Generative AI companies focus on developing and applying arti昀椀cial intelligence technologies, particularly machine learning techniques, to generate new content, data, or media. This category features companies like Mistral AI and Aleph Alpha in Europe, alongside OpenAI (the makers of ChatGPT) and In昀氀ection AI in the United States. While Generative AI companies may represent a relatively small fraction of overall tech fundraising activity on an absolute count basis, they have swiftly had an outsized impact on work昀氀ows, regulatory discourse, and society at large. What is also notable is that whilst generative AI companies have leapt into the public consciousness in 2023, they have been quietly being started and funded in greater numbers for many years, both in Europe and the US. Count of rounds in GenAI in respective regions, 2019 to 2023 Europe US 125 100 s 75 d n u o r f o # 50 25 0 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023YTD Notes: Data is as of 30 September 2023. Sources: Excludes the following: biotech, secondary transactions, debt, lending capital, and grants. | 150
OpenAI breaking the funding charts Generative AI companies had seen a relatively slow and steady in昀氀ux of funding since 2019, reaching peaks in 2022 of $2B invested in the United States and $0.5B invested in Europe. Then OpenAI happened. With a whopping $10B of investment raised in a single round, OpenAI’s latest round skyrocketed the theme’s total funding in US in 2023 to $16B. An extreme example of the impact one or two outlier companies can have on the ecosystem. Capital invested ($B) in GenAI in respective regions, 2019 to 2023 Europe US 18 16 14 )12 B $ ( d e10 t s e v n i l8 a t i p a C6 4 2 0 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023YTD Notes: Sources: Data is as of 30 September 2023. Excludes the follow- ing: biotech, secondary transactions, debt, lending capital, and grants. 151 | Companies
Generative AI taking over 2023 As the most important emerging branch of AI, Generative AI has not only captured the world’s attention, but it has also captured a signi昀椀cant share of overall AI investment too. The share of AI investment speci昀椀cally allocated to Generative AI companies has taken a major step forward in Europe, hitting 11% in 2013, but a giant leap in the US, where Generative AI now accounts for more than half (60%) of all AI investment. Share (%) of capital invested in GenAI to total AI / ML capital invested in Europe and US, 2019 to 2023 Europe US 70 60 I A n e 50 G n i d e t s e 40 v n i l a t i p a 30 c f o ) % ( e r 20 a h S 10 0 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023YTD Notes: Data is as of 30 September Sources: 2023. Excludes the follow- ing: biotech, secondary transactions, debt, lending capital, and grants. | 152
Broad, but not unanimous con昀椀dence in Europe’s ability to build AI champions This year’s survey checked the pulse on European tech industry sentiment towards the region’s ability to build global AI leaders - a question that yielded interesting results. Overall, half the industry is con昀椀dent that Europe will be able to produce a generation of AI category-leading companies. But this con昀椀dence certainly does not extend to all, with 28% of respondents sharing a more pessimistic outlook in their responses. Inter- estingly, Europe’s founders were slightly less likely to take an optimistic view versus other respondent types. How confident are you in Europe’s ability to build global leaders in AI / ML? Confident Neutral Pessimistic 100 75 50 25 0 s s … h … s s s s s t r t c a C d P r r n e e t V a L e e e h in t l e k d d c e u h a n n r g d s t m u o a in i n n y o p s k s o e c F s e r t c i e / r o u m ol r w o d t P l s s e r l c s e s a A i e e u p m e y oc e e y lo f D d o a l p h c p m c A m E e E T Sources: Notes: Numbers may not add up to 100 due to rounding. 153 | Companies
Talent is 昀氀owing to the hardest problems It’s one thing to have great talent, but are they working on the hardest problems? Here, we look at the 昀氀ow of talent into and within the tech industry, broken down by theme. This helps us to quantify talent 昀氀ows and identify the sectors drawing in top talent, whether they are completely new to the tech industry or moving jobs within it. Sustainability and health take the #1 and #2 spots, clearly re昀氀ecting the powerful magnetic effect of pur- pose-led companies in attracting talent. Top 10 themes by number of new joiners, by type New joiners from within tech Net new tech joiners Sustainability / Climate Health Digital care Supply Chain & Logistics Hardware HR Tech Electric Vehicles Insurance Transportation Sales & Marketing Notes: To adjust for lags in reporting, we 0 50k 100k 150k 200k 250k compare snapshots of data at # of new joiners different points in time, which allows us to estimate future growth of current figures by extrapolating differences between time points. 2022 data shown as of 20 September 2023. Companies Sources: Powered by may be assigned to multiple themes, causing talent to also being assigned to more than one theme. | 154
Growth stage companies propel Europe’s climate tech funding Addressing sustainability and climate challenges have become core themes of the European tech ecosystem in recent years, increasing their share of total funding consistently over the past decade. This year’s report tracks all companies that label themselves as operating within one of the themes we categorise as directly addressing sustainability or climate, such as Electric Vehicles or Carbon Markets. As also reported in previous editions of the State of European Tech, Europe has taken centre stage in fund- ing purpose-driven tech. The increase in funding captured this year is also representative of the maturing of these themes, as more Growth-stage companies capture larger rounds of funding. Share (%) of capital invested that goes to sustainability, 2014 to 2023 25 23% 20 d e t 16% s e v n i15 l a t i p a c 11% f o 10% )10 % 9% 9% ( e 8% r a 7% 7% h S 5 5% 0 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 D 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 T 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Y Notes: 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2023 data is based on 02 data to September 2023. 2 Excludes the following: biotech, secondary transactions, debt, Sources: lending capital, and Powered by grants. 155 | Companies
Sustainability - an underlying theme for the ecosystem The Sustainability / Climate theme has matured to an extent that it is now a cross-cutting trend that is trans- forming a very wide range of sectors. Looking at the distribution of capital invested in 2023, the largest 昀氀ows of capital under this theme went to the Transportation, Energy, Manufacturing and Carbon sectors. Trans- portation alone accounted for a third (33%) of all capital invested under the Sustainability / Climate theme in European tech in 2023, followed by Energy (24%). Share (%) of underlying categories for sustainability, 2023 Notes: Data is as of 31st of July. Excludes Sources: Powered by the following: biotech, secondary transactions, dept, lending capital, and grants. Europe must elevate its ambition on policy and legislation. Shilpika Gautam Founder & CEO, Opna To nurture and scale the early-stage climate ecosystem, Europe must elevate its ambition on policy and legislation, innovate on available capital stacks (from the existing valleys of death in startup funding to its growth capital) and make it much easier for startups to do business, across the continent. | 156
Europe is the clear global leader in purpose- driven investment Most would agree that a key priority for the next decade is to achieve a sustainable future for all. But it’s im- possible to manage what cannot be measured. Through a collaboration with Dealroom.co, dating back to 2019, we have been able to quantify the investment into purpose-driven companies, helping us measure progress year-on-year. Under purpose-driven investing, we capture all companies addressing at least one of the United Nations’ 17 de昀椀ned Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Europe’s global leadership in purpose-driven investment is now clear. This year, Europe’s global share of total capital invested in purpose-driven tech companies leapfrogged the US, taking 41% of worldwide capital in- vested. Prior to 2023, Europe’s share had consistently landed at around a quarter of global investment, so this year represents a signi昀椀cant jump. Europe’s lead on a total capital invested basis now mirrors its longstanding leadership in early-stage invest- ment. Looking at rounds of $5M or less, a proxy for the Pre-Seed and Seed investment stages, Europe now commands 66% of all capital invested in purpose-driven tech companies globally, maintaining its long-run- ning global market leadership. 157 | Companies
Share (%) of capital invested into purpose-driven companies per region, 2019 to 2023 RoW Asia 100 North America Europe 80 d e t s e v n 60 i l a t i p a c f o ) % 40 ( e r a h S 20 0 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023YTD Notes: Data is as of 30 September Sources: 2023. Excludes the follow- ing: biotech, secondary transactions, debt, lending capital, and grants. | 158
03 Talent
Key 昀椀ndings Europe’s tech scene couldn’t exist without its talent. Here, we look at how talent is feeling, what talent cares about, and key employment data, to track the calibre and commitment of Europe’s tech workforce. In 2023 to date, tech companies headquartered in Europe have Layoffs seem to have accounted for around 10% of all layoffs globally. However, the stabilised data indicates that layoffs in Europe have stabilised since the 昀椀rst half of the year. Early stage companies account for almost double the number Early stage tech is a of new joiners to the industry, compared to growth-stage motor for job creation companies. More talent is moving across borders to start a new job in Europe is a net European tech than there is talent leaving for other regions - bene昀椀ciary of global including the US. talent
Compensation now on top of the agenda The changing macro environment has created a new set of challenges and priorities for European Tech talent. Hiring, both at the senior and junior level, is no longer a top-ranking challenge for founders, implying a cooling of the heated talent acquisition race witnessed in 2021 and 2022. In its place, for founders re昀氀ecting on the past year and looking at the next 12 months, the challenge of man- aging compensation now comes in 昀椀rst. This mirrors the current macroeconomic climate, as both companies and employees are feeling the pressure of managing spend, in昀氀ation, and the ongoing cost of living crisis. Interestingly, while working remotely became a common practice in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic, founders are still grappling with the challenges of managing a remote team. Each company is unique, and 昀椀nding the best solution for remote team members has been a top-two ranking culture challenge for two years running. Notably, the challenge of managing layoffs has fallen to the bottom of the list, according to 2023 survey re- spondents, both in terms of their experiences over the past year, as well as looking forward into 2024. What have been your company’s three biggest people & culture challenges in the past 12 months? And what do you anticipate to be the biggest challenges in the next 12 months? Past 12 months Next 12 months Compensation Managing a remote team / team members Managing company culture Organisation design Senior hiring Mission alignment Retaining talent Training and development Junior and mid-level hiring Layoffs 0 20 40 60 % of respondents Notes: Numbers do not add to 100 as respondents could choose up to three options. Founder, Sources: C-level, and Department head respondents only. Respond- ents who selected "Other" are excluded from the data. 161 | Talent
Great leadership - at all levels of the business - is the de昀椀ning factor for companies looking to navigate these issues. Geraldine MacCarthy CRO, Personio These challenges are understandable and sometimes over- whelming to businesses that have not faced them before. Senior leadership should learn from peer companies and HR experts to build clear frameworks and systems that guide teams in how to respond to trends like these. And, importantly, they should share these to all managers, upleveling the entire team. To do this, there should be the right infrastructure in place to allow compa- nies to cascade this through their teams. This means having the right systems, processes and culture to allow each business to make appropriate decisions. This is exactly the sort of founda- tional work that separates the “great” from the “good” - and the clarity and empowerment it provides to employees is in itself a massive contributor to an excellent culture. | 162
Moving past the worst of it The change in sentiment around layoffs seen in our survey results is also re昀氀ected in industry data on the volume of publicly-disclosed layoffs. The latter half of 2022 and the early months of this year marked the most challenging period for employees in the tech industry. A direct response to the 昀椀nancial downturn is evident in the increased number of layoffs during that period. By the end of this year, globally almost 300,000 employees will have been impacted. This global phenomenon has, of course, been severely felt in Europe. A large number of European startups have had to downsize their workforce to control costs and manage their runway. In 2023 to date, tech compa- nies headquartered in Europe have accounted for around 10% of all layoffs globally. It’s important to note that these 昀椀gures do not tell the full story, as many announcements on layoffs do not disclose speci昀椀c numbers of impacted employees, and even more rounds of redundancies go unreported. Nevertheless, the data underlines the fact that layoffs in Europe have shown signs of stabilising since the 昀椀rst half of the year. That being said, elevated layoffs should still be expected into 2024, as further companies fail to secure the funding or growth needed to sustain current cost levels. Number of tech employee layoffs announced per month, Jan 2022 to Sep 2023 RoW Europe 100k 80k f f o d i 60k a l s e e y o l p m e 40k f o # 20k 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 n b r r y n l g p t v c n b r r y n ul g p a e a p a u Ju u e c o e a e a Ap a u J u e J F M A M J A S O N D J F M M J A S Sources: Notes: Data is as of 30 September 2023. 163 | Talent
Tech continues its pull on talent Even in the face of challenges in the capital markets and concerning indicators such as layoffs, European tech is not losing its strong appeal to talent and is not seeing any type of mass exodus of talent out of the indus- try. In fact, new positions are constantly being created, and the brightest and best talent continues to place signi昀椀cant bets on the European tech sector. Although there has been a levelling off in the rate of increase of net new joiners into the tech industry over the past three quarters, it’s remarkable that in just 昀椀ve short years, European tech has expanded its workforce from slightly over one million employees to more than 2.3 million today. Total European tech industry employees by quarter, 2019 to 2023YTD New non-tech joiners Headcount 3 ) 2 M ( t n u o c d a e h l a t o T 1 0 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 1 Q Q 1 2 3 4 Q 2 3 4 2 3 Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Notes: Q To adjust for lags in reporting, we compare snapshots of data at different points in time, which allows us to estimate future growth of current figures by extrapolating Sources: Powered by differences between time points. Data is as of 20 September 2023, thus Q3 is incomplete. | 164
Deepest ever talent pool Although there has been a slowdown in the number of net new joiners into the tech industry over the past six quarters, it’s remarkable that in just 昀椀ve short years, European tech has expanded its workforce from slightly over 750,000 people to 2.3 million today. Source Powered by 2.3M+ Tech employees in Europe Europe is now home to a rich talent pool of skilled engineers, scientists and researchers, and recent collaborations between academia and industry have led to groundbreaking advancements in various tech sectors, especially climate tech and AI. Namrata Sandhu Founder & CEO, Vaayu Hubs like the UK’s Silicon Fen and Silicon Allee in Germany are gaining international recognition, serving as magnets for inno- vators from all over the world. Continuing to foster international partnerships will consolidate Europe’s position, building on its strengths in innovation and talent. Tech continues to sparkle for many employees Inevitably, a challenging macro backdrop for European tech has taken some shine off the perceived attrac- tiveness of working in the industry. Around a third of all respondents (32%) feel that it is less attractive to work for a European tech company compared to 12 months ago. It should be said, however, that for a meaningful share of respondents, today’s set of market conditions actu- ally make for a more attractive time to be working for a European tech company. Despite conditions that have led to mass layoffs, nearly a third (29%) of respondents say that conditions have become more attractive over the course of the year, though this has decreased from 43% of respondents in 2022’s survey. 165 | Talent
How attractive do you think it is to work for a European tech company, specifically at the stage your startup is at now, compared to 12 months ago? 2023 2022 Significantly more attractive Powered by Somewhat more attractive About the same Somewhat less attractive Significantly less attractive 0 10 20 30 40 50 % of respondents Notes: Founder, C-level, Department Sources: head and Employee respond- ents only. Respondents who selected "Other" are excluded from the data. Early stage is a motor for job creation The growing magnetism of the European tech ecosystem is re昀氀ected in the number of new joiners at Europe- an tech companies coming from other sectors. The hiring curves seen in recent years mirror 昀氀uctuations in tech ecosystem sentiment. 2021 witnessed a surge in new hires, most notably within growth-stage companies. The market reset then caused hiring to 昀氀atline at many companies throughout 2022. 2023, to date, has seen the number of new joiners to the tech industry grow in record volumes, a re昀氀ection of the absolute scale of the ecosystem in aggregate now, as opposed to a dramatic acceleration of growth at the individual company level. Perhaps the most surprising data here, however, is the difference in the absolute volume of new joiners between early-stage and late-stage companies. While growth-stage scale ups are important contributors to | 166
employee growth within the ecosystem, it is the proliferation of early-stage startups that represent the true engine of job creation. Indeed, early-stage companies typically account for almost double the number of new joiners to the tech industry in each period, compared to growth-stage companies. This year so far strikes an optimistic tone, with new hirings on a clear climb in the earliest stages and the growth stage also starting to pick up pace. Trailing 12-month amount of new joiners for European tech companies by hiring company stage, 2019 to 2023 Trailing 12 months, early stage Trailing 12 months, late stage 200k 150k s r e n i o j 100k w e n f o # 50k 0 9 9 9 9 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 1 Q Q Q Q 1 2 3 4 Q Q Q 4 1 2 3 4 Q 2 3 Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Notes: Sources: Powered by Data is as of 20 September 2023, thus Q3 is incomplete. Excluded non-vc, exit related and no prior funding companies. 167 | Talent
Pressing pause on the talent war Signs of the talent market easing are re昀氀ected in founder sentiment on their experience of acquiring new talent. The share of founders that perceive the acquisition of talent to have eased in the past 12 months in- creased this year to 30% of all respondents, a material increase from 25% in 2022 and, in particular, from 15% in 2021 at the height of the overheated talent market. That said, for some founders it is still proving challenging to attract the talent they need. 35% of founder re- spondents said hiring conditions have become harder over the past 12 months, though this is down from 49% of respondents in 2021. Compared to 12 months ago, how easy or di昀케cult is the acquisition of new talent now? 2023 2022 2021 Significantly harder Somewhat harder Unchanged Somewhat easier Significantly easier 0 10 20 30 40 % of respondents Notes: Founder, C-level, and Department head respond- Sources: ents only. Respondents who selected "I don't know" or "No opinion" are excluded from the data. | 168
The prevailing trend in the current job market is a reduced emphasis on aggressive hiring practices, which has made talent retention considerably more feasible. Juan Urdiales Co-Founder & CEO, Job&Talent Yet the challenge of recruiting top-tier talent remains as daunting as ever. Strong leaders and talent are deeply committed to their current organisations, and given the challenging climate within our industry, it’s di昀케cult to persuade them to consider alternative opportunities. Employ- ee engagement and wellbeing have become more crucial than ever for attracting and retaining talent. In an era where talent is in high demand, the organisations that prioritise the well-being, growth, and satisfaction of their employees are the ones that will ultimately thrive and build lasting relationships with their workforce. For many it is now less attractive to become a founder Taking the leap to become a founder has never been an easy decision, with the changing macro environment posing challenges to even the most experienced builders. Unsurprisingly, perceptions around becoming a founder now compared to a year ago have shifted negatively. On average across the ecosystem, more (36% of respondents) see the prospect of being a founder today as less attractive than it was a year ago (versus 26% of all respondents that perceive it is now more attractive). Founders themselves are even more likely than other respondents to say there has been a negative change year on year. Meanwhile, students and researchers are the most optimistic respondent group. It is more important than ever to ensure that new founders have the support they need and that the European ecosystem maintains a healthy in昀氀ux of new funding talent, especially since today’s market conditions actual- ly create an environment to build a company where there is less noise, less competition and greater access to potential talent. 169 | Talent
How attractive do you think it is to become a founder of a European tech company now compared to 12 months ago? Less attractive 100 About the same More attractive 75 s t n e d n o p 50 s e r f o % 25 0 t r P C l s p r n e L V ge nt u e e h n e rt d d c n u r A d a u t a n t o S e o s F s p h e s c R e e r t l t l a A e e y lo p m E Sources: Notes: Numbers may not add up to 100 due to rounding. Diverse challenges de昀椀ne modern entrepreneurship Taking the leap into entrepreneurship is one of the bravest and most challenging choices one can make. Anybody starting a company, at any time, has to embrace a journey of enduring risk, sacri昀椀ce, and personal challenges along the way. That is why it’s essential to remove barriers to entrepreneurship to unlock latent talent that has the potential to succeed. To explore this, we asked survey respondents this year to share their perceptions of the greatest barriers for founders looking to start a company in Europe today. The top responses are a lack of access to external 昀椀nancing (59%) and personal 昀椀nancial constraints (48%), followed by the uncertainty created by the macro backdrop (43%). This aligns with 昀椀ndings explored else- | 170
where in the report that show that the market reset has led to a slowdown in the rate of new tech startup creation. Given the scale of 昀椀nancial barriers, entrepreneurship is a luxury for those that can afford to pursue it. It is little wonder that this leads to risk aversion being cited by many (32%) as a factor in blocking potential founders from starting a company. What are the main barriers for founders looking to start a company today? Lack of external financing Personal financial constraints Macro-economic uncertainty Aversion to risk Di culty finding a co-founder Potential career instability Di culty hiring a team Lack of support network Lack of business skills Lack of mentors / role models Lack of technical skills Lack of time 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 % of respondents Notes: Sources: Founder and C-level respondents only. Respond- ents who selected "Other" are excluded from the data 171 | Talent
Talent movements feed the ecosystem Europe is an attractive destination for tech talent. Looking at the talent moving across borders to start a new job in European tech, it’s clear that employees tend to follow the money. Countries that have raised the largest amount of funding, such as the United Kingdom, France, and Germany, tend to also attract most foreign talent. This makes sense as rapidly growing companies need this in昀氀ux of employees to keep expanding. Interestingly, there are a few outliers to this trend. Switzerland, Sweden, and Norway stand out as relatively underweight in net new talent entering the country vs. the volumes of funding raised. Language skills and immigration law may be barriers for relocation to these countries. Europe is a net bene昀椀ciary of talent movement, with all top countries as well as rest of Europe each year see- ing more talent enter than depart thanks to attracting employees from overseas. However, digging more into the numbers clustered under ‘Rest of Europe’, it becomes evident that the top funded countries are attracting talent away from smaller European ecosystems. While Ukraine was already seeing a net negative 昀氀ow in talent historically, this was exasperated by the war, with tech talent leaving the country at an unprecedented scale. Other European countries suffering from signi昀椀cant brain drain are Bela- rus and Hungary. While it is tempting to create a negative narrative around talent leaving their home countries, the so called “brain drain” does ultimately bene昀椀t the European ecosystem. Talent mobility is important to allow for cross-fertilisation as new talent brings with it a new perspective and a wealth of experience. | 172
Share (%) of talent arrival in Europe per country and total funding raised (%) in Europe, 2023 Arrival % % of arrivals and departures Departure % 40 % of funding 30 20 10 0 K e y s n d n y k y e U c n d e n i a r al p n a n d a a w a t o a a e rl p r m I r r m rl S o u F r e w ze n E e S t N e G h i D f t w o e S t N s e R Talent arrivals Absolute arrivals and departures Talent departures 150 125 100 75 50 Notes: To adjust for lags in 25 reporting, we compare snapshots of data at different points in time, which allows us to estimate 0 future growth of current y s y y K e n d n d in a rk l e figures by extrapolating U c a n e n a a ta p n d a w o a a e rl p r m I r r m rl S o u F r w e n differences between time e e S tz N e f E G h i D t w o points. 2023E is based on e S t N s e data adjusted for lag effect R and extrapolated based on data as of 20 September 2023. Arrivals measured as Sources: Powered by employees joining tech companies only, but could have previously worked at either non-tech or tech companies. 173 | Talent
Top talent migration 昀氀ows Talent movement is healthy for the tech ecosystem as employees learn and become more valuable with every new experience, and Europe is a net bene昀椀ciary of this movement. While most of the European talent that leaves the continent goes to the United States, Europe is also a huge talent magnet for tech talent from the US, and attracts the same amount back, on average netting out slightly in the green. The somewhat usual suspects Canada and Australia are destinations where Europe is the most net negative. Meanwhile, India is powering Europe with thousands of tech workers, and - somewhat surprisingly - Brazil is the next biggest net contributor to talent in昀氀ows to Europe. Net balance of arrivals to and departures from Europe, 2023 Arrivals to Europe Departures from Europe 12.5k 10k 7.5k 5k 2.5k 0 S a ia ia E zil a ia o W U d l A c r c a a d a ri e c o n tr In U Br f ig o R a s A N or C u th M Notes: A ou Data for 2023 only, where an S arrival has taken place on or after 1 January 2023. Arrivals measured as employees joining tech companies only, but could Sources: Powered by have previously worked at either non-tech or tech companies. Data is as of 20 September 2023. | 174
The movement of talent across borders Europe is a net bene昀椀ciary of talent 昀氀ows, attracting new starters from across the globe. That means we’re gaining more international talent than we’re losing. Notably, more talent is moving from the US to work in European tech than European talent is moving to join the US tech scene. It really illustrates the pull our companies now have. In fact, Europe is a net gainer from essentially every single region, apart from Australia. Global tech employee arrivals to Europe, 2023 Arrivals to Europe UUUnnniiittteeeddd SSStttaaattteeesss IInnddiiaa India CCaannaaddaa Canada BBrraazziill Brazil AAAuuussstttrrraaallliiiaaa EEEuuurrrooopppeee SSoouutthh AAffrriiccaa South Africa Morocco MMoorrooccccoo RoW RRooWW Depatures to Europe UUUnnniiittteeeddd SSStttaaattteeesss CCCaaannnaaadddaaa Australia EEEuuurrrooopppeee AAuussttrraalliiaa AAAsssiiiaaa (((eeexxxccclll... IIInnndddiiiaaa))) India IInnddiiaa Notes: United Arab Emirates UUnniitteedd AArraabb EEmmiirraatteess Data for 2023 only, where an BBBrrraaazzziiilll arrival has taken place on or after 1 January 2023. RRooWW Arrivals measured as RoW employees joining tech companies only, but could have previously worked at either non-tech or tech companies. Data is as of 20 Sources: September 2023. Powered by 175 | Talent
This global in昀氀ux introduces a myriad of skills and perspectives that challenge the status quo and spark innovation. Wouter Durville Co-Founder & CEO, TestGorilla The movement of talent across borders and into the European tech scene is a testament to the power of skills-based hiring. When you hire based on skills and abilities, you create a diverse and robust talent pool, equipped to navigate the complexities of today’s tech landscape. This diversity is essential for fostering a culture of creativity and driving forward the tech- nological prowess of Europe on the world stage. By focusing on what truly matters — skills, not just experience or education — European tech com- panies can harness the full potential of the global talent pool and remain competitive in an increasingly dynamic industry. The European tech sector attracts the world While talent is arriving to and leaving Europe, the continent nets out positive. With an impressive in昀氀ux of non-European tech talent, Europe’s tech sector continues to expand and attract global expertise. European tech is a net talent winner Source 10k+ net new people joined the European tech scene in 2023. | 176
Europe outpaces US in new tech founders despite global slowdown The impact of the market reset is also visible in the effects on entrepreneurship and the rate of new company formation by founders. Globally, the rate at which founders are starting new tech companies has receded by approximately 30% from its peak in 2020, with this decline re昀氀ected in the data for new tech founders in both Europe and the US. While a decrease in new companies being founded might appear concerning at 昀椀rst glance, there is a case to be made that this re昀氀ects a return to ‘healthier’ conditions. Those who are taking the leap into entrepreneurship today face a higher bar to raise money, attract talent, and win customers. This changes the perceived risk of starting a company and, as a consequence, has the effect that only the most committed and resilient founders are prepared to embark upon the entrepreneurial journey. Subsequently, it is not surprising to see the share of repeat founders remaining stable, while almost all the decline is accounted for by fewer 昀椀rst-time founders. What will, however, be surprising to most is the fact that the annual volume of founders starting new tech startups in Europe exceeds the US, and has done so consistently for every one of the past 昀椀ve years. Number of first-time and repeat founders starting new companies per year, 2019 to 2023 Repeat founders First-time founders 25 20 s r e d n15 u o f e u q i n u 10 f o # 5 0 Notes: e S e S e S e S e S p U p U p U p U p U To adjust for lags in o o o o o r r ur ur ur u u E E E reporting, we compare E E snapshots of data at different points in time, 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 which allows us to estimate future growth of current figures by extrapolating differences between time points. 2023F is based on data adjusted for lag effect and extrapolated based on Sources: Powered by data as of 20 September 2023. 177 | Talent
Teams coming to market continue to be of high quality The idea that a tough macro environment has a Darwinian effect on the startup landscape - where only the 昀椀ttest survive - is re昀氀ected to some extent in investors’ sentiment on the quality of opportunities they have evaluated in 2023 compared to 2022. 39% of venture capital investors and 38% of angel investors stated in the 2023 survey that the average quality of founding teams they have taken into due diligence is greater this year compared to last. Just 14% of VCs and 17% of angels had the opposing perspective. How does the average quality of founding teams you have diligenced so far in 2023 compare to that of last year’s? Lesser No change 100 Higher 80 s t 60 n e d n o p s e r f o 40 % 20 0 VCs Angels Notes: VCs and angel respondents Sources: only. Respondents who selected “Unable to comment / Do not know” are excluded from the data. | 178
We have a remarkably diverse talent pool. Europe’s rich diversity of cultures and backgrounds has created a vibrant and dynamic ecosystem. Jordi Romero Co-Founder & CEO, Factorial The legacy of talent coming from companies that have managed to have an impact globally over the last few years is creating great net- work effects, which is playing a multiplying role in the European tech ecosystem. The improvement in the volume, and quality, of capital for tech companies in Europe is having a huge impact, and has opened the possibility to build global companies from Europe end to end. th Re昀氀ecting on Skype’s 20 anniversary A single success story can have an outsized impact on the tech ecosystem. This is exempli昀椀ed by Skype, co-founded 20 years ago by the CEO of Atomico, Niklas Zennström. Skype’s workforce absorbed a culture of innovation and subsequently went on to start Europe’s next generation of leading tech companies. In total, the 昀椀rst- and second-generation entrepreneurs that emerged from Skype’s alumni network have gone on to start more than 900 companies across 50 coun- tries around the world. This alumni network has already produced additional billion-dollar companies and, today, Skype alumni companies employ more than 65,000 people worldwide. It’s astonishing to witness the ecosystem-level effect that a single, game changing company can have over time. 179 | Talent
Cumulative number of founding roles across the Skype ecosystem, 2004 to 2023YTD 1st Generation (Post-Skype) 1000 Next Generations 800 s e l o r g n i 600 d n u o f f o # e v i 400 t a l u m u C 200 0 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 11 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Sources: Powered by Notes: Data is as of 20 September 2023. The outsized impact of Skype The initial experience at Skype acted as a launchpad for diverse entrepreneurial ventures. The visual be- low illustrates a fascinating network of innovation and entrepreneurship stemming from a single origin point, Skype. What this represents is the powerful impact that a successful and in昀氀uential company can have on its ecosystem. The individuals who have branched out from Skype, the “next-generation founders”, are leveraging their expertise to shape the future of their respective industries. The various companies emerging from Skype demonstrate the diversity in expertise and talent represented. The visualisation represents that innovation doesn’t stop with one successful company. It has a ripple effect and continues to boost the European tech 昀氀ywheel well after it’s 昀椀rst established. | 180
Skype network visualised 950 companies 65k employess 50 countries Notes: Brand on public Linkedin profiles only and companies defined “tech” as per Atomico’s proprietary taxonmy model; Nodes size represent total capital raised by companies, VC Powered by Sources: funds are not sized according to their AuM. Data as of 20th of Septem- ber2023. Europe’s strength is its unrivalled commitment to innovation, its wealth of talent and its strong focus on solving the world’s most pressing challenges. Anna Humphrey Partner, Compensation and Bene昀椀ts, Orrick The surge in new companies led by serial founders – many of whom are alumni of European unicorns such as Skype or BlaBlaCar – is creating a net- work effect that can propel Europe into being the next tech superpower. 181 | Talent
Talent 昀氀ywheel accelerating with unicorn alumni The story of Skype is far from unique in Europe today. In fact, the European tech ecosystem has witnessed an industry-wide surge in the number of new companies launched by individuals that have spun out of Europe’s billion-dollar companies. In doing so, they bene昀椀t signi昀椀cantly from the established knowledge and networks they take with them. Remarkably, more than 9,000 companies have been initiated by alumni of European exited unicorns that were founded during the 2000s. To put this into perspective, it is nearly a staggering 50% increase compared to the unicorns founded in the 1990s. It is not di昀케cult to imagine how this network effect will signi昀椀cantly in昀氀uence Europe’s path in the next ten years. Number of new 1st and 2nd generation founders spun out from exited European unicorns, by unicorn founding decade and years since founding 2010s 2000s 10k 1990s 8k t u o n 6k u p s s r e d n u o f 4k f o # 2k 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 Years since $B+ company founding Notes: Sources: Powered by Based on founders attributes and the date they indicated starting their company. | 182
Learning from experience In the earliest days of the European tech ecosystem, the notion of fundraising and building billion-dollar tech companies were all relatively new, and often niche. Unsurprisingly, the average founding team composition in those days was also typically composed mostly of tech ‘newbies’. Over the decades that have followed, and as a growing number of early success stories emerged, the prevalence of founding teams with prior entrepre- neurial experience has spiked materially. Looking at billion-dollar companies started in the 1990s, for example, just 9% of the founders of those com- panies had prior entrepreneurial experience before they created these companies. By the 2010s, this 昀椀gure exploded by more than four times to hit 35%. Share (%) of $B+ companies with founding teams made up of at least one repeat founder, by $B+ company founding decade 40 30 s e i n a p m o c + B 20 $ f o ) % ( e r a h S 10 Notes: Data is as of 20 September 2023. Based on founders attributes and the date they indicated starting their 0 company. We are limiting the analysis to European 1990s 2000s 2010s founders and excluded “non-tech” companies as defined by Atomico’s proprietary classification model. Included only founders with previous Sources: experience in starting a company, not a foundation, venture capital firm, charity or similar. 183 | Talent
Introducing “STAR”, our data driven assessment of team quality In spite of a recent slowdown in the volume of new company creation, entrepreneurship has exploded across Europe over the past decade. Europe’s never had a deeper and stronger bench of founder talent. But it takes more than just exceptional founders to build a successful breakout company. It takes a whole team of exceptional leaders, and the ability to attract and retain top talent is a crucial factor in determining the success of any founding team. And thanks to the growing depth of Europe’s talent pool, there’s never been a stronger base of talent to help build the current and next generation of European tech companies. This year, we set out to quantify this with data by developing a proprietary rating called STAR (Startup Talent Attraction Rating) to objectively assess the quality of teams by evaluating the excellence of their senior hires. We’ve done this with a particular focus on the strength and relevance of their professional networks, as research indicates network quality can drive commercial success. Hence, the team rating uses co-employment networks to map employees’ movement between companies. As you’d expect, if you look at the total universe of all tech startups created in any given year, very few ever succeed in building a truly exceptional team, especially in the initial years post-founding. In fact, only around 2-3% of the total count of tech startups are rated as exceptional by this measure, even 昀椀ve years post-founding. STAR ratings (0-10) distribution (%) for European tech companies founded after 2010' Exceptional (5+) 100 Very good (3-4) Standard (0-2) 80 s g n i t a 60 r R A T S f o ) % ( 40 e r a h S 20 0 1Y post founding 3Y post founding 5Y post founding Notes: The STAR rating uses co-employment networks to map employees‘ movement between companies. Data is Sources: Powered by as of 20 September 2023. | 184
Team strength as a key indicator separating unicorns from the rest The STAR score itself is intuitive. The higher the score, the stronger the team that has been assembled. This is brought to life when comparing the evolution of team scores over time for those companies that suc- ceed in reaching a billion-dollar valuation vs. those that do not. As illustrated in the chart, billion-dollar companies start their journeys with stronger teams right from the earliest years post-founding, and go on to build stronger and stronger teams over time. Of course, there’s no such thing as guaranteed success when it comes to startups, but this indicator is a help- ful tool. Average STAR rating (0-10) evolution post founding year by company status Non-unicorn Unicorn 10 8 g 6 n i t a r R A T S 4 2 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Years since company's founding date Notes: Sources: Powered by The STAR rating uses co-employ- ment networks to map employees‘ movement between companies. Data is as of 20 September 2023. 185 | Talent
As startups mature, top teams draw majority of capital The concentration of capital around companies that succeed in building outlier teams is also evidenced when looking at the distribution of capital raised over time. In the initial two years post-founding, before most companies have really had an opportunity to signi昀椀cantly strengthen their teams, capital is distributed more widely. As time elapses, however, more and more capital 昀氀ows to the strongest teams. This is, of course, aided by the fact that there is a compounding positive effect from raising capital when it comes to building an exceptional team. The more you raise, the stronger your position when it comes to attracting, retaining and rewarding the best - and most expensive - talent. Distribution of capital raised over time by STAR rating Exceptional (5+) 100 Very good (3-4) Standard (0-2) 80 g n i t a r R A T 60 S y b d e s i a r l a 40 t i p a c f o % 20 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Years post founding Notes: Sources: Powered by An “exceptional” team has a rating of 5 and above. Data is as of 20 September 2023. | 186
Number of top tier teams built from Europe has more than doubled This data can also be used to answer key questions, such as whether capital 昀氀ows disproportionately to the strongest teams, or whether more companies are able to build exceptional teams in tech from Europe today compared to 10 years ago. On the 昀椀rst point, the data does indeed support the idea that the stronger the team you build, the more likely you are to hit funding milestones and the greater your access to capital. At one year after founding, the share of companies that have since raised Seed stage funding have a 3x greater concentration of teams rated exceptional than the baseline for all companies. By 昀椀ve years after founding, the gap between the control baseline and those companies that have gone on to successfully raise across multiple critical funding mile- stones widens to a staggering 10x. Furthermore, when comparing the concentration of ‘exceptional teams among the 2014 and 2013 cohort of founding, the share of top tier teams has doubled across all stages of maturity. Europe’s greatest strength when it comes to talent is its richness in diversity. With diverse backgrounds, education, and mindsets, Europe has a lot to offer. As a VP of people, it is essential for me to work in an organization that is diverse and complementary. Emilie Tyan VP of People, Reveal I strongly believe that diversity is based on diverse educational backgrounds. Furthermore, for a company to grow, it needs to be challenged both externally and internally. To achieve this, we must ensure that we do not replicate the same team members and create a very identical company. Europe’s strength is based on its diversity and how different it is across the same united zone. 187 | Talent
Share (%) of teams rated as “exceptional” by stage, 2014 to 2023 Baseline vs overall Baseline* 40 Funded companies 35 l 30 a n o i t p 25 e c x e d e t 20 a r s m a e 15 t f o % 10 5 0 1Y post founding 3Y post founding 5Y post founding 2014 cohort 2023 cohort 2014 vs 2023 cohort 50 40 l a n o i t p e 30 c x e d e t a r s m a 20 e t f o % 10 Notes: An “exceptional” team has a rating of 5 and above. *Baseline rating for Seed is 0 based on 1 year post founding, for Series A on 3 Seed Series A Series B years post founding and for Series B on 5 years post founding. Data is as of 20 September 2023. Sources: Powered by | 188
04 Fundraising
Key 昀椀ndings Here, we turn our attention to the money that keeps the 昀氀ywheel spinning. This chapter takes a look at how LPs and VCs have felt about the last year, what their priorities now look like, and examines the role of institutional investors in today’s ecosystem. While the majority of LPs reported an intention to maintain their VC an increasingly allocations across all asset classes, 35% stated an intention to attractive asset class increase their allocation to VC next year - the most of any asset class. to LPs VCs and LPs agree that navigating a tougher fundraising environ- VCs and LPs are aligned ment will be a real challenge over the next 12 months. They are on future challenges also both concerned about the impact of a muted exit landscape. In 2022, just 0.024% of pension fund AUM was invested into Euro- Pension funds are still pean VCs, in line with the average of the last 昀椀ve years. The scale punching bellowing of European pension funds means even a small increase in their share of AUM dedicated to VC would transform the ecosystem. their weight
LPs are more bullish than VCs give them credit for As the ultimate source of capital that 昀氀ows downstream via VCs to startups, Limited Partners (LPs) play a critical role in the healthy functioning and success of the European tech ecosystem. The scale and predicta- bility of capital 昀氀owing from LPs is itself shaped by the appetite and willingness of these institutional inves- tors to allocate to the venture asset class on a consistent basis. As a result, LP sentiment is a crucial barome- ter to understand current and future appetite to invest. This year’s survey highlights a notable increase in the share of LP respondents who reported a decreased ap- petite to invest in the European venture asset class compared to prior surveys, increasing to 20% of respond- ents from 8% last year and just 2% in 2021. More notable, however, is the fact that just as many LP respondents 18% reported an increased appetite, while the majority 62% reported no change in appetite. This likely re昀氀ects the fact that many LPs understand the importance of investing consistently through all stages of the cycle and the fact that, perhaps counterin- tuitively, a market downturn may actually represent a more attractive phase to allocate to the asset class. What really stands out, however, is the huge gulf in perception between LPs and VCs. As many as 71% of VC respondents to the survey stated that they have noticed a decreased appetite from LPs compared to 12 months ago, clearly highlighting the headwinds that VCs perceive are creating challenging fundraising con- ditions. This represents an almost doubling in VC respondents highlighting decreased LP appetite since last year’s survey and is more than 3x higher than the responses shared by LPs themselves. In the past 12 months, has your firm's appetite to invest in the European venture asset class changed? In the past 12 months, to what extent has your firm noticed a change in appetite for European venture investment from LPs? Decreased appetite Stayed the same 100 Increased appetite 75 s t n e d n o p 50 s e r f o % 25 0 1 2 3 1 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 20 0 0 20 0 0 2 2 2 2 Notes: LP VC VC and LP respondents only. Respondents who selected "I don’t feel su昀케ciently informed to comment" are excluded Sources: from the data. 191 | Fundraising
Stark gap in perception between VCs and LPs It’s sometimes said that VCs and LPs speak different languages, and are therefore not always aligned in the way they think or act. This mismatch in expectations is highlighted by a stark gap in the perception of VCs and LPs when asked to comment on the challenges faced by LPs in relation to their venture capital investments. VC respondents were mostly likely to cite reduced risk appetite, liquidity issues from a lack of distributions, and reallocation to focus on other asset classes as the perceived challenges. In contrast, while liquidity issues also ranked second amongst LP respondents, the challenges posed by faster than expected fund re-up cycles and product proliferation by GPs were far more likely to be cited by LPs. Interestingly, large perception gaps are visible across almost every possible perceived challenge and highlight a potential lack of understanding when it comes to the actual challenges faced by LPs. What challendges, if any, do you believe LPs faced when investing in venture GPs in the past 12 months? What challenges, if any, have you experienced in relation to your VC programme strategy? Notes: LP and VC respondents only. Respondents who selected “none of the above” and “other” are excluded from data. Sources: Number do not add to 100 as respondents could choose multiple options. | 192
On the back of a depressed M&A market and lagging VC fund returns compared to other asset classes, LP liquidity in the VC ecosystem has declined signi昀椀cantly in 2023. Gavin Rees Head of Strategic Fund Solutions, HSBC Innovation Banking UK VC fundraising remains therefore challenging, with fund closing times continuing to lengthen this year. However, there are signs the market could be on track for a stronger performance in 2024. Similar to the Private Equity Market which has seen signi昀椀cantly more capital going into the hands of the biggest funds, LPs have shifted their focus in the VC space towards top managers. There has also been increased LP led activity for secondary transactions in the Private Equity Market, indicating we may be closer to market clearance - and providing much needed liquidity among LPs. We may see a similar dynamic in the VC ecosystem, creating opportunities for new LPs to enter the market whilst giving existing LPs the opportunity to realize their investments. VCs and LPs are aligned on future challenges Interestingly, there is much closer alignment in the perception of VCs and LPs when asked about the greatest potential challenges likely to be experienced by VC GPs over the next 12 months. There is clear agreement on the di昀케culties of navigating the fundraising environment and the impact of a muted exit landscape on 昀椀nding liquidity and realising distributions back to LPs. The most notable areas of divergence of perception here relate to follow-on capital management and the competitive landscape for investment. LP respondents ranked follow-on capital management much higher than VC respondents, while VC respondents were much more likely to perceive competition as a challenge than LPs. 193 | Fundraising
Thinking ahead to the next 12 months, what do you consider to be the greatest potential challenges for your VC fund? Thinking ahead to the next 12 months, what do you consider to be the greatest potential challenges for VC GPs? Challenges perceived by VCs Challenges perceived by LPs Fundraising environ… Exits / liquidity / distr… Fund performance Portfolio management Quality of deal flow Follow-on capital ma… Valuations of new inv… Investment competiti… Public market volatility Talent retention Motivating team Managing culture Cutting expenses 0 20 40 60 80 % of respondents Notes: VC and LP respondents only. Respondents who selected “None of Sources: the above” and “Other”’ are excluded from the data. Numbers do not add to 100 as respondents could choose multiple options. | 194
Appetite to add new European VC GPs remains strong As well as asking LPs to comment on their overall appetite to invest in European venture, the survey also asked respondents to speci昀椀cally state any change in their appetite to add net new managers to expand their portfolio of European VC funds. Almost half of all LP respondents (41%) stated an increased appetite to add new managers, while more than a third (41%) reported no change. Just 18% of LP respondents reported a decreased appetite to make commitments to new fund manager relationships. In the past 12 months, how has your 昀椀rm’s appetite to add net new European VC GPs to your portfolio changed compared to before? 41% Source of LPs stated an increased appetite to add new GPs to their portfolio. Smooth sailing behind and choppy waters ahead? Despite market headwinds, 2022 represented a record-breaking year for European VCs with funds raised in the year exceeding $24B, driven by an expansion of fundraising by both early-stage and later-stage fund managers. This year, however, looks set to record a meaningful year-on-year decline in total funds raised, with the 昀椀rst half of the year having recorded just $8.3B raised. The contraction in fundraising volumes during the 昀椀rst six months of the year is visible across all stages of investment focus. This falling number, however, should be framed within a longer-term perspective. Only a decade ago, European VCs raised just $5.1 billion for the full year of 2014. 195 | Fundraising
Overall VC funds raised ($B) by fund type per year, 2014 to H1 2023 Early-stage Later stage venture 30 Venture (all stages) 25 ) B20 $ ( d e s i a r s d 15 n u f C V l a t 10 o T 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 . . . . . . . 1. . 2 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 20 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 H1 Notes: Taken from the European Data Cooperative, developed by Invest Europe. Data is as of Sources: June 2023. The data shows incremental amounts in each year for venture funds, not only final closing. First-time funds taking a hit There has been a lot of discussion about the impact of a challenging fundraising environment on 昀椀rst-time fund managers. Despite the fact that conditions had clearly already shifted in 2022, there was an all-time re- cord high in terms of funds raised by 昀椀rst-time European VC managers, while the number of funds closed also approached the record level of 2021. This year, however, shows a clear reversal of these record numbers. In the 昀椀rst half of 2023, only 29 昀椀rst-time European VC funds were closed for a total of less than $1B in aggregate funds raised. Based on the level of ac- tivity seen year to date, it’s clear that the full-year total will fall well short of recent highs and look set to drop back to levels last seen in pre-Covid years. | 196
Number of first-time European VC funds and total amount raised ($B), 2014 to H1 2023 Total funds raised ($B) # of funds 6 100 4.8 80 ) B $ ( d3.6 60 # e s o i f a r f u s n d d n s u f l2.4 40 a t o T 1.2 20 0 0 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 H1 Notes: Taken from the European Data Cooperative, developed by Invest Europe. EDC data converted at EUR:USD of 1:1.0917, the rate on 30 Sources: June 2023. The data shows incremental amounts in each year for venture funds, not only final closing. Portfolios under review The changing investment environment means that LPs have to review their portfolios and allocation targets to consider potential adjustments to allocations across all asset classes, not just VC. The majority of LPs reported an intention to maintain their allocations across all asset classes. Looking at responses for venture capital speci昀椀cally, more LP respondents stated an intention to increase their allocation (35%) over the next 12 months compared to any other asset class. An intention to increase allocation to Credit, for example, was highlighted by 22% of LP respondents, while for Private Equity this number was 20%. Interestingly, however, 15% of LP respondents stated an intention to decrease allocation to venture capital over the next 12 months, which was the third-highest share of respondents, after cash (20%) and real estate (26%). 197 | Fundraising
In regards to the below listed asset classes, is your fund looking to increase or decrease allocation in the next 12 months? Decrease allocation Remains the same 100 Increase allocation 75 s t n e d n o p50 s e r f o % 25 0 al it ty e h s s e it d i m s t d t e u a e n ta p r q o C k u a C c ar f s E n e C i e l e e m g a r t d c d e u a e i t iv ix l e R n r F ub H e P P V Sources: Notes: LP respondents only. Numbers may not add up to 100 due to rounding. | 198
For the most part, established VCs have done a good job of managing their portfolios over the past 12-18 months. They’ve taken signi昀椀cant write downs where appropriate and have focused their portfolio companies on reducing burn and extending their cash runways. Michelle Ashworth Partner, Top Tier As a result, we think that most of our GPs are in relatively good shape. That said, we think there are a lot of companies waiting on the side-lines, reluctant to raise capital until they have to, that will have to come back to market next year. We think fundraising is likely to remain a challenge for all but the most high-pro昀椀le venture-backed companies over the next 6-12 months, so continued portfolio man- agement is paramount. We would advise GPs, if and when the fund- raising market improves, not to go straight back to where we were in terms of investment pace. A lot of VCs deployed a lot of capital in a short space of time between Q2.20 and Q2.22 and we know historical- ly that has not led to attractive returns. Some catching up to do Despite huge progress and an almost 50x growth in the value of the European tech ecosystem over the past two decades, the share of alternative assets under management (AUM) allocated to venture capital by Euro- pean-headquartered asset managers has actually declined over the same period. In fact, today, just 8% or $218B of European asset manager AUM allocated to alternative assets is allocated to venture capital. In 2000, at the peak of the dotcom period, this stood at 19% and then subsequently declined consistently to fall below double-digit levels in 2008. It has hovered in the mid-to-high single-digit allocation range ever since. To put this in a broader context, at 8%, European asset manager allocation to venture capital in 2023 is half of the US average of 16% (equivalent of $1,100B) and signi昀椀cantly lower than the global average of 21% (equal to $2,776B). For the US as well as global AUM allocation, the share held by VC has risen steadily over the last decade since hitting lows of 10-11% in 2013. 199 | Fundraising
Share of AUM by alternative asset class based on manager HQ region, 2000 to 2023 Real Estate Private Equity 100 Private Debt Natural Resources Infrastructure 80 Venture Capital n o i t a c 60 o l l a t e s s a l a t o 40 t f o % 20 0 0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Notes: Data is as of 30 September Sources: 2023. Numbers may not add up to 100 due to rounding. 2023 data is as of 31 March 2023. Emerging fund types in European VC A muted exit landscape has exacerbated an existing market need for a greater variety of liquidity solutions for early investors and employees. Alongside the emergence of secondary marketplaces such as Forge Global’s Forge Europe to facilitate transactions between buyers and sellers of private shareholdings in technology companies, the market need is also starting to be addressed by a still small, but growing number of dedicated European secondary funds with a specialist focus on high-growth, private European technology companies. | 200
Arcven Flashpoint Giano Capital HQ - Netherlands HQ - United Kingdom HQ - Switzerland Nordic Secondary Fund Rockby Siena Secondary Fund HQ - Denmark HQ - France HQ - Estonia Fund count trending down The decline in the count of funds closed is visible across almost all fund size categories, especially for those at the lowest end of the spectrum. In the 昀椀rst half of 2023, for example, just six funds sized under €25M have been closed, compared to around 40 per full year in the two preceding years. Similarly, just six funds size between €50-100M closed in the 昀椀rst six months of 2023, compared to 25 during the full year 2022. The one exception visible in the trend by fund size is for the largest fund size category, meaning funds closed in excess of €500M. Based on the rate of fund closes in H1 2023, this category is on track to exceed 2022’s total and to match the record of any prior year. This speaks to the fact that European VC is now seeing a growing number of funds scaling up to capture the dramatically increased European tech opportunity. It is an interesting contrast to a trend in the US of its largest-scale managers choosing - or needing - to downsize fund targets to take into account the shifts in the macro context. Of course, US funds scaled much bigger, much faster and so the trend is indicative of region- al-speci昀椀c trends. 201 | Fundraising
Number of VC funds raised, 2019 to H1 2023 > €500M €250 - 500M 175 €100 - 250M €50 - 100M 150 €25 - 50M < €25M 125 d e s i a r100 s d n u f C V 75 f o # 50 25 0 2019 2020 2021 2022 H1 2023 Notes: H1 2023 figures are prelimi- nary. Taken from the European Data Cooperative, developed by Invest Europe. Sources: EDC data converted at EUR:USD of 1:1.0917, the rate on 30 June 2023. Data is final closing only. VCs coming back to market delayed 2021 and early 2022 saw record-breaking investment levels, fuelled in no small part by investors signi昀椀cantly accelerating their pace of investment and compressing fund deployment cycles. Last year’s edition of the State of European Tech predicted a reversal of this trend starting in 2023 and this is now beginning to be re昀氀ected in the data. Last year, the median time between VCs returning to market and closing their next funds had shrunk to record lows in both Europe and the US. In the US, this number had fallen as low as a median fund cycle length of just 1.5 years, a remarkable divergence from the long-run US average of 2.7 years. In Europe, meanwhile, this num- ber fell to a new low of 2.7 years in 2022, compared to the long-term average of 3.2 years. This year, however, shows that the time between funds in the US has started to elongate again, extending to two years, while in Europe the numbers appear to be delayed in re昀氀ecting the impact and have yet to increase as visibly as in the US. That said, the data does show indications of fund cycles having now settled above a median of 2.5 years. | 202
Median VC Fund time between funds (years) Europe (Average) United States (Average) Europe (Median) 4 United States (Median) )3 s r a e y ( s d n u f n2 e e w t e b e m i T1 0 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 D 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 T 0 0 0 20 0 0 0 0 0 Y 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 0 2 Sources: Notes: Data is as of 30 September 2023. Fundraising timelines stretching out The evidence of a more challenging fundraising environment is also visible elsewhere. One clear example is in looking at the average time taken between 昀椀rst and 昀椀nal fund closes, as well as the average percentage of target fund size achieved by fund managers at 昀椀nal close. Since 2021, there has been clear evidence of fundraising timelines elongating signi昀椀cantly between 昀椀rst and 昀椀nal closes. In fact, between 2020 and 2022, this number has increased by more than 50% from an average of eight months to more than a year. Meanwhile, after rising consistently for almost a decade, the average share of target size achieved at 昀椀nal close by fund managers declined for the 昀椀rst time in 2022, a trend that will likely also have been continued in 2023 once the updated numbers are disclosed. 203 | Fundraising
Time between first and final close (months) and share (%) of target size reached at close, 2014 to 2023 Average number of months between first and final close Average share of target size 15 125 e at final close (%) s o l c A l v a e n r fi 12 100 a g d e n a s h t a s r r fi e n o e f 9 75 e t a w r t g e e b t s s h i t z n e o 6 50 a t m fi f n o a r l e c b l o m s u e n 3 25 ( % e ) g a r e v A 0 0 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 D 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 T 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Y 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 0 2 Sources: Notes: Data is as of 30 September 2023. Pace of investment slowed The length of a fund’s deployment cycle is intrinsically linked to overall pace of investment. The faster a fund is invested, the sooner the fund manager has to return to LPs to raise again. The overall scale of investment activity is also a function of the size of funds raised. Assuming a consistent strategy in terms of typical initial cheque sizes, the bigger the fund, the greater the number of expected investments. The impact of bigger funds and shorter fund cycles is neatly captured when looking at the volume of invest- ment activity across a consistent cohort of more than 100 funds actively investing in European tech over the past decade. At the early stage, there was a consistent increase in new investment volume, culminating in a dramatic increase in investment pace between Q1 2022 and Q2 2022. But the subsequent deceleration since then is just as stark. At the growth stage, the same trend is repeated, albeit with the expected lower relative volume of activity. | 204
Number of new investments made in the last 12 months for a cohort of investors rebased to 100, 2014 to 2023 Early stage Growth stage 500 0 0 1 o t 400 d e s a b e r s h t300 n o m 2 1 t s a l n i200 s t n e m t s e v n 100 i f o # 0 4 4 5 5 6 6 17 17 8 8 9 9 0 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Notes: 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q 1 3 Q Q 1 3 Q 3 Data is as of 30 September Q Q Q Q Q 2023. Excludes the follow- ing: biotech, secondary transactions, debt, lending capital, and grants. Based on a cohort of 110 funds focussed at Early Stage Sources: Powered by (Pre-Series A) and 31 funds active at Later Stage (Series A +) deals. GPs sharpening focus Not surprisingly, a reset in the macro and fundraising environment is causing VCs to sharpen their focus and reprioritise 昀椀rm-level strategies and initiatives. As in last year’s survey, the importance of building a stronger network was the top-ranked response in terms of areas that have been given an increased priority over the past 12 months. This, of course, re昀氀ects the im- portance of relationships in a heavily people-centric industry. The biggest shift is an increased priority given to fund marketing activities (cited by 65% of VC respondents), a logical re昀氀ection of the need to stand out amid a very tough and competitive fundraising landscape. The increased priority on developing investment focus specialism (cited by 51% of VC respondents) is also aligned with the need to have a clearly differentiated value proposition. 205 | Fundraising
The industry’s increased focus on ESG, in part driven by greater pressure from LPs, is also evident in the sig- ni昀椀cant increase in the number of VC respondents (52%) saying this has been given a greater priority over the past 12 months. In last year’s survey, this number stood at just 28% of VC respondents. Another notable change compared to last year’s survey, is a palpable increase in the percentage of VC re- spondents that cited an increased priority to invest in their fund’s data and tech stack. This year, 47% of VC respondents said this had seen an increased priority, compared to just 23% of respondents in 2022. The areas most likely to have experienced a decreased priority over the past 12 months related to scaling headcount, in respect to both the investment and non-investment teams. Which firm-level strategies or initiatives have seen a change in priority in the last 12 months compared to the year before? Decreased Priority No change Increased Priority Building our network Fund marketing activities Measuring the portfolio's ESG impact Developing specialism in our investment focus Investing in the fund’s tech and data stack Scaling the investment team Launching new (investment) products Scaling non-investment team members Expanding / reshifting stage focus 0 25 50 75 100 % of respondents Notes: VC respondents only. Numbers do not add to 100 as respondents could choose multiple options. Sources: 2022 survey question was asked as a multiple choice while in 2023 respondents were asked to rank each. | 206
I am very bullish around European thought leadership and commitment around ESG and Climate topics. Carolina Brochado Partner, EQT Ventures From the increasingly robust EU regulatory landscape to shifting con- sumer behaviours, prioritising the different areas of ESG is a trend that is very pronounced in Europe, which I believe will pave the way for large future companies to be established which will pioneer innovation in soft- ware & tech while also driving positive change. A third of LPs have actively explored proactive liquidity opportunities The knock-on effect of a muted exit landscape is a lack of distributions to LPs, creating the liquidity issues that so many LP survey respondents highlighted as a key challenge. As a consequence, this has led a signi昀椀cant number of LP respondents to proactively explore alternative liquidity opportunities, such as seeking secondary buyers for positions in their GP portfolio. According to the survey, 35% of respondents have spent time in 2023 exploring these potential opportunities, though only a small number of respondents (6%) have spent signi昀椀cant time on this. The main drivers of LP portfolio sales include the derisking of maturing programmes (especially for pension funds), the resizing of portfolios to rebalance allocations, enabling consistent deployment and preserving vin- tage year diversi昀椀cation by unlocking new commitments, enabling a reallocation away from legacy strategies, as well as as cutting non-core relationships. So far in 2023, has your fund looked for liquidity opportunities (e.g. selling secondaries)? Source 35% of LP respondents state they have spent time seeking liquidity opportunities 207 | Fundraising
Realisations and distributions unlock As highlighted by survey respondents, distributions are top of mind for both VCs and LPs. The key metric to assess this is DPI, a measure of distribution to paid-in capital, i.e., the multiple of capital returned to investors relative to their initial commitment size. On average, VC funds take up to a decade to return the initial investment to LPs (i.e. hit a DPI of greater than one), while further distributions continue to follow in subsequent years. A comparison of European vs. US funds highlights an interesting divergence in the time to DPI, but over time shows that European funds closely align to, and in some cases exceed, US benchmarks. The divergence in time to initial DPI across the regions is likely a function of the maturity of the exit landscapes. DPI by fund vintage year for European and US VC funds European Developed venture capital US venture capital 4 3 e l p i t l u m 2 s n r u t e R 1 0 6 7 8 9 0 11 2 13 4 15 16 17 8 9 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Fund vintage Sources: Notes: Data as of Q2 2023. | 208
Short-term returns hit, but long-term outperformance As expected, the market reset is mirrored in the short-term performance of venture capital. One-year VC returns are now well into negative territory in both Europe and the US, as a consequence of increased down rounds, write-offs, and markdowns re昀氀ecting in the data. In VC, however, what matters is the long-term perspective, given that returns take 10 years or more to be realised. In this regard, European VCs have consistently delivered outperformance over two decades, at least matching or, in most cases, beating benchmarks from US VCs, European buyout, and public equities. Horizon pooled return (net) by fund index, June 2023 2023 MSCI Europe Index 30 2023 Europe Developed Private Equity Index 2023 US Venture Capital Index 2023 Europe Developed Venture Capital Index 20 10 0 -10 -20 20 Year 15 Year 10 Year 5 Year 3 Year 1 Year Notes: Data is as of 30 June 2023. MSCI Europe Index is Sources: derived from the CA Modified Public Market Equivalent (mPME), which replicates private investment performance under public market conditions. 209 | Fundraising
Several larger-scale funds defy the market downturn The maturing of Europe’s investor landscape is characterised by a small, but growing number of large-scale VC fund managers based in the region. This year, several of these managers de昀椀ed challenging fundraising conditions to close on signi昀椀cantly-sized vehicles. This includes three funds that closed in excess of $1B, including Generation Investment Management spin-off Just Climate’s $1.5 billion ‘Climate Assets Fund’, the $1.1B NATO Innovation Fund, and Highland Europe’s 昀椀fth technology growth fund of just over $1B. Largest European VC funds raised in 2023 Size of Fund Name ($M) Fund Name Fund Location Generation Investment London, United 1 Management 1,500 Climate Assets Fund I Kingdom Amsterdam, 2 NATO Innovation Fund 1,107 NATO Innovation Fund Netherlands Highland Europe Technology London, United 3 Highland Europe 1,070 Growth V Kingdom 4 HV Capital 770 HV Capital Fund IX Growth Munich, Germany London, United 5 Dawn Capital 620 Dawn Capital V Kingdom 6 High-Tech Gründerfonds 529 High-Tech Gründerfonds IV Bonn, Germany 5 Eurazeo Smart City Fund II Paris, France 7 Eurazeo 43 London, United 8 Hedosophia 356 Hedosophia Partners V Kingdom London, United 9 Notion 326 Notion Capital V Kingdom 10 Hitachi Ventures 300 Hitachi Ventures Fund III Munich, Germany Notes: Includes funds that had a final close after 1 January 2023 with the fund location in Europe. Data as of Sources: 30 September 2023 | 210
The European tech ecosystem is already addressing the most pressing and transformative issues the world is facing. Pete Sugden Partner, Technology Companies Group, Orrick With prominent and sophisticated local capital, a growing and ma- turing entrepreneur base and increasing signs of the deep network effect from European tech success stories, 2024 promises to be a year in which European tech can “kick on” even stronger and truly shape the future. Sovereign funds still key, but a declining share of total funds raised As it does in every major venture ecosystem, government funding plays an important role in Europe too. National and regional initiatives, such as the European Investment Fund, British Patient Capital, KFW Capital, and bpifrance, are amongst the most active LPs in the European tech ecosystem. These agencies have consistently backed local fund managers with billions of dollars of capital each year. Contrary to perception, however, the scale of annual investment has not grown materially over the past 昀椀ve years. In fact, in 2022, government backing actually declined again compared to 2021 and vs. the peak year of 2020. But as more and more private institutional investors commit to the European venture asset class, the relative share of funds sourced from governments continues to decline rapidly as a percentage of total funds raised by European fund managers. This hit a record low of 15% of total funds raised in 2022, down from more than 30% in each year between 2018 and 2020. 211 | Fundraising
Government funding ($B) and share of government funding (%) per year, 2018 to 2022 Government funding ($B) Government agencies as 5 40 % of total funding G 4 32 o v e r n m ) e B n t $ ( a g g n 3 24 e i n d c n i u e f s t a n s e m % n o r 2 16 f e t v o o t G a l f u n d i n 1 8 g 0 0 Notes: 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Taken from the European Data Cooperative, devel- oped by Invest Europe. EDC data converted at EUR:USD of 1:1.0917, the rate on 30 Sources: June 2023. The data shows incremental amounts in each year for venture funds, not only final closing. Pension funds are (still) punching below their weight Considering their scale, European pension funds have historically punched well below their weight as inves- tors in the region’s entrepreneurial and growth ecosystem. As the State of European Tech has called out over the years, when comparing the total assets under management (AUM) of European pension funds, the share from this dedicated to the venture asset class is minuscule. In 2022, just 0.024% of pension fund AUM was invested into European VCs, in line with the average of the last 昀椀ve years. This is based on the reported assets of European pension funds, standing at $3.4 trillion. Adding in the assets managed in the United Kingdom would double these AUM and hence halve the share going to VC. Positively, there has been a small number of notable developments across Europe this year. The UK govern- ment, for example, added 昀氀exibility earlier this year on a fee cap previously limiting pension funds to invest in VC funds. Furthermore, in October, | 212
European pension funds committed to VC funds as a share of total funds raised and total European pension funds assets (%) per year, 2018 to 2022 % of total funds raised % of total pension funds assets 6 0.03 4.8 0.024 % o f d t e o t s a i l a3.6 0.018 r p e s n d s n i u o f n l a f t u o n t d s f2.4 0.012 o a s % s e t s 1.2 0.006 0 0 Notes: 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Taken from the European Data Cooperative, devel- oped by Invest Europe. EDC data converted at EUR:USD of 1:1.0917, the rate on 30 Sources: June 2023. The data shows incremental amounts in each year for venture funds, not only final closing. The whole ecosystem wants to see more institutional investment To better understand industry sentiment on the question of unlocking capital at scale for the European tech ecosystem, survey respondents were asked to share their perspective on whether European institutional investors should increase or decrease their allocation to venture capital. The response was, unsurprisingly, overwhelmingly skewed in support of increased allocation (76% of respondents), including a large share of respondents that felt that the increase should be signi昀椀cant (36% of respondents). It’s easy to challenge the premise of the question. Of course, most respondents are likely to be in favour of an increase in support. But what stood out to us is the strength and consistency of support across all stakehold- er groups, from VCs (surprise!) to policymakers to Limited Partners themselves. Even 66% of those survey re- spondents working outside of the tech sector perceived the need for increased allocation to venture capital. The survey registers a strong call to action. 213 | Fundraising
Which firm-level strategies or initiatives have seen a change in priority in the last 12 months compared to the year before? Increase allocation Neither increase nor decrease VC Decrease allocation Policymaker / regulator Angel LP Founder Non-tech employee 0 25 50 75 100 % of respondents Notes: Numbers do not add to 100 as respondents could choose multiple options. Sources: While we’ve observed a surge in interest from institutional investors in European tech, which is bene昀椀ting local companies and entrepreneurs, it’s important to highlight that this uptick has been relatively modest from the perspective of local European fund managers. Leyla Holterud Partner, Stepstone The increased interest has primarily been absorbed by US general part- ners (GPs) that have raised larger funds and increased their allocation to Europe or have established a local presence. This has been driven by a number of factors that investors take into account when adding new manager relationships including currency, denominator and numerator considerations, macroeconomic and geopolitical factors and limited dynamism by local managers. | 214
How do we get more pension funds to allocate to venture capital? While strong advocates for the importance of venture capital, survey respondents recognise that investing into VC comes with complexities. The most commonly cited reasons for pension funds to hold back in their investment levels was perceived to be a lack of relevant experience of investing in the asset class, the relative perceived risk to other asset classes, followed by regulatory/legislative constraints. Beyond these challenges, a variety of other perceived barriers were also frequently cited by survey respond- ents, including institutional governance and approval processes, limited relationships and networks within the space, and the potential bias of entrenched advisor networks. It’s clear that a signi昀椀cant level of knowledge-sharing and education will be needed at an ecosystem level to work in collaboration with institutional investors, policymakers, advisors and other stakeholders to seek to address these concerns and remove potential barriers to allocation at scale. Which of the below are currently limiting the amount European institutional investors (e.g. pension funds, insurance funds) are able to commit to Venture Capital? Lack of relevant expe… Relative risk to other … Legislation / Regulat… Investor’s governanc… Public markets condi… Bias of entrenched a… Limited relationships… Public sentiment of p… Ability to deploy capit… Relative performance… Lack of relevant talent Fee levels of VC funds 0 10 20 30 40 % of respondents Notes: Numbers may not add up to 100 Sources: due to rounding. Respondents who selected "Not su昀케ciently informed to comment" are excluded from the data. 215 | Fundraising
Nordic pension funds doing the heavy lifting The legislative environment can play a signi昀椀cant role in a pension fund investor’s appetite and ability to invest in the venture asset class. American and Nordic pension funds are often cited as role models for regions earlier on in their journeys, combining appropriate safeguards with a balanced portfolio risk. This is also re昀氀ected in the levels of investment 昀氀owing into VC, with Northern American and Nordic LPs on average accounting for the largest shares across the past 昀椀ve years. Despite representing one of the biggest ecosystems in Europe, pension funds in the UK and Ireland only represent 5% of pension funds committed to European VC in 2022. To put this further into scale, in 2022 UK & Irish pension funds committed a total of less than $200M to European venture funds, while Irish and UK tech companies themselves raised $31B in that year, a sum several hundred times higher. Pension funds committed ($M) to VC funds by LP region per year, 2018 to 2022 RoW LPs CEE LPs 1750 Southern Europe LPs UK&Ireland LPs Rest of Europe LPs 1500 DACH LPs North American LPs 1250 ) France&Benelux LPs M $ ( Nordics LPs d e1000 t t i m m o c 750 s d n u F 500 250 0 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Notes: Taken from the European Data Sources: Cooperative, developed by Invest Europe. EDC data converted at EUR:USD of 1:1.0917, the rate on 30 June 2023. | 216
Pension funds like to invest locally VCs based in the Nordic countries are the largest bene昀椀ciaries of local pension funds’ investment activities. Interestingly, the Nordics is also the region in Europe with the highest share of funding raised from non-local pension funds, highlighting the need for a strong base of local LPs in order to attract overseas interest. Pension funds committed ($M) to VC funds by LP region and fund location, 2023 RoW LPs CEE LPs 600 Southern Europe LPs UK&Ireland LPs 500 Rest of Europe LPs ) DACH LPs M400 $ ( North America LPs d e t t i France&Benelux LPs m300 m Nordics LPs o c s d n200 u F 100 0 s d x H e E ic n lu C p E d la e A o C r e n D ur o r e N &I B E K & rn U e e c th an u r o F S VC Region Notes: Taken from the European Data Sources: Cooperative, developed by Invest Europe. EDC data converted at EUR:USD of 1:1.0917, the rate on 30 June 2023 217 | Fundraising
Volumes of dry powder remain high Whilst the fundraising environment in Europe has seen a clear shift this year, the levels of dry powder have kept climbing, re昀氀ecting continued elevated levels of fundraising in recent years. Reporting from Invest Eu- rope implies the total dry powder, the amount of committed but unallocated capital venture capitalists have at hand to deploy, has risen to $58B, and to $108B when also including Growth funds. This represents an in- crease of 14% from $98B in 2022. Fundraising is a slow process and any shifts in changing market sentiment will only 昀氀ow through to dry powder 昀椀gures with a delay. As of today, European venture funds continue to sit on the largest trove of deployable capital that Europe has ever seen. Dry powder ($B) by fund stage focus per year, 2013 to 2022 Venture Capital Growth 125 100 ) B 75 $ ( r e d w o p y r 50 D 25 0 3 4 5 6 17 8 9 0 1 2 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 2 2 2 20 20 20 20 2 20 20 20 20 20 Notes: Taken from the European Data Sources: Cooperative, developed by Invest Europe. EDC data converted at EUR:USD of 1:1.0917, the rate on 30 June 2023. | 218
05 Outcomes
Key 昀椀ndings Finally, we examine the state of the public markets, IPOs and M&A to understand liquidity prospects for companies and their investors. We also consider the value of listed tech as a health indicator for the ecosystem. This year’s IPO landscape was particularly quiet, while not Exits remain muted completely dormant. In contrast, the M&A market has displayed and led by M&A higher levels of activity, although the volume and value of transactions are still far from the peaks of 2020 and 2021. Globally, the dry powder held by PE 昀椀rms is at record levels, Enormous cash reaching $2.3 trillion as of 30 September 2023. Meanwhile, 昀椀repower sitting on corporate buyers are also sitting on huge cash balances that could be deployed to fuel M&A activity. the sidelines Judging by the number of VC-backed tech companies that have Europe’s never had raised a minimum of $300M over the course of their lifetime, a stronger pipeline Europe already has more than 120 companies that are viable future candidates for billion-dollar exits. of billion-dollar exit candidates
Exit landscape stirs after extended quiet period Liquidity events - or exits - are critical to the effective functioning of the European tech 昀氀ywheel - the virtu- ous cycle that powers the ecosystem. These serve not only as a means to unlock the realisation and redistri- bution of capital gains, but also as catalysts for the systematic recycling of talent and expertise into a new generation of companies. Following the peak of the market in Q4 2021, six consecutive quarters of subdued exit activity followed. The IPO landscape, in particular, was notably quiet - though not entirely dormant. The third quarter of 2023 saw a notable uptick in liquidity events. Before ARM’s gigantic $55B IPO this year to test a ‘re-opening’ of the IPO window, Europe had already witnessed two other billion-dollar tech public offerings this year, including the $2.6B listing of German cloud infrastructure provider IONOS Group and the ill-fated $1B IPO of UK 昀椀ntech CAB Payments. In contrast, the M&A market has displayed higher consistent levels of activity, although the volume and value of deals are still far from the peaks of 2020 and 2021. As we’ll explore throughout the report, the big shifts in the exit landscape, both in the pathway to liquidity and in the form of a reset of the valuation environment, have led to knock-on consequences for founders, talent, VCs, LPs and beyond. European tech M&A transaction value and tech IPO market cap at close of first trading day ($B) by announcement quarter, 2019 to 2023 IPO M&A 125 100 ) 75 B $ ( e u l a v t i x E 50 25 0 9 9 9 9 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 20 20 20 20 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 1 Q Q Q Q Q1 2 3 4 Q Q Q Q Q 2 3 4 Q 2 3 Notes: Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q S&P Capital IQ Platform, as of date 30 September 2023, for illustrative purposes only. 2023 figures extrapolated linearly based on year to date figures. Sources: Includes announced and completed M&A transactions only (excluding since terminat- ed/withdrawn). 221 | Outcomes
VCs spending more time seeking liquidity The impact of a slow exit landscape for investors is an elongation of the expected timeline of liquidity events, and therefore a delay in projected distributions. Meanwhile, the ongoing liquidity crunch for LPs creates heightened pressure on VC GPs to deliver distribution. This change in sentiment around the pressure to deliver distributions is re昀氀ected in VCs spending more time to proactively ‘engineer’ liquidity opportunities, through secondary sales, continuation funds, or other means. According to VC survey respondents, almost half have spent more time over the past 12 months proactively exploring these opportunities. Just 2% of VC respondents had deprioritised this compared to a year ago, with responses consistent across all stage focuses. Has your fund spent more or less time proactively exploring liquidity event opportunities (e.g. selling secondaries, setting up a continuation fund, etc) so far in 2023 compared to last year? Significantly more time 100 Some more time No change Some less time 80 Significantly less time 60 40 20 0 Early stage Growth stage Total Notes: VC respondents only. Numbers may not add up to 100 due to Sources: rounding. The acquisition of InstaDeep by BioNTech allows us to aim higher and build things in a more long term perspective. Karim Beguir Co-Founder & CEO, InstaDeep As a startup, you’re always focused on generating revenue and managing investors, but now, this has meant our sense of urgency is focused around Deep Tech innovation and addressing global challenges. When I co-found- ed the company, the goal was to build AI that bene昀椀ted everyone, and the backing and support of BioNTech allows us to take things to the next level. | 222
M&A as an important route to $B+ outcomes M&A is a critical feature of any healthy industry, providing a path to new opportunities and liquidity for any company, whether VC-backed or not. The European tech industry is no different. Over the past 昀椀ve years, 68 technology companies from the region have been acquired in tractions valuing the companies at over a billion dollars, of which 30 (44%) were VC-backed. This compares to 168 billion-dollar acquisitions of US tech compa- nies over the same period. Not surprisingly, 2023 has recorded the lowest number of $B+ M&A transactions for many years, both in Europe and in the US. But despite a much slower market, Europe has still seen 昀椀ve $B+ acquisitions of tech companies this year to date, though only a single VC-backed company is within that cohort. It should be noted that these numbers include acquisitions of both private companies and take-private trans- actions involving formerly publicly-listed tech companies. Number of $B+ M&A transactions per year, by region and VC-backed or not, 2019 to 2023 Non-VC backed VC backed 80 s60 n o i t c a s n a40 r t + B $ f o #20 0 e s e s e s e s e s p e p e p e p e p e o t o t o t o t o t Eur Sta Eur Sta Eur Sta Eur Sta Eur Sta ed ed ed ed ed t t t t t i i i i i Un Un Un Un Un 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023YTD Notes: S&P Capital IQ Sources: Platform, as of date 30 September 2023, for illustrative purposes only. 223 | Outcomes
Largest M&A transactions of 2023 The largest transaction this year is the proposed majority acquisition of Worldpay, by private equity 昀椀rm GTCR for an implied enterprise value of $18.5 billion. Private equity has generally been a strong theme in European tech in 2023, with 昀椀nancial sponsors responsi- ble for three of the top 5 largest M&A transactions in Europe this year. Three of these (SimCorp, Software AG and Kahoot!) involved public-to-private transactions. Top 5 largest M&A transactions by disclosed value, 2023YTD Name HQ Acquirer EV ($B) Acquirer type Worldpay United Kingdom GTCR 18.5 Private Equity SimCorp Denmark Deutsche Börse 4.5 Strategic Software AG Germany EQT 2.9 Private Equity Kahoot! Norway Goldman Sachs Assets Management 1.6 Private Equity Reward Gateway United Kingdom Edenred 1.4 Strategic Notes: S&P Capital IQ Platform, as of date 30 September 2023, for Sources: illustrative purposes only. | 224
Small but mighty sub $100M mergers Across all transaction value brackets, 2023 registered a signi昀椀cant decline in the number of M&A transac- tions. Billion-dollar acquisitions may dominate the headlines, but they do not dominate overall M&A activity by volume. In fact, billion-dollar acquisitions typically only account for a low single-digit share of all M&A transac- tions in any given year. In 2023, billion-dollar acquisitions made up just 3% of M&A activity in the year to date. As in every other year, the vast majority (77%) of M&A transactions in 2023 were sized at less than $100M. Number of M&A transations by transaction value and by year, 2019 to 2023YTD >$1B $100M-$1B
M&A still a meaningful exit route for VC-backed businesses The contraction in overall M&A activity is also clear when looking only at transactions involving VC-backed European tech companies. The volume of transactions has fallen in 2023 across every category when seg- mented by the size of the transaction in terms of enterprise value. The mid-sized category involving transactions valued at between $100M and $1B has seen a particular slow- down year-on-year. So far in 2023, there have been just 11 transactions in this range, implying an expected full-year count of around 15. This would represent under half the number of similarly-sized transactions (31) recorded in 2022. Number of VC-backed M&A transactions by transaction value and by year, 2019 to 2023 >$1B $100M-$1B
VC-backed buyers on the retreat The reset of the valuation environment - falling back to long-term average multiples - alongside a challenging fundraising environment could be perceived as factors that may drive an increase in ‘discount shopping’ for potential M&A targets. It’s clear, however, that for many potential buyers, it has simply meant putting a pause on M&A in order to focus on stability. This means that VC-backed company buying activity has fallen, mirror- ing the trends of the overall M&A landscape. The interesting trend in this chart, however, is looking at the relative importance of VC-backed buyers of tech companies in the US vs. Europe: in Europe, VC-backed companies account for just 23% of all M&A transac- tions involving tech company targets. In the US, this number is 55%. This delta can be attributed to the relative maturity of the tech ecosystems. In the US, there is simply a larger pool of at-scale, VC-backed companies that make up the potential buyer universe. This once again underlines the importance of the European tech 昀氀ywheel. The more the virtuous cycle helps to produce scaled technol- ogy companies, the more they will drive higher M&A volumes, helping to accelerate the process of recycling capital and talent in the ecosystem. In today’s uncertain times, we are focusing on strategic value and thinking in the long term. An acquisition has to bring us closer to our strategic objectives, not just increase our ARR. It has to complement our existing product, enhancing our capabilities through both people and tech. Jordi Romero Co-Founder & CEO, Factorial Additionally, nowadays capital e昀케ciency is a priority. For those with cash and/or equity in hand, it is probably one of the best moments to make really good acquisitions. On the other hand, if fundraising is needed for it, the cost of capital can make an acquisition less obvious despite the decrease in multiples. We are also placing a special emphasis on due diligence. We are making an extra effort to assess the 昀椀nancial health, customer base, tech, and cultural 昀椀t of the target company. Finally, timing is key. We are being proactive and seizing opportunities as they arise, rather than waiting for more stable conditions. Bucking the trend by acquiring a well-aligned company during uncertain times positions us to continue our growth and success in the future. 227 | Outcomes
Count and share (%) of transactions with VC-backed buyers based in Europe versus United States, 2019 to 2023 # of transactions Europe United States 1500 1250 1000 s n o i t c a s 750 n a r t f o # 500 250 0 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023YTD % of total M&A transactions Europe United States 70 60 50 s n o i t c a40 s n a r t A & 30 M f o % 20 10 0 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023YTD Notes: S&P Capital IQ Platform, as Sources: of date 30 September 2023, for illustrative purposes only. | 228
European tech companies are mostly acquired from within Europe Private European buyers continue to represent the highest share of M&A activity at 63% of the total trans- action count. Most of the smaller scale M&A in Europe is a consolidation play, with local players merging to create scale. This share has been increasing at the expense of Public European buyer activity, decreasing from 17% in 2021 to 12% in 2023 to date. The stock market reset has likely affected the appetite of listed players, with compa- nies putting off potential acquisitions and choosing to maintain cash on their balance sheets. In total, however, it’s clear that European tech companies are overwhelmingly acquired from within Eu- rope, underlining the importance of creating a healthy exit landscape in the region. The combined share of M&A transactions that involve either a private or public European buyer consistently accounts for around three-quarters of all activity, as it did this year (75% of M&A transactions in 2023 involved European buyers). The distribution of M&A value by buyer type is more volatile, however, given that it is heavily impacted by outsized transactions. This year, for example, GTCR’s acquisition of Worldpay meant private US buyers have accounted for 52% of all transaction value in the year to date. Share of M&A count by buyer region, type and announcement year, 2019 to 2023YTD Public RoW buyer Private RoW buyer 100 Public US buyer Private US buyer Public European buyer 80 Private European buyer t n u o c t 60 i x e A & M f o e r 40 a h s % 20 0 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023YTD Notes: Sources: S&P Capital IQ Platform, as of date 30 September 2023, for illustrative purposes only. 229 | Outcomes
Local tech players have been the most active buyers Looking at European M&A activity since 2019, the top 10 buyers are all local players with the notable exception of Meta. But no single country dominates, with buyers spanning across the continent from Italy to Norway. Furthermore, nearly all of the top buyers are tech-昀椀rst players themselves, excluding the 昀椀nancial services provider Sberbank. For strategic buyers, M&A is the quickest way to scale their customer base or add new features without the need to develop them in house. Visma Meta Cegid Sberbank HQ Location - Norway HQ Location - USA HQ Location - France HQ Location - Russia # of transactions: 12 # of transactions: 7 # of transactions: 6 # of transactions: 6 Main Capital Partners SAP Total Speci昀椀c Solutions Delivery Hero HQ Location- Netherlands HQ Location - Germany HQ Location - Netherlands HQ Location - Germany # of transactions: 5 # of transactions: 5 # of transactions: 5 # of transactions: 5 MGI Team System HQ Location - Sweden HQ Location - Italy # of transactions: 5 # of transactions: 5 | 230
Public to private trend stays active In both Europe and the United States, the number of take-private transactions by private equity 昀椀rms in- creased materially in both 2021 and 2022, fuelled by gigantic fundraises by megacap PE 昀椀rms and the avail- ability of cheap debt 昀椀nancing. In 2022 alone, 9 public tech companies from Europe and 18 from the US were taken private by PE sponsors, equating to a record aggregate transaction value of $134B However, a rapid hiking of interest rates and an increasingly challenging fundraising environment have since moderated buyer appetite and slowed (but certainly not diminished) the pace of PE take-privates of public tech companies. In 2023 to date, 6 companies with a total value of $5B in Europe and 8 companies totalling $32B of value in the US have been taken private by PE 昀椀rms. The most sizeable of these are the take-privates of Qualtrics Interna- tional ($11B, led by Silver Lake) in the US and Software AG ($3B, Silver Lake) in Europe. Announced and completed take-privates in Europe and US, by transaction value ($B) and count, 2019 to 2023 Transaction value ($B) # of transactions 20 10 16 8 ) B # $ ( 12 6 o e f u l t a r v a n n s o a i c t t c i a o s n n 8 4 s a r T 4 2 0 0 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023YTD Notes: Data is as of 30 September Sources: 2023. Excludes the follow- ing: biotech, secondary transactions, debt, lending capital, and grants. 231 | Outcomes
Enormous cash 昀椀repower sitting on the sidelines It’s fair to assume that PE will continue to be an important driver of M&A activity in the European tech eco- system, especially when the interest rate environment eases debt 昀椀nancing considerations. Globally, the dry powder held by PE 昀椀rms is at record levels, sitting at $2.3T as of 30 September 2023. This has effectively tripled in scale over the past decade. Separately, corporate buyers are also sitting on huge cash balances that could be used to fuel M&A activity. The 昀椀ve largest US public technology companies cumulatively hold balance sheet cash levels of nearly $400B. By comparison, the 昀椀ve largest European public technology companies have an aggregate cash balance of just under $50B. Global Private Equity dry powder and cash balances of selected tech companies United States Top cash balance of US and European tech companies Europe 125 100 ) B $ ( 75 e c n a l a b h 50 s a C 25 0 P s L P s a le n ft X ic M A u t p o o N n S S s e p z s b o o M a o a r A r A m r h t P A ic lp ec M A el o cr i TM S Global Private Equity dry powder 3 2 ) T $ ( r e d w o p y r D 1 Notes: S&P Capital IQ 0 Platform, as of date 30 September 2023, for Year 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 illustrative purposes only. Ranking is based on cash and short term investments. Sources: | 232
Publicly-listed tech showing signs of recovery In the public markets, one story of 2023 has been the stabilising and recovering of multiples. While the highs of 2021 remain distant peaks, the median enterprise value to next-12-months (NTM) revenue - after sinking below average through most of 2022 - rebounded back above this line early this year, only to dip just below it in October 2023. The multiple for companies trading in the top quartile, meanwhile, is still hovering below the long-term, 10-year average. It is this recovery in multiples, coupled with reduced volatility, that helped to lay some of the necessary groundwork for an initial reopening of the IPO window in late-2023. More signi昀椀cantly, it will continue to be crucial, along with con昀椀dence in strong post-listing performance, in setting the stage for an even stronger increase in IPO activity in 2024. NASDAQ-100 Technology Sector Index - Total enterprise value / NTM revenue multiple in time Median multiple Average for top revenue e ciency quartile 30 Last 10 year average median Last 10 year average top e quartile multiple l25 p i t l u m e u n e20 v e r M T N / 15 e u l a v e s i r 10 p r e t n e l a t o 5 T 0 1 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 1 3 4 4 2 2 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 1 3 1 1 3 3 Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q3 Q Q Q Q Q Q Notes: Where revenue e昀케ciency is the total of unlevered free Sources: cash flow margin and revenue growth. S&P Capital IQ Platform, as of date 31 October 2023, for illustrative purposes only. 233 | Outcomes
I am more optimistic about European tech but my optimism actually has little to do with recent public market ups and downs. Eric Liaw General Partner, IVP I believe that the tech world is 昀氀attening with the continued development of talent pools around the world (including of course across Europe), reduced friction to global distribution of technology products (via cloud & mobile platforms) and greater ambition and aspirations of European entrepreneurs. It’s an exciting time to be starting and investing in new technology compa- nies in Europe regardless of what the stock market did yesterday! More public tech 昀椀rms in Europe With the IPO window effectively having been shut since early 2022, very few tech companies have chosen to list. As a consequence, the overall count of public tech companies has fallen in both Europe (down 3% year-on-year) and the US (-7%). This has been compounded by take-private transactions as well as company failures. Looking at the past decade, there are very different trajectories observable in Europe and the US. While Europe’s count of public tech companies has expanded by more than 200 since 2014, it has declined by almost 200 in the US. It’s important to note, however, that this does not tell the full story. European stock exchanges are full of small- and mid-cap companies, many of whom have market caps of less than $100M. This is a consequence of the fact that public markets in Europe have historically been important sources of growth capital in the historical absence of a well-developed ecosystem for private capital. | 234
Count of public tech companies in Europe and the US, 2014 to 2023 $1,000M+ $100-1,000M Sub $100M 1250 1000 s e i n a 750 p m o c d e t s i l 500 f o # 250 0 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 Europe United States Notes: Sources: S&P Capital IQ Platform, as of date 30 September 2023, for illustrative purposes only. More delistings is a feature, not a bug Once listed, most European companies tend to stay listed in Europe. Looking at companies that 昀椀rst listed ten years ago, only 10% have ceased trading since their IPOs. The share of delisted IPOs is much higher in the United States, where the equivalent share of delisted 2014 IPOs stands at 35%. Over time across all listing year vintages, there is a consistent trend for listed US tech companies to subsequently delist at much higher rates than in Europe. The reasons for delisting vary, of course, from being forcibly delisted, to going out of business, or to being acquired through consolidation or 昀椀nancial sponsors. While a higher level of delistings might look like an issue, it’s actually a feature of functioning capital markets that have a high level of liquidity driving the e昀케cient recycling of capital and value. In this context, the higher delisting share among public US tech companies is representative of a deeper and more liquid capital market environment that supports buyer activity. This is similar to the fact that higher levels of M&A activity are also a feature, not a bug, of healthy equity capital markets. 235 | Outcomes
Share of delisted companies in Europe and US by year of first pricing, 2014 to 2023 Listed today Europe Delisted since first pricing 100 75 l a t o t 50 f o % 25 0 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 D 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 T 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 3Y 2 20 Year of first pricing US 100 80 l 60 a t o t f o % 40 20 0 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Year of first pricing Notes: S&P Capital IQ Platform, as of date 30 September 2023, for Sources: illustrative purposes only. | 236
Volume of $B+ IPOs remains at long-term lows The full scale of the IPO activity pullback is best observed over a longer time period. 2021 stands out as a truly exceptional year, with a combined 91 $B+ listings on record, with the following two years plummeting since the peak of public market valuations in November 2021. The volume of $B+ tech listings is still far behind pre-2021 levels, with just three recorded in Europe and two in the US so far in 2023. Count of $B+ IPOs in Europe and US, 2014 to 2023 Europe United States 80 60 s O P I 40 f o # 20 0 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 D 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 T 0 0 0 20 0 0 0 0 0 Y 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 02 2 Notes: Sources: S&P Capital IQ Platform, as of date 30 September 2023, for illustrative purposes only. 237 | Outcomes
Class of 2023 $B+ IPOs receive mixed welcome Despite the general quiet of the public markets, Europe still managed to record a total of three billion-dollar market cap tech IPOs in 2023, capped off by ARM’s massive $55B IPO in Q3 2023. Whether or not ARM represented the start of a long-awaited set of market ‘re-openers’ is yet to be seen. The relatively 昀氀at post-IPO performance of ARM’s share price is likely to give food for thought to some candidates until a clearer sense of price stability is established. The self-in昀氀icted challenges surrounding the CAB Payments listing, meanwhile, are less likely to embolden other candidates in the IPO pipeline. Thanks to an unexpectedly stark pro昀椀t warning just weeks after IPO-ing, CAB Payments has lost 81% of its market cap, as of the time of publication. The drop in CAB Payments’ market cap has been the steepest, while ARM and IONOS are standing at -5% and -30% compared to their 昀椀rst day of trading. Notably, ARM chose to list in the US over a local listing in the UK, despite intense lobbying efforts from the UK government and other UK stakeholders. It’s clear that there is still much work to be done to make listings on European exchanges the preferred gate- way to the public markets for Europe’s largest and highest-pro昀椀le tech companies. $B+ listings in Europe, 2023 Market Cap at first Latest Market % price Quarter of Name HQ pricing ($B) Cap ($B) change listings Listing Venue Arm United Nasdaq Global Holdings Kingdom 54.5 51.8 -5% Q3 Select XETRA Trading IONOS Group Germany 2.8 1.8 -30% Q1 Platform CAB United London Stock Payments Kingdom 1 0.2 -81% Q2 Exchange Notes: S&P Capital IQ Platform, as of date 30 September 2023, for Sources: illustrative purposes only. | 238
Europe’s most valuable public tech companies rebound The rebound of the public markets in 2023 is re昀氀ected in the share price and market cap evolution of Europe’s most valuable public tech companies. All but one of the top 10 most valuable companies has increased their average daily market cap in 2023 vs. their average daily market cap in 2022. In fact, the peaks of 2021 are even in sight for some, including ASML, Europe’s most valuable technology company. Change in average market cap of Europe's Top 10 largest tech companies (as of Q3 2023), 2021 to 2023 Year 2021 Market Cap ($B), 2022 Market cap 2023 Market Cap Company HQ Country Founded average ($B), average ($B), average ASML Netherlands 1984 287 226 259 SAP Germany 1972 163 120 150 Prosus Netherlands 1994 158 84 94 United Arm Holdings Kingdom 1990 N/A N/A 54 Dassault France 1981 66 54 53 NXP Semiconductors Netherlands 2006 55 46 49 Infineon Technologies Germany 1999 55 39 48 Adyen Netherlands 2006 79 51 43 STMicroelectronics Switzerland 1987 37 34 42 Experian Ireland 1826 37 32 32 Notes: S&P Capital IQ Platform, as of date 30 September 2023, for Sources: illustrative purposes only. The average market capitalisation is used to give a representation of the stock price performance over the year, rather than anchored to specific trading days 239 | Outcomes
US dominates global public tech market cap Global markets are showing signs of stabilisation. With the exception of China, all global regions have seen some recovery in public market values since the 2021 peak. The United States continues to dominate, capturing 70% of the global market cap at $17T. At just $1.4T in total market cap, Europe captures only a mid-single-digit percentage (6%) of the total public market capitalisation of global technology companies, despite capturing four positions within the top 10 countries by tech market cap. Total market cap ($T) per region, 2021 to 2023 2021 2022 2023 25 20 ) T 15 $ ( p a c t e k r a 10 M 5 0 United States China Europe RoW Notes: Sources: S&P Capital IQ Platform, as of date 30 September 2023, for illustrative purposes only. | 240
European market cap concentration The Netherlands continues to lead Europe in terms of total public tech market cap. It is also home to four of the top 10 largest European tech companies by public market cap. ASML on its own is a true multi-hun- dred-billion-dollar European tech giant, accounting for 52% of the Netherlands’ total market cap. Meanwhile, the UK leapfrogged France, largely thanks to the ARM mega-listing, which contributed 34% of the country’s total market cap in 2023. Without a helping hand from ARM, the UK would have underperformed year-on-year. Similarly, the German public tech market is heavily reliant on SAP’s performance, as it contributes a whopping 53% to Germany’s total tech market cap. The stock price recovery of SAP is also re昀氀ected in Germany adding $33M to its market cap. The European public tech markets continue to be concentrated among a few top players, where the top three account for 35% of the total 2023 market cap and the top 10 for 58%. Total market cap ($B) for top 10 european countries, 2021 to 2023 2021 2022 2023 800 600 ) B $ ( p a c 400 t e k r a M 200 0 s y e d n d n y y e d n m c n e n i al a p n a o n la d la a t w o a d a r e p I r r rl rm g r e S o u e w r e e n F z I E i t S N h G K i f t o e d Sw t N e s t i e Un R Notes: Sources: S&P Capital IQ Platform, as of date 30 September 2023, for illustrative purposes only. 241 | Outcomes
End of the SPAC era In unsurprising news, the SPAC era 昀椀rmly closed in 2023. This year has not seen a single completed SPAC of a European tech company. This is, of course, a sharp decline from the frenzied activity of prior years with 11 SPACs in 2022 and 14 in the peak year of 2021. The return of SPACs in greater numbers should not be expect- ed any time soon. Count of European SPACs 0 Source SPACs in 2023 so far Issuers have been delaying plans to undertake IPOs on both sides of the Atlantic, as the buy-side remains reluctant to invest given prevailing interest rates and macro-economic, geo-political and 昀椀scal uncertainties. Edward Dyson Partner, Capital Markets, Orrick As such, we’re seeing growth companies pursue direct listings (supported by shareholder and commercial bank working capital facilities) and reverse mergers/takeovers as alternative routes to market, and we expect to see that trend continue in 2024. | 242
Taking the longer-term view Despite almost two full years of quiet on the exit front, it’s worth taking a longer-term perspective on the state of Europe’s ability to produce large-scale companies that succeed in going from founding to a billion-dollar liquidity event. In the past 昀椀ve years alone, there have been a remarkable 111 billion-dollar exits of European tech companies, the majority of which (60%) have been realised via M&A. While reaching $B+ outcomes via initial public listings has been somewhat less common than via M&A for European tech companies historically, the reopening of the IPO window and the development of deep and liquid public capital markets is a critical factor for the long-term health and progress of the European tech ecosystem. As this report has consistently highlighted, outsized exits are an important component of the European tech 昀氀ywheel, with success stories unlocking capital and talent as well as inspiring the next generation of found- ers. Count of European $B+ IPOs and M&A transactions M&A IPO 125 100 s 75 t i x e f o # 50 25 0 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023YTD Last 5 Years Notes: Sources: S&P Capital IQ Platform, as of date 30 September 2023, for illustrative purposes only. 243 | Outcomes
We have recently seen a very healthy market correction separating “vitamin” from “painkiller” applications and stopped trying to copy Silicon Valley. Instead we started to be more self con昀椀dent building on Europe’s very own strengths and DNA to build an ecosystem that unlocks our full potential. Robert Lacher Founding Partner, Visionaries Club I am very excited about Europe’s future IPO pipeline. Overall we are at an in昀氀ection point of global tech seeing a dramatically accelerated technology adoption in B2B: There is no economic reason for any part of the value chain not to be digitized in the long run if there is potential to streamline and au- tomate processes. This time we are in a strong position in Europe to shape the next wave of disruption in B2B: Europe is home to many global industrial world market leaders, most of them built on legacy technology with the po- tential to be either disrupted or enabled by new digital technologies. Europe is home to some of the global leading tech universities as sourcing ground to bring up new tech founders! The initial result are global category leaders born out of Europe such as Celonis, UiPath or Miro with the next generation such as Aiven, Pigment or Tacto on their toes to follow the trend. Europe’s never had a stronger pipeline of billion- dollar exit candidates The pipeline of mature European tech scaleups that are on an IPO trajectory has never been stronger. There are more than 120 credible candidates in the cohort of potential near- and medium-term IPOs when screening for a variety of factors, including scale, maturity and leadership team strength, among others. Many more waiting for their turn 126 Source Powered by potential $1B+ exits companies in the pipeline | 244
06 Partners 245 SOET Champions 249 SOET Community
Let us take a bow. . . The State of European Tech is an endeavour borne of extensive partnership and collaboration across the ecosystem. We are so grateful to all the people who make this happen.
6.1 Partners
The State of European Tech is a massive endeavour... And our partners make it possible. The data, insights, passion and deep exper- tise our partners bring make it possible to both build this report and make it the de昀椀nitive take on European tech. From the vast amounts of data they deliver to the detailed analysis they collaborate with us on, a huge hats off to our amazing partners.
Dealroom is a global company information database & research 昀椀rm. Its software, da- tabase and bespoke research enable its clients to stay at the forefront of innovation, discover promising companies and identify strategic opportunities. Among its clients are world-leading strategy consulting 昀椀rms, investment banks, multinationals, technology 昀椀rms, venture capital & buyout 昀椀rms and governments. For more information, please visit: dealroom.co Invest Europe is the association representing Europe’s private equity, venture capital and infrastructure sectors, as well as their investors. Invest Europe has over 650 members, split roughly equally between private equity, venture capital and limited partners – with some 110 associate members representing advisers to the ecosystem. Those members are based in 57 countries, including 42 in Europe, and manage 60% of the European private equity and venture capital industry’s EUR 1,004 billion of capital under management. Busi- nesses with private capital investment employ 10.5 million people across Europe, 4.5% of the region’s workforce. Invest Europe aims to make a constructive contribution to policy affecting private capital investment in Europe and provides information to the public on Invest Europe members’ role in the economy. Invest Europe’s research provides the most authoritative source of data on trends and developments in the PE/VC industry. Invest Europe is a non-pro昀椀t organisation with 27 employees in Brussels, Belgium. For more information please visit www.investeurope.eu At S&P Global Market Intelligence, we understand the importance of accurate, deep, and insightful information. Our team of experts delivers unrivalled insights and leading data and technology solutions, partnering with customers to expand their perspective, operate with con昀椀dence, and make decisions with conviction. S&P Global Market Intelligence is a division of S&P Global (NYSE: SPGI). We are the world’s foremost provider of credit ratings, benchmarks, analytics, and work昀氀ow solutions in the global capital, commodity, and automotive markets. With every one of our offerings, we help many of the world’s leading organizations navigate the economic landscape so they can plan for tomorrow, today. Crunchbase is an AI-powered platform that helps over 75 million dealmakers discover and prioritize the right opportunities using best-in-class company data. To learn more, visit about.crunchbase.com and follow Crunchbase on LinkedIn and Twitter. 249 | SOET community
PitchBook is a 昀椀nancial technology company that provides data on the capital markets to help professionals discover and execute opportunities with con昀椀dence and e昀케ciency. We collect and analyze detailed data on the entire venture capital, private equity and M&A landscape—including public and private companies, investors, funds, investments, exits and people. Our data and analysis are available through our suite of products (the Pitch- Book Platform), industry news and in-depth reports. Preqin, the Home of Alternatives™, empowers 昀椀nancial professionals who invest in or allo- cate to alternatives with essential data and insight to make con昀椀dent decisions. It sup- ports them throughout the entire investment lifecycle with critical information and leading analytics solutions. The company has pioneered rigorous methods of collecting private data for over 20 years, enabling more than 200,000 professionals globally to streamline how they raise capital, source deals and investments, understand performance, and stay informed. Revelio Labs is a workforce intelligence company. Founded in 2018, Revelio Labs absorbs and standardizes hundreds of millions of public employment records to create the world’s 昀椀rst universal HR database. The company’s team of data scientists, economists, and engineers deliver valuable workforce analytics to customers including investors, corpo- rate strategists, HR teams, and governments, empowering them to make actionable, data driven decisions. Ravio is on a mission to empower companies to build high performing teams and ensure they are paid fairly, with compensation intelligence designed speci昀椀cally for high-growth technology companies. With Europe’s largest real-time compensation dataset, compa- nies like Delivery Hero, Personio, Alan, Vestiaire Collective, and WeTransfer use Ravio to attract, retain, and motivate world class talent.You can learn more at Ravio.com. | 250
6.2 SOET champions
The SOET Champions Each year we are overwhelmed by the passion and commitment of European tech ecosystem members and the community this report brings together. We would like to say a particular thanks to our SoET Champions, whose expertise, collabo- ration and support have been invaluable, and made this year’s State of European Tech possible. An enormous thank you to those who have been on this year’s State of European Tech journey with us from start to 昀椀nish: our amazing team of content creators, website builders, editors, thought partners and data crunchers.
Matt Cowan Suzannah Leigh Marcus Kelly Michael Vromans MediaWorks SLD Ltd. Kelly Vision Presentations DPDK Paul Jitta Nikki Geerdink- Charlotte Schram- Jordi Su椀樀kerbu椀樀k DPDK Verstegen Kodde DPDK DPDK DPDK Colin van Eenige Davide Mancini Kevin N椀樀land Laura Vecchio DPDK DPDK DPDK DPDK Pim van Helten Tristan Kirwan Marianela Queme Ben Novick DPDK DPDK Alegre Milltown Partners DPDK 253 | SOET community
Brooke Herzog Amir Mizroch Anna Stojanovic Robin Connolly Milltown Partners Milltown Partners Milltown Partners Milltown Partners Orla Browne Louis Geoffroy-Terryn Julien Puls Emily Siebrecht Dealroom Dealroom Dealroom Dealroom Marta T. Marques Jon Brewer Raph Crouan Mat Gazeley Dealroom Orrick Orrick HSBC Innovation Banking Lauren Daly Linda Björkenheim Julien Krantz Lucrezia Lo Sordo HSBC Innovation Slush Invest Europe Invest Europe Banking | 254
Charlie Farber Ilja Hauerhof Pitchbook S&P Global Market Intelligence A shout out to our Atomico team We would also like to give a special thanks to our Atomico colleagues, whose expertise, insight and guidance throughout the making of this year’s State of European Tech has been invaluable. Suzie Bullivant Gareth Carless Harry Uglow Daniel Manson Atomico Atomico Atomico Atomico Rachel Stevens Nick Hayes Kasit Rochanakorn Jonathan Woolley Atomico Atomico Atomico Atomico Arabella Reeves Camilla Richards Atomico Atomico 255 | SOET community
Spreading the survey far and wide Finally, to the SoET champions who helped us share the survey far and wide. We had a record number of sur- vey participants this year: thank you for helping us reach founders, investors, policymakers, tech employees and others to truly measure the sentiment of the industry. Bryce Keane Josiah Price Shamal Thakar Angie Tran Atomico Atomico Atomico Slush Daniele Masiello David Cruz e Silva Andreas Munk Holm Paola Bonomo Booster Box EUVC EUVC Survey champion Estelle Roux Survey champion | 256
The Atomico team behind this year’s State of European Tech Tom Wehmeier Sarah Guemouri Hanna-Stina Sonts Eisha Maharasingam- Atomico Atomico Atomico Shah Atomico Bryce Keane Abbie Daniels Theo Fraser Sam Thurman Atomico Atomico Atomico Atomico Amanda Porko Rahil Mehta Atomico Atomico 257 | Companies
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